State Farm Center · at Illinois
Closing line
ILL -34.5✓ ILL covered by 5.5
ILL -34.5✓ ILL covered by 5.5Closing total160.5Under by 4.5
 LIU | This season | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 4-1 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 3-2 |
| 3-2 | O/U | 2-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIU 64–95 ILL · ✓ ILL (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIU | 19 | 39 | 58 |
| ILL | 54 | 44 | 98 |
1st half: LIU 19, ILL 54 (ILL by 35). The model had ILL by 18.5 and a total of 74.3 (actual 73).
Team stats
| LIU | ILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-60 38% | Field goals | 41-65 63% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 5-16 31% |
| 4-7 57% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 22 9 off | Rebounds | 40 13 off |
| 8 | Assists | 15 |
| 11 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 11 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 9 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 68 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| LIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Gordon G | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Malachi Davis G | 22 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 5-13 | 0-3 |
| Jamal Fuller G | 20 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Shadrak Lasu F | 20 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Jomo Goings G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Faheim Meran G | 30 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| A.J. Neal Jr. G | 24 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 6-11 | 2-3 |
| Mason Porter-Brown F | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Tre'shawn Sheppard G | 15 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Xinyi Li F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Miranda F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Caleb Johnson, Eddie Munyak, Gavin Pendergast, Max Ndlovu-Fraser
| ILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylan Boswell G | 30 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Keaton Wagler G | 28 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 7-10 | 2-4 |
| Andrej Stojakovic G | 24 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 10-15 | 0-1 |
| Tomislav Ivisic C | 21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| David Mirkovic F | 20 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Humrichous F | 17 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic F | 16 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Jake Davis F | 14 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Brandon Lee G | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Mihailo Petrovic G | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Jason Jakstys C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Blake Fagbemi G | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| AJ Redd G | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ty Rodgers
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILL -34.5
no move
CloseILL -34.5
No change since the open
Total
Open162.5
▼ 2
Close160.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILL -34.5 · unchangedmodel ILL -31
model ILL -31
Opened 162.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 2 downmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ILL -34.5 | ILL -30.9 | LIU +3.6 | L ILL covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 158.7 | Under 1.8 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | LIU 63.9 · ILL 94.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILL -18.5 | ILL -35.0 |
| 1H total | 74.3 | 73 |
| 1H projected score | LIU 27.9 · ILL 46.4 | LIU 19 · ILL 54 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIUlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% |
| ILLlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Long Island
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
ND
NDL 67-89
−6.5
6
@
IUIN
IUINW 94-90
+8.5
11
@
AF
AFW 76-72
−1.5
15
vs
JMU
JMUW 88-79
+5.5
20
@
FOR
FORL 53-69
−11.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ND
NDL 67-89
+20.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 94-90
−1.5
11
@AF
AFW 76-72
+10.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 88-79
+19.5
20
@FOR
FORL 53-69
−23.5
over 3under 2avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Illinois
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +5.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
JKST
JKSTW 113-55
+29.5
7
vs
FGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+13.5
11
vs
TTU
TTUW 81-77
+0.5
14
vs
COLG
COLGW 84-65
−11.5
19
vs
ALA
ALAL 86-90
−6.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+10.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+22.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
−10.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−15.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−4.5
over 2under 3avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Long Island
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Fordham53–69
- Wvs James Madison88–79
- W@ Air Force76–72
- W@ IU Indy94–90
- L@ Notre Dame67–89
2 days since their last game.
Illinois
4-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Alabama86–90
- Wvs Colgate84–65
- Wvs Texas Tech81–77
- Wvs FGCU113–70
- Wvs Jackson St113–55
3 days since their last game.