Dean E. Smith Center · at North Carolina
Closing line
UNC -2.5✓ UNC covered by 10.5
UNC -2.5✓ UNC covered by 10.5Closing total159.5Over by 1.5
 KU | This season | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KU 77–76 UNC · ✗ KU (56%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KU | 37 | 37 | 74 |
| UNC | 29 | 58 | 87 |
1st half: KU 37, UNC 29 (KU by 8). The model had KU by 1.2 and a total of 71.6 (actual 66).
Team stats
| KU | UNC | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-58 45% | Field goals | 34-66 52% |
| 12-25 48% | 3-pointers | 8-27 30% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 11-17 65% |
| 27 7 off | Rebounds | 39 16 off |
| 14 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| KU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flory Bidunga F | 36 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Melvin Council Jr. G | 33 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 2-11 | 0-4 |
| Darryn Peterson G | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 8-14 | 3-5 |
| Tre White G | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Kohl Rosario G | 20 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elmarko Jackson G | 19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Bryson Tiller F | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 4-4 |
| Jayden Dawson G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Jamari McDowell G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Paul Mbiya C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Samis Calderon F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Corbin Allen, Nginyu Ngala, Will Thengvall, Justin Cross, Wilder Evers
| UNC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henri Veesaar C | 38 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 8-12 | 2-5 |
| Seth Trimble G | 36 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 7-17 | 0-5 |
| Kyan Evans G | 32 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5-11 | 2-7 |
| Caleb Wilson F | 31 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 9-11 | 0-1 |
| Jarin Stevenson F | 23 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luka Bogavac G | 19 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Derek Dixon G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zayden High F | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Jonathan Powell G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Jaydon Young, Evan Smith, James Brown, Ivan Matlekovic, John Holbrook, Isaiah Denis, Elijah Davis
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNC -1.5
1 → UNC
CloseUNC -2.5
1 pt toward UNC
Total
Open153.5
▲ 6
Close159.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
KU +130 · UNC -150
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNC -1.5 · closed UNC -2.5 · moved 1 toward UNCmodel KU -1.5
model KU -1.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 6 upmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNC -2.5 | KU -1.6 | KU +4.1 | L UNC covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 152.9 | Under 6.6 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | KU 77.3 · UNC 75.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | KU -1.2 | KU -8.0 |
| 1H total | 71.6 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | KU 36.4 · UNC 35.2 | KU 37 · UNC 29 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KUlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
| UNClast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
KU 2–0 UNCKU leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · KU has won the last 2 meetings · KU 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2024-25 | UNC 89 @ KU 92 | KU -7.5 | UNC W |
| Apr 4, 2021-22 | UNC 69 vs KU 72 | KU -4 | UNC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kansas
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +12.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GB | W 94-51 | -30.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
+12.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
−7.5
over 0under 1avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Carolina
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −9.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CARK | W 94-54 | -31.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCARK
CARKW 94-54
+8.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCARK
CARKW 94-54
−9.5
over 0under 1avg −9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kansas
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Green Bay94–51
4 days since their last game.
North Carolina
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs C Arkansas94–54
4 days since their last game.