Harvard Crimson at Army Black Knights: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Nov 15, 2:00 PM ETChristl Arena · at Army

#136HARVHarvard75▲ winner

Final

#288ARMYArmy52final

Closing lineHARV -6.5✓ HARV covered by 16.5

Closing total146.5Under by 19.5

Season records: Harvard and Army
HARV	This season	ARMY
1-1	Record	0-2
0-2	ATS	1-1
1-1	O/U	2-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: HARV 78–75 ARMY · ✓ HARV (61%) won

Loading the game…

Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
HARV	36	39	75
ARMY	31	21	52

1st half: HARV 36, ARMY 31 (HARV by 5). The model had HARV by 2.0 and a total of 71.9 (actual 67).

Team stats

HARV		ARMY
25-48 52%	Field goals	20-53 38%
7-18 39%	3-pointers	5-25 20%
18-22 82%	Free throws	7-12 58%
30 7 off	Rebounds	31 11 off
16	Assists	11
12	Steals	6
3	Blocks	0
12	Turnovers	16
13	Fouls	19
26	Points in paint	30
9	Fast-break points	6

Players

HARV	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Robert Hinton G	34	16	6	3	6-11	1-3
Tey Barbour G	33	9	3	4	1-6	0-5
Chandler Pigge G	32	14	5	4	6-8	2-2
Ben Eisendrath G	26	6	1	2	2-2	0-0
Thomas Batties II F	24	17	5	1	5-6	3-3
Bench
Xavier Nesbitt G	11	2	0	2	1-2	0-1
Frankie Mannino G	10	3	3	0	1-5	0-2
Dutch Dowdell G	7	3	0	0	1-1	1-1
Ryan Sullivan F	6	1	3	0	0-1	0-0
Luca Ace-Nasteski F	4	0	1	0	0-0	0-0
Kenan Parrish F	4	4	0	0	2-3	0-1
Joseph Quartey G	3	0	0	0	0-1	0-0
Payton Pitts G	2	0	0	0	0-1	0-0
Greg Cooper G	2	0	1	0	0-0	0-0
Avner Dror F	2	0	1	0	0-1	0-0

Did not play: Alex Touomou, Austin Hunt

ARMY	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Ryan Curry G	27	11	4	3	4-10	3-6
Tate Laczkowski F	23	6	3	2	3-4	0-0
Jacen Holloway F	22	6	3	2	3-4	0-0
Kevin McCarthy G	21	0	1	1	0-5	0-3
Jorn Everson F	13	6	4	0	3-7	0-3
Bench
Jaxson Bell G	16	11	1	0	3-9	0-3
Jackson Furman G	15	6	2	0	2-4	2-4
Joshua Eli F	12	2	2	0	1-2	0-0
Jahaan Green G	9	2	0	0	1-1	0-0
Dylan Murans F	9	0	0	0	0-2	0-2
Alex Engro G	8	0	1	0	0-3	0-2
Dayon Polk G	6	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Dylan Benner F	6	0	1	1	0-0	0-0
Jackson Mayo G	6	0	1	1	0-1	0-1
Dillon Watt G	5	2	0	1	0-0	0-0
Brendon O'Keefe G	2	0	1	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Chanse Perkins, Nnaemeka Ikechi

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	HARV -6.5	HARV -3.1	ARMY +3.4	L HARV covered
Total	146.5	153.5	Over 7.0	L Under
Projected score	—	HARV 78.3 · ARMY 75.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	HARV -2.0	HARV -5.0
1H total	71.9	67
1H projected score	HARV 37 · ARMY 34.9	HARV 36 · ARMY 31

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
HARV LL	0-2	0%	—	0-2
ARMY WL	1-1	50%	0-1	1-1

Venue/role: HARV away, as favorite; ARMY home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
HARV OU	1-1	50%	1-1
ARMY OO	2-0	100%	0-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
HARVlast 2	1-1 50%	0-2 0%	1-1 50%
ARMYlast 2	0-2 0%	1-1 50%	2-0 100%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

HARV 1–0 ARMYHARV leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · HARV 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 8, 2023-24	ARMY 64 @ HARV 70	HARV -12.5	ARMY W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Harvard

2 games played

Straight up

1-1

50% wins

Against the spread

0-2

0% covers · avg −13.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-1

50% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-150%

W L

1 of 2 wonno streak

Against the spread

0-20%

L L

2 straight misses ATS0 of 2 covered

Over / Under

1-150%

O U

1 of 2 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 9	vsUNH	W 86-75	-15.5	L −4.5	147.5	O 161
Nov 11	vsNE	L 60-77	-5.5	L −22.5	144.5	U 137

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UNH

W 86-75

−4.5

L 60-77

−22.5

covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −13.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UNH

W 86-75

+13.5

L 60-77

−7.5

over 1under 1avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Army

2 games played

Straight up

0-2

0% wins

Against the spread

1-1

50% covers · avg −5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-0

100% overs · avg +14 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-20%

L L

2 straight losses0 of 2 won

Against the spread

1-150%

W L

1 of 2 coveredno streak

Over / Under

2-0100%

O O

2 straight overs2 of 2 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@STMN	L 76-83	+18.5	W +11.5	151.5	O 159
Nov 11	vsDUKE	L 59-114	+33.5	L −21.5	152.5	O 173

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

STMN

L 76-83

+11.5

DUKE

L 59-114

−21.5

covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

STMN

L 76-83

+7.5

DUKE

L 59-114

+20.5

over 2under 0avg +14 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Harvard Crimson at Army Black Knights

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Harvard

Army

Harvard

Army