Boston College Eagles at Temple Owls: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Nov 15, 2:00 PM ETLiacouras Center · at Temple

Final

#111TEMTemple71final

Closing lineTEM -3.5✓ BC covered by 8.5

Closing total142.5Over by 4.5

Season records: Boston College and Temple
BC	This season	TEM
1-2	Record	2-0
1-2	ATS	2-0
1-2	O/U	1-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: BC 74–77 TEM · ✗ TEM (60%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
BC	36	40	76
TEM	31	40	71

1st half: BC 36, TEM 31 (BC by 5). The model had TEM by 1.5 and a total of 70.5 (actual 67).

Team stats

BC		TEM
29-66 44%	Field goals	23-67 34%
8-27 30%	3-pointers	5-22 23%
10-16 63%	Free throws	20-27 74%
43 13 off	Rebounds	43 16 off
16	Assists	13
4	Steals	5
13	Blocks	6
8	Turnovers	5
20	Fouls	15
38	Points in paint	36
10	Fast-break points	9

Players

BC	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Donald Hand Jr. G	35	18	11	1	5-15	1-8
Fred Payne G	33	17	2	4	6-9	3-5
Aidan Shaw F	28	7	14	1	3-6	0-0
Chase Forte G	21	5	1	2	2-5	1-2
Jayden Hastings F	11	4	1	0	2-4	0-0
Bench
Boden Kapke F	28	17	3	3	7-14	3-4
Luka Toews G	17	6	2	2	3-5	0-2
Marko Radunovic F	16	2	2	3	1-6	0-4
Caleb Steger G	8	0	0	0	0-1	0-1
Jason Asemota F	3	0	1	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Jack DiDonna, Akbar Waheed III, Nick Petronio, Will Eggemeier, Jack Bailey, Kany Musungay

TEM	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Aiden Tobiason G	38	12	3	4	4-17	1-8
Derrian Ford G	37	18	9	1	5-14	0-3
Jordan Mason G	33	8	6	1	4-9	0-0
Gavin Griffiths G	29	16	4	1	6-15	4-10
Babatunde Durodola F	21	2	3	3	0-1	0-0
Bench
Masiah Gilyard G	19	11	6	1	3-4	0-0
AJ Smith G	11	4	0	2	1-5	0-1
Mohamed Keita C	7	0	1	0	0-0	0-0
Ayuba Bryant Jr. F	3	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Jamai Felt F	2	0	1	0	0-2	0-0

Did not play: CJ Hines, Connor Gal, Olin Chamberlain Jr., Cam Wallace, Spencer Mahoney

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	TEM -3.5	TEM -2.8	BC +0.7	W BC covered
Total	142.5	150.6	Over 8.1	W Over
Projected score	—	BC 73.9 · TEM 76.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	TEM -1.5	BC -5.0
1H total	70.5	67
1H projected score	BC 34.5 · TEM 36	BC 36 · TEM 31

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BC LWL	1-2	33%	0-1	0-1
TEM WW	2-0	100%	2-0	2-0

Venue/role: BC away, as underdog; TEM home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
BC OUU	1-2	33%	1-2
TEM UO	1-1	50%	2-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BClast 3	1-2 33%	1-2 33%	1-2 33%
TEMlast 2	2-0 100%	2-0 100%	1-1 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

BC 1–0 TEMBC leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · BC 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 15, 2024-25	TEM 69 @ BC 72	BC +1.5	BC W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Boston College

3 games played

Straight up

1-2

33% wins

Against the spread

1-2

33% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-2

33% overs · avg −8.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-233%

L W L

1 of 3 wonno streak

Against the spread

1-233%

L W L

1 of 3 coveredno streak

Over / Under

1-233%

O U U

2 straight unders1 of 3 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@FAU	L 78-83	+1.5	L −3.5	148.5	O 161
Nov 6	vsCIT	W 76-47	-15.5	W +13.5	144.5	U 123
Nov 11	vsCCSU	L 59-60	-17.5	L −18.5	136.5	U 119

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

FAU

L 78-83

−3.5

CIT

W 76-47

+13.5

CCSU

L 59-60

−18.5

covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

FAU

L 78-83

+12.5

CIT

W 76-47

−21.5

CCSU

L 59-60

−17.5

over 1under 2avg −8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Temple

2 games played

Straight up

2-0

100% wins

Against the spread

2-0

100% covers · avg +11 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-1

50% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-0100%

W W

2 straight wins2 of 2 won

Against the spread

2-0100%

W W

2 straight covers2 of 2 covered

Over / Under

1-150%

U O

1 of 2 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	vsDSU	W 83-65	-16.5	W +1.5	154.5	U 148
Nov 11	vsLAS	W 90-63	-6.5	W +20.5	148.5	O 153

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DSU

W 83-65

+1.5

LAS

W 90-63

+20.5

covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +11 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DSU

W 83-65

−6.5

LAS

W 90-63

+4.5

over 1under 1avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Boston College Eagles at Temple Owls

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Boston College

Temple

Boston College

Temple