Memorial Gymnasium (TN) · at Vanderbilt · Conference game
Closing line
FLA -1.5✓ FLA covered by 2.5
FLA -1.5✓ FLA covered by 2.5Closing total164.5Over by 27.5
| FLA | This season | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| 12-5 | Record | 16-1 |
| 7-10 | ATS | 10-7 |
| 7-10 | O/U | 9-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FLA 84–81 VAN · ✓ FLA (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 44 | 54 | 98 |
| VAN | 45 | 49 | 94 |
1st half: FLA 44, VAN 45 (VAN by 1). The model had FLA by 2.1 and a total of 77.1 (actual 89).
Team stats
| FLA | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-61 52% | Field goals | 33-65 51% |
| 9-24 38% | 3-pointers | 8-22 36% |
| 25-30 83% | Free throws | 20-22 91% |
| 40 13 off | Rebounds | 26 6 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 2 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 21 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| FLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Haugh F | 35 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Xaivian Lee G | 33 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 8-13 | 3-7 |
| Boogie Fland G | 33 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Rueben Chinyelu C | 31 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Alex Condon F | 28 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Brown G | 20 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Urban Klavzar G | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Micah Handlogten C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Josefsberg, Alex Kovatchev, AJ Brown, Olivier Rioux, CJ Ingram, Alex Lloyd, Viktor Mikic
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner G | 37 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 7-14 | 2-4 |
| Duke Miles G | 32 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5-15 | 1-5 |
| AK Okereke F | 30 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Tyler Nickel F | 29 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Washington F | 29 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Harris F | 20 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Mike James G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chandler Bing, Coleson Messer, Mason Nicholson, Jaylon Dean-Vines, Miles Keeffe, George Kimble III, Jayden Leverett, Frankie Collins
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAN -2.5
4 → FLA
CloseFLA -1.5
4 pts toward FLA
Total
Open160.5
▲ 4
Close164.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
FLA -122 · VAN +102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAN -2.5 · closed FLA -1.5 · moved 4 toward FLAmodel FLA -3.5
model FLA -3.5
Opened 160.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 4 upmodel 164.5 matches the line
model 164.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FLA -1.5 | FLA -3.3 | FLA +1.8 | W FLA covered |
| Total | 164.5 | 164.7 | Over 0.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | FLA 84 · VAN 80.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FLA -2.1 | VAN -1.0 |
| 1H total | 77.1 | 89 |
| 1H projected score | FLA 39.6 · VAN 37.5 | FLA 44 · VAN 45 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| VAN | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
FLA 4–3 VANFLA leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · FLA 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2024-25 | VAN 75 @ FLA 86 | FLA -9.5 | FLA W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | FLA 78 @ VAN 79 | VAN +9.5 | VAN W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | VAN 64 @ FLA 77 | FLA -15.5 | VAN W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | FLA 72 @ VAN 88 | VAN -4.5 | VAN W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | VAN 88 @ FLA 80 | FLA -8.5 | VAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Florida
17 games played
Straight up
12-5
71% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg −4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARIZ | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 6 | vs UNF | W 104-64 | -43.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs FSU | W 78-76 | -17.5 | L −15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | vs MIA | W 82-68 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 21 | vs MRMK | W 80-45 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 27 | vs TCU | L 80-84 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs PROV | W 90-78 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUKE | L 66-67 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 9 | vs CONN | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs GW | W 80-70 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs SFPA | W 102-61 | -44.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs COLG | W 90-60 | -27.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vs DART | W 94-72 | -35.5 | L −13.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 3 | @ MIZ | L 74-76 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vs UGA | W 92-77 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs TENN | W 91-67 | -4.5 | W +19.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 13 | @ OU | W 96-79 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
−9.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−3.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−15.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
+3.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−1.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
−15.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−0.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
+8.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+0.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−4.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
−3.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
+2.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
−13.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−9.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
+5.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+19.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+9.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
+15.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−1.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−26.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
−21.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−33.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
+8.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−1.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
−24.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+4.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−12.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
+6.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
−6.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
+5.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−4.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
−3.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+6.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+17.5
over 7under 10avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Vanderbilt
17 games played
Straight up
16-1
94% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIP | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCF | W 105-93 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 12 | vs EKU | W 92-62 | -28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs UAPB | W 104-75 | -41.5 | L −12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | vs TXSO | W 109-74 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs WKU | W 83-78 | -18.5 | L −13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs VCU | W 89-74 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs SMC | W 96-71 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | vs SMU | W 88-69 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs CARK | W 83-72 | -36.5 | L −25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 17 | @ MEM | W 77-70 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ WAKE | W 98-67 | -5.5 | W +25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 29 | vs NHVN | W 96-53 | -39.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ SC | W 83-71 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 7 | vs ALA | W 96-90 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vs LSU | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | @ TEX | L 64-80 | -3.5 | L −19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+17.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+1.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
+1.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
−12.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
−1.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−13.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+8.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+20.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
+8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−25.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−2.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+25.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
+2.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+2.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+11.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+31.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
−14.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
+6.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
+18.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−7.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+1.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+17.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
−8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−3.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−12.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+0.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+9.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
over 9under 8avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Florida
12-5 overall · 3-1 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oklahoma96–79
- Wvs Tennessee91–67
- Wvs Georgia92–77
- L@ Missouri74–76
- Wvs Dartmouth94–72
4 days since their last game.
Vanderbilt
16-1 overall · 3-1 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas64–80
- Wvs LSU84–73
- Wvs Alabama96–90
- W@ South Carolina83–71
- Wvs New Haven96–53
3 days since their last game.