Hilton Coliseum · at Iowa State
Closing line
ISU -11.5✓ IOWA covered by 7.5
ISU -11.5✓ IOWA covered by 7.5Closing total141.5Under by 13.5
 IOWA | This season | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-1 | Record | 9-0 |
| 7-2 | ATS | 7-2 |
| 5-4 | O/U | 6-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IOWA 69–83 ISU · ✓ ISU (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA | 33 | 29 | 62 |
| ISU | 25 | 41 | 66 |
1st half: IOWA 33, ISU 25 (IOWA by 8). The model had ISU by 8.1 and a total of 71.3 (actual 58).
Team stats
| IOWA | ISU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-51 51% | Field goals | 22-52 42% |
| 7-15 47% | 3-pointers | 5-15 33% |
| 3-5 60% | Free throws | 17-23 74% |
| 31 8 off | Rebounds | 28 10 off |
| 15 | Assists | 10 |
| 5 | Steals | 11 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| IOWA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz G | 40 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 3-11 | 3-8 |
| Cooper Koch F | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Kael Combs G | 25 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Cam Manyawu F | 21 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Tavion Banks G | 20 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tate Sage G | 26 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Isaia Howard G | 20 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras F | 19 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Brendan Hausen G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jacob Koch, Joey Matteoni, Peyton McCollum, Trey Thompson, Trevin Jirak
| ISU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Jefferson F | 35 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 7-14 | 3-6 |
| Tamin Lipsey G | 33 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 6-15 | 0-2 |
| Blake Buchanan F | 32 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Milan Momcilovic F | 31 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Killyan Toure G | 30 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nate Heise G | 24 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Jamarion Batemon G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Eric Mulder F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Dominick Nelson G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Williams, Cade Kelderman, Dominykas Pleta, Xzavion Mitchell, Anthony Rise
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketISU -11.5
ModelISU -13.7
Model edgeISU +2.2
L IOWA covered
Total
Market141.5
Model152.3
Model edgeOver 10.8
L Under
Projected score
IOWA 69.3 · ISU 83
IOWA 62 · ISU 66
Win probability
ISU 88%
1st half
Spread
ISU -8.1
IOWA -8.0
Total
71.3
58 points
Projected score
IOWA 31.6 · ISU 39.7
IOWA 33 · ISU 25
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenISU -10.5
1 → ISU
CloseISU -11.5
1 pt toward ISU
Total
Open145.5
▼ 4
Close141.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
IOWA +575 · ISU -850
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ISU -10.5 · closed ISU -11.5 · moved 1 toward ISUmodel ISU -13.5
model ISU -13.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 4 downmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWAlast 9 | 8-1 89% | 7-2 78% | 5-4 56% |
| ISUlast 9 | 9-0 100% | 7-2 78% | 6-3 67% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
IOWA 1–3 ISUISU leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · ISU has won the last 2 meetings · IOWA 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024-25 | ISU 89 @ IOWA 80 | IOWA +5.5 | ISU W |
| Dec 7, 2023-24 | IOWA 65 @ ISU 90 | ISU -7.5 | ISU W |
| Dec 8, 2022-23 | ISU 56 @ IOWA 75 | IOWA -2.5 | IOWA W |
| Dec 9, 2021-22 | IOWA 53 @ ISU 73 | ISU +5 | ISU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Iowa
9 games played
Straight up
8-1
89% wins
Against the spread
7-2
78% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs RMU | W 101-69 | -22.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIU | W 77-58 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 14 | vs XAV | W 81-62 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs SEMO | W 99-70 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 20 | vs CHST | W 93-54 | -31.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 25 | vs MISS | W 74-69 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs GCU | W 59-46 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | @ MSU | L 52-71 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs MD | W 83-64 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+9.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−11.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
+3.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+5.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+7.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+0.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
+4.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−13.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+8.5
covered 7didn’t cover 2avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+33.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−10.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
−0.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+21.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+4.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+2.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
−38.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−10.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+9.5
over 5under 4avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa State
9 games played
Straight up
9-0
100% wins
Against the spread
7-2
78% covers · avg +10.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +8.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FDU | W 88-50 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 6 | vs GRAM | W 102-62 | -33.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 10 | vs MSST | W 96-80 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 17 | vs STO | W 96-57 | -40.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 24 | vs SJU | W 83-82 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs CREI | W 78-60 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 26 | vs SYR | W 95-64 | -10.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs ALCN | W 132-68 | -42.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 6 | @ PUR | W 81-58 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
+0.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+6.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+10.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
−1.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
−1.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
+8.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+20.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+21.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
+27.5
covered 7didn’t cover 2avg +10.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
−9.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+19.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+25.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
+6.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
+6.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
−14.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+13.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+48.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
−15.5
over 6under 3avg +8.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Iowa
8-1 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Maryland83–64
- L@ Michigan St52–71
- Wvs Grand Canyon59–46
- Wvs Ole Miss74–69
- Wvs Chicago St93–54
5 days since their last game.
Iowa State
9-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Purdue81–58
- Wvs Alcorn St132–68
- Wvs Syracuse95–64
- Wvs Creighton78–60
- Wvs St John's83–82
5 days since their last game.