T-Mobile Center · Neutral site
Closing line
KU -5.5✓ KU covered by 14.5
KU -5.5✓ KU covered by 14.5Closing total150.5Under by 10.5
 MIZ | This season | KU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-1 | Record | 6-3 |
| 4-5 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 2-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MIZ 75–78 KU · ✓ KU (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ | 25 | 35 | 60 |
| KU | 33 | 47 | 80 |
1st half: MIZ 25, KU 33 (KU by 8). The model had KU by 1.7 and a total of 71.5 (actual 58).
Team stats
| MIZ | KU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-61 34% | Field goals | 26-57 46% |
| 7-27 26% | 3-pointers | 9-21 43% |
| 11-21 52% | Free throws | 19-26 73% |
| 35 16 off | Rebounds | 41 12 off |
| 12 | Assists | 17 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 7-15 | 1-3 |
| Anthony Robinson II G | 29 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 20 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Annor Boateng G | 19 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Jevon Porter F | 16 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| T.O. Barrett F | 27 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Jacob Crews G | 24 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| Luke Northweather F | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Sebastian Mack G | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Nicholas Randall F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trent Burns C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jayden Stone, Aaron Rowe, Trent Pierce
| KU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Council Jr. G | 36 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 4-10 | 0-0 |
| Tre White G | 36 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| Bryson Tiller F | 27 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Flory Bidunga F | 26 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Darryn Peterson G | 23 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 6-14 | 3-9 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamari McDowell G | 24 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Elmarko Jackson G | 21 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Paul Mbiya C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kohl Rosario G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Dawson G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Justin Cross, Wilder Evers, Will Thengvall, Samis Calderon, Nginyu Ngala, Corbin Allen
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKU -4.5
1 → KU
CloseKU -5.5
1 pt toward KU
Total
Open149.5
▲ 1
Close150.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MIZ +220 · KU -270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KU -4.5 · closed KU -5.5 · moved 1 toward KUmodel KU -3
model KU -3
Opened 149.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 1 upmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | KU -5.5 | KU -3.1 | MIZ +2.4 | L KU covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 152.8 | Over 2.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MIZ 74.8 · KU 78 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | KU -1.7 | KU -8.0 |
| 1H total | 71.5 | 58 |
| 1H projected score | MIZ 34.9 · KU 36.6 | MIZ 25 · KU 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZlast 9 | 8-1 89% | 4-5 44% | 4-5 44% |
| KUlast 9 | 6-3 67% | 5-4 56% | 2-7 22% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MIZ 1–3 KUKU leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · MIZ 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024-25 | KU 67 @ MIZ 76 | MIZ +6.5 | MIZ W |
| Dec 9, 2023-24 | MIZ 64 @ KU 73 | KU -12.5 | MIZ W |
| Dec 10, 2022-23 | KU 95 @ MIZ 67 | MIZ +2.5 | KU W |
| Dec 11, 2021-22 | MIZ 65 @ KU 102 | KU -23 | KU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Missouri
9 games played
Straight up
8-1
89% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOW | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs SEMO | W 89-84 | -25.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 9 | vs VMI | W 106-68 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MINN | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | vs PV | W 91-73 | -35.5 | L −17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs SDAK | W 102-68 | -24.5 | W +9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs SCST | W 98-66 | -34.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLE | W 86-59 | -31.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | @ ND | L 71-76 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
+15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−17.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
+9.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
−2.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−4.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
−6.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
−15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−2.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
−1.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
+3.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−25.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
+0.5
over 4under 5avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas
9 games played
Straight up
6-3
67% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-7
22% overs · avg −8.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GB | W 94-51 | -30.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 7 | @ UNC | L 74-87 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs AMCC | W 77-46 | -25.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 15 | vs PRIN | W 76-57 | -22.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs DUKE | L 66-78 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 24 | vsND | W 71-61 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs SYR | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs TENN | W 81-76 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | vs CONN | L 56-61 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
+12.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
−10.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
+5.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−3.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−1.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
+4.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
+6.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+12.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−1.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
−7.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
+1.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
−22.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−11.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−5.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
−11.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
−13.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+16.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−24.5
over 2under 7avg −8.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Missouri
8-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Notre Dame71–76
- Wvs Cleveland St86–59
- Wvs SC State98–66
- Wvs South Dakota102–68
- Wvs Prairie View91–73
5 days since their last game.
Kansas
6-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UConn56–61
- Wvs Tennessee81–76
- Wvs Syracuse71–60
- Wvs Notre Dame71–61
- Lvs Duke66–78
5 days since their last game.