Bud Walton Arena · at Arkansas · Conference game
Closing line
ARK -10.5✓ LSU covered by 6.5
ARK -10.5✓ LSU covered by 6.5Closing total163.5Over by 2.5
 LSU | This season | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| 13-6 | Record | 14-5 |
| 11-8 | ATS | 13-6 |
| 8-11 | O/U | 10-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LSU 79–86 ARK · ✓ ARK (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 37 | 44 | 81 |
| ARK | 33 | 52 | 85 |
1st half: LSU 37, ARK 33 (LSU by 4). The model had ARK by 4.1 and a total of 77.5 (actual 70).
Team stats
| LSU | ARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-61 46% | Field goals | 34-60 57% |
| 3-15 20% | 3-pointers | 10-22 45% |
| 22-25 88% | Free throws | 7-18 39% |
| 36 13 off | Rebounds | 28 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| LSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo Tamba F | 37 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Max Mackinnon G | 35 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 4-12 | 1-7 |
| Dedan Thomas Jr. G | 31 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 7-20 | 1-3 |
| Marquel Sutton F | 29 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Mike Nwoko F | 27 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Reece G | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Rashad King G | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Robert Miller III F | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Marcus Vaughn, Ron Zipper, Matt Gilhool, Jaden Bobbett, Mazi Mosley, PJ Carter, Jalen Reed
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 35 | 31 | 2 | 6 | 13-19 | 4-7 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 28 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Meleek Thomas G | 26 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 6-9 | 2-3 |
| Karter Knox G | 24 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Nick Pringle F | 23 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Billy Richmond III G | 28 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| DJ Wagner G | 19 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Malique Ewin F | 17 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jaden Karuletwa, Elmir Dzafic, Karim Rtail, Paulo Semedo, Ayden Kelley, Isaiah Sealy, Amere Brown
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARK -9.5
1 → ARK
CloseARK -10.5
1 pt toward ARK
Total
Open165.5
▼ 2
Close163.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
LSU +455 · ARK -625
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARK -9.5 · closed ARK -10.5 · moved 1 toward ARKmodel ARK -7
model ARK -7
Opened 165.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 2 downmodel 165.5
model 165.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARK -10.5 | ARK -7.0 | LSU +3.5 | W LSU covered |
| Total | 163.5 | 165.6 | Over 2.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | LSU 79.3 · ARK 86.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARK -4.1 | LSU -4.0 |
| 1H total | 77.5 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | LSU 36.7 · ARK 40.8 | LSU 37 · ARK 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| ARK | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
LSU 3–6 ARKARK leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · LSU 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | LSU 58 @ ARK 70 | ARK -9.5 | ARK W |
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | ARK 74 @ LSU 78 | LSU -0.5 | LSU W |
| Mar 6, 2023-24 | LSU 83 @ ARK 94 | ARK -4.5 | ARK W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | ARK 74 @ LSU 95 | LSU -4.5 | LSU W |
| Jan 24, 2022-23 | LSU 40 @ ARK 60 | ARK -12.5 | ARK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LSU
19 games played
Straight up
13-6
68% wins
Against the spread
11-8
58% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs TAR | W 96-60 | -15.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 10 | vs NOLA | W 93-58 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -21.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs ALCN | W 107-81 | -32.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 21 | vs OMA | W 99-73 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 28 | vs DRKE | W 71-62 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs DEP | W 96-63 | -5.5 | W +27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ BC | W 78-69 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs TTU | L 58-82 | +5.5 | L −18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs SMU | W 89-77 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs SELA | W 78-65 | -24.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs PV | W 104-90 | -29.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 29 | vs USM | W 90-62 | -21.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | @ TA&M | L 72-75 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | vs SC | L 68-78 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 10 | @ VAN | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | vs UK | L 74-75 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | vs MIZ | W 78-70 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 20 | @ FLA | L 61-79 | +15.5 | L −2.5 | 158.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+20.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
+15.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−4.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
−6.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+5.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−2.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+27.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
+1.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−18.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+10.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−11.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
−15.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
+6.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
+2.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
−17.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
+2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
+2.5
17
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-70
+6.5
20
@FLA
FLAL 61-79
−2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 8avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+7.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
−11.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+20.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
+32.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+8.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−18.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+6.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
−2.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−14.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+7.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−1.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
+32.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
−2.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
−21.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
+0.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
−2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
−2.5
17
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-70
−0.5
20
@FLA
FLAL 61-79
−18.5
over 8under 11avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arkansas
19 games played
Straight up
14-5
74% wins
Against the spread
13-6
68% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +5.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SOU | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 8 | @ MSU | L 66-69 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs CARK | W 93-56 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAM | W 79-75 | -24.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs WIN | W 84-83 | -23.5 | L −22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs JKST | W 115-61 | -29.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | vs DUKE | L 71-80 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs LOU | W 89-80 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs FRES | W 82-58 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vsTTU | W 93-86 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs QUC | W 108-80 | -23.5 | W +4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOU | L 85-94 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs JMU | W 103-74 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | vs TENN | W 86-75 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 7 | @ MISS | W 94-87 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | @ AUB | L 73-95 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | vsSC | W 108-74 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @ UGA | L 76-90 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | vsVAN | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+5.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−0.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−20.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−22.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+24.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
+3.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+10.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
+4.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+9.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+4.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
−3.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+5.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+12.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+3.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−19.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+21.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−11.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
+23.5
covered 13didn’t cover 6avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+35.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−20.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
−9.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−4.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−1.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+16.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
−8.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+2.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
−21.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+23.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+18.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
+32.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+17.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+2.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+27.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−1.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+26.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−15.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
−12.5
over 10under 9avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LSU
13-6 overall · 1-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Florida61–79
- Wvs Missouri78–70
- Lvs Kentucky74–75
- L@ Vanderbilt73–84
- Lvs South Carolina68–78
4 days since their last game.
Arkansas
14-5 overall · 4-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Vanderbilt93–68
- L@ Georgia76–90
- Wvs South Carolina108–74
- L@ Auburn73–95
- W@ Ole Miss94–87
4 days since their last game.