McKenzie Arena · at Chattanooga
Closing line
UTC -3.5✓ SEMO covered by 7.5
UTC -3.5✓ SEMO covered by 7.5Closing total149.5Under by 5.5
 SEMO | This season | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| 1-6 | Record | 2-4 |
| 2-5 | ATS | 2-4 |
| 5-2 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SEMO 75–79 UTC · ✗ UTC (63%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEMO | 44 | 30 | 74 |
| UTC | 46 | 24 | 70 |
1st half: SEMO 44, UTC 46 (UTC by 2). The model had UTC by 2.2 and a total of 72.0 (actual 90).
Team stats
| SEMO | UTC | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-62 48% | Field goals | 25-50 50% |
| 9-25 36% | 3-pointers | 7-17 41% |
| 5-9 56% | Free throws | 13-17 76% |
| 32 11 off | Rebounds | 27 4 off |
| 13 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| SEMO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Ward G | 36 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Braxton Stacker G | 33 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3-12 | 2-7 |
| Marqueas Bell G | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Landren Blocker G | 19 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| David Idada C | 15 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luke Almodovar G | 28 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 6-13 | 4-9 |
| Brendan Terry F | 18 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Troy Cole Jr. G | 18 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Elliot Lowndes F | 10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Saxton Hoepker, Jay Reynolds, Blaize Sagna, PJ Farmer, Trace Sadler
| UTC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Frison G | 34 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 6-7 | 0-1 |
| Billy Smith G | 27 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Teddy Washington Jr. G | 26 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 5-13 | 1-4 |
| Sebastian Hartmann F | 24 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Makai Richards C | 20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tate Darner G | 27 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 3-5 |
| Josh Bowman F | 18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Parker Robison G | 16 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Brennan Watkins G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jikari Johnson G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Collin Mulholland, Houston Holland, Liam Vitters, Latif Diouf, Ryan Lopez, Zach Bleshoy, Sean Cusano
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUTC -3.5
ModelUTC -3.8
Model edgeUTC +0.3
L SEMO covered
Total
Market149.5
Model153.7
Model edgeOver 4.2
L Under
Projected score
SEMO 74.9 · UTC 78.8
SEMO 74 · UTC 70
Win probability
UTC 63%
1st half
Spread
UTC -2.2
UTC -2.0
Total
72.0
90 points
Projected score
SEMO 34.9 · UTC 37.1
SEMO 44 · UTC 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTC -6.5
3 → SEMO
CloseUTC -3.5
3 pts toward SEMO
Total
Open149.5
no move
Close149.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SEMO +154 · UTC -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTC -6.5 · closed UTC -3.5 · moved 3 toward SEMOmodel UTC -4
model UTC -4
Opened 149.5 · unchangedmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEMOlast 7 | 1-6 14% | 2-5 29% | 5-2 71% |
| UTClast 6 | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SEMO 0–2 UTCUTC leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · UTC has won the last 2 meetings · SEMO 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024-25 | UTC 87 @ SEMO 82 | SEMO +8.5 | SEMO W |
| Nov 26, 2023-24 | SEMO 56 @ UTC 72 | UTC -13.5 | UTC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SE Missouri
7 games played
Straight up
1-6
14% wins
Against the spread
2-5
29% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
SLU
SLUL 67-92
−5.5
7
@
MIZ
MIZL 84-89
+20.5
15
vs
STMN
STMNL 72-84
−9.5
18
@
IOWA
IOWAL 70-99
−5.5
25
vs
CP
CPW 84-68
+14.5
26
@
NAU
NAUL 72-79
−4.5
29
vs
LIP
LIPL 77-88
−14.5
covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SLU
SLUL 67-92
+5.5
7
@MIZ
MIZL 84-89
+15.5
15
vsSTMN
STMNL 72-84
+3.5
18
@IOWA
IOWAL 70-99
+21.5
25
vsCP
CPW 84-68
−18.5
26
@NAU
NAUL 72-79
−2.5
29
vsLIP
LIPL 77-88
+11.5
over 5under 2avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Chattanooga
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −9.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
SMC
SMCL 66-87
−5.5
8
@
UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
−24.5
15
@
FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
−19.5
19
@
SCST
SCSTW 78-66
+0.5
22
vs
UNA
UNAW 71-57
+4.5
30
vs
TNST
TNSTL 64-70
−14.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −9.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
+7.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
+14.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
+11.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
−10.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
−21.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−21.5
over 3under 3avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SE Missouri
1-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Lipscomb77–88
- L@ N Arizona72–79
- Wvs Cal Poly84–68
- L@ Iowa70–99
- Lvs St Thomas72–84
A week or more of rest.
Chattanooga
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Tennessee St64–70
- Wvs North Alabama71–57
- W@ SC State78–66
- L@ FGCU73–91
- L@ UNLV69–101
6 days since their last game.