Bridgestone Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
TENN -1.5✓ ILL covered by 14.5
TENN -1.5✓ ILL covered by 14.5Closing total149.5Under by 12.5
 ILL | This season | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 7-2 |
| 4-4 | ATS | 3-6 |
| 2-6 | O/U | 6-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ILL 79–77 TENN · ✓ ILL (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | 32 | 43 | 75 |
| TENN | 34 | 28 | 62 |
1st half: ILL 32, TENN 34 (TENN by 2). The model had ILL by 1.1 and a total of 73.2 (actual 66).
Team stats
| ILL | TENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-58 48% | Field goals | 24-65 37% |
| 11-28 39% | 3-pointers | 6-20 30% |
| 8-14 57% | Free throws | 8-18 44% |
| 31 11 off | Rebounds | 46 23 off |
| 14 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 7 | Blocks | 4 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| ILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylan Boswell G | 36 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 6-11 | 0-3 |
| Keaton Wagler G | 34 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 5-13 | 4-11 |
| Tomislav Ivisic C | 31 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 7-13 | 2-6 |
| David Mirkovic F | 30 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Andrej Stojakovic G | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Humrichous F | 26 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic F | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Jake Davis F | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Mihailo Petrovic G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Blake Fagbemi, Brandon Lee, Ty Rodgers, AJ Redd, Jason Jakstys
| TENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie G | 35 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 6-20 | 3-9 |
| Nate Ament F | 31 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-14 | 0-3 |
| Felix Okpara F | 28 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Bishop Boswell G | 26 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Cade Phillips F | 18 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Carey F | 18 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Amaree Abram G | 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Amari Evans G | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| DeWayne Brown II F | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| J.P. Estrella F | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Burg G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gavin Paull, Grant Hurst, Troy Henderson, Campbell Duncan, Clarence Massamba
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTENN -2.5
1 → ILL
CloseTENN -1.5
1 pt toward ILL
Total
Open150.5
▼ 1
Close149.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
ILL +114 · TENN -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TENN -2.5 · closed TENN -1.5 · moved 1 toward ILLmodel ILL -1.5
model ILL -1.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 1 downmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TENN -1.5 | ILL -1.7 | ILL +3.2 | W ILL covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 156.5 | Over 7.0 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | ILL 79.1 · TENN 77.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILL -1.1 | TENN -2.0 |
| 1H total | 73.2 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | ILL 37.2 · TENN 36 | ILL 32 · TENN 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILLlast 8 | 6-2 75% | 4-4 50% | 2-6 25% |
| TENNlast 9 | 7-2 78% | 3-6 33% | 6-3 67% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ILL 0–2 TENNTENN leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · TENN has won the last 2 meetings · ILL 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024-25 | TENN 66 @ ILL 64 | ILL +1.5 | TENN W |
| Dec 9, 2023-24 | ILL 79 @ TENN 86 | TENN -7.5 | ILL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Illinois
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-6
25% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JKST | W 113-55 | -28.5 | W +29.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 7 | vs FGCU | W 113-70 | -29.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs TTU | W 81-77 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs COLG | W 84-65 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALA | L 86-90 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 22 | vs LIU | W 98-58 | -34.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs RGV | W 87-73 | -33.5 | L −19.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 28 | vs CONN | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+29.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+13.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
+0.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−11.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−6.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
+5.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−19.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−8.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+10.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+22.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
−10.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−15.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−4.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
−4.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−4.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−15.5
over 2under 6avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tennessee
9 games played
Straight up
7-2
78% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MER | W 76-61 | -28.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs NKU | W 95-56 | -27.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNF | W 99-66 | -41.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs RICE | W 91-66 | -26.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 20 | vs TNST | W 89-60 | -31.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs RUTG | W 85-60 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs HOU | W 76-73 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs KU | L 76-81 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | @ SYR | L 60-62 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−13.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+11.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
−8.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
−1.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−2.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+10.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+5.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
−12.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−6.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+13.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
+9.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
+13.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−8.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+3.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+12.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
+16.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−25.5
over 6under 3avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Illinois
6-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UConn61–74
- Wvs UT Rio Grande87–73
- Wvs Long Island98–58
- Lvs Alabama86–90
- Wvs Colgate84–65
A week or more of rest.
Tennessee
7-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Syracuse60–62
- Lvs Kansas76–81
- Wvs Houston76–73
- Wvs Rutgers85–60
- Wvs Tennessee St89–60
4 days since their last game.