Carver-Hawkeye Arena · at Iowa · Conference game
Closing line
IOWA -10.5✓ IOWA covered by 8.5
IOWA -10.5✓ IOWA covered by 8.5Closing total137.5Over by 9.5
 MD | This season | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 7-1 |
| 3-6 | ATS | 6-2 |
| 7-2 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MD 69–80 IOWA · ✓ IOWA (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD | 30 | 34 | 64 |
| IOWA | 44 | 39 | 83 |
1st half: MD 30, IOWA 44 (IOWA by 14). The model had IOWA by 6.4 and a total of 69.8 (actual 74).
Team stats
| MD | IOWA | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-47 36% | Field goals | 34-63 54% |
| 6-18 33% | 3-pointers | 9-18 50% |
| 24-38 63% | Free throws | 6-12 50% |
| 39 13 off | Rebounds | 32 8 off |
| 7 | Assists | 19 |
| 4 | Steals | 12 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 27 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pharrel Payne F | 38 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Solomon Washington F | 33 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Elijah Saunders F | 32 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Darius Adams G | 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Myles Rice G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Coit G | 25 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4-10 | 3-6 |
| Andre Mills G | 21 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Isaiah Watts G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Guillermo Del Pino G | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Collin Metcalf C | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaziah Harper, Aleks Alston, Nick Blake, Lukas Sotell, Rakease Passmore, George Turkson Jr.
| IOWA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz G | 38 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 10-17 | 4-8 |
| Cooper Koch F | 35 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Tavion Banks G | 24 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Cam Manyawu F | 23 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Kael Combs G | 17 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaia Howard G | 21 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Tate Sage G | 20 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras F | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Trevin Jirak C | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Joey Matteoni F | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trey Thompson, Peyton McCollum, Jacob Koch, Brendan Hausen
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIOWA -10.5
ModelIOWA -10.9
Model edgeIOWA +0.4
W IOWA covered
Total
Market137.5
Model149.0
Model edgeOver 11.5
W Over
Projected score
MD 69 · IOWA 80
MD 64 · IOWA 83
Win probability
IOWA 83%
1st half
Spread
IOWA -6.4
IOWA -14.0
Total
69.8
74 points
Projected score
MD 31.7 · IOWA 38.1
MD 30 · IOWA 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIOWA -13.5
3 → MD
CloseIOWA -10.5
3 pts toward MD
Total
Open138.5
▼ 1
Close137.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MD +455 · IOWA -625
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IOWA -13.5 · closed IOWA -10.5 · moved 3 toward MDmodel IOWA -11
model IOWA -11
Opened 138.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 1 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MDlast 9 | 6-3 67% | 3-6 33% | 7-2 78% |
| IOWAlast 8 | 7-1 88% | 6-2 75% | 4-4 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
MD 3–3 IOWASeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · MD has won the last 3 meetings · MD 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2024-25 | IOWA 75 @ MD 101 | MD -11.5 | MD W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | IOWA 66 @ MD 78 | MD -5.5 | MD W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | MD 69 @ IOWA 67 | IOWA -4.5 | MD W |
| Jan 15, 2022-23 | MD 67 @ IOWA 81 | IOWA -5.5 | IOWA W |
| Feb 10, 2021-22 | IOWA 110 @ MD 87 | MD +3.5 | IOWA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Maryland
9 games played
Straight up
6-3
67% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −6.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-2
78% overs · avg +6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COPP | W 83-61 | -28.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 7 | vs GTWN | L 60-70 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs ALCN | W 84-64 | -29.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | @ MARQ | W 89-82 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs MSM | W 95-90 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 24 | vs UNLV | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs GONZ | L 61-100 | +14.5 | L −24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs ALA | L 72-105 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 2 | vs WAG | W 89-63 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
−6.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
−9.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+15.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
−12.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
+4.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
−24.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
−18.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −6.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
+4.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
+1.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+24.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
+39.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
−23.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
+3.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
+10.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+8.5
over 7under 2avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
6-2
75% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs RMU | W 101-69 | -22.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIU | W 77-58 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 14 | vs XAV | W 81-62 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs SEMO | W 99-70 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 20 | vs CHST | W 93-54 | -31.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 25 | vs MISS | W 74-69 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs GCU | W 59-46 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | @ MSU | L 52-71 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+9.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−11.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
+3.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+5.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+7.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+0.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
+4.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−13.5
covered 6didn’t cover 2avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+33.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−10.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
−0.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+21.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+4.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+2.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
−38.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−10.5
over 4under 4avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Maryland
6-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wagner89–63
- Lvs Alabama72–105
- Lvs Gonzaga61–100
- Wvs UNLV74–67
- Wvs Mount St Marys95–90
4 days since their last game.
Iowa
7-1 overall · 0-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Michigan St52–71
- Wvs Grand Canyon59–46
- Wvs Ole Miss74–69
- Wvs Chicago St93–54
- Wvs SE Missouri99–70
4 days since their last game.