Stephen C. O'Connell Center · at Florida
Closing line
FLA -27.5✓ FLA covered by 2.5
FLA -27.5✓ FLA covered by 2.5Closing total156.5Under by 6.5
 COLG | This season | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| 4-5 | Record | 7-4 |
| 7-2 | ATS | 3-8 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 4-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: COLG 65–93 FLA · ✓ FLA (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLG | 31 | 29 | 60 |
| FLA | 43 | 47 | 90 |
1st half: COLG 31, FLA 43 (FLA by 12). The model had FLA by 16.6 and a total of 73.6 (actual 74).
Team stats
| COLG | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-55 42% | Field goals | 32-62 52% |
| 11-17 65% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 3-8 38% | Free throws | 18-27 67% |
| 22 6 off | Rebounds | 49 20 off |
| 16 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| COLG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Cox G | 34 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Sam Wright F | 29 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 5-8 | 4-5 |
| Ben Tweedy G | 23 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Alekseyenko F | 22 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 4-14 | 2-3 |
| Josh Ahayere G | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kyle Carlesimo G | 22 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 4-5 |
| Cooper Wright F | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brady Cummins G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Ethan Brown F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ayomi Odetoyinbo F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Brennan F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Charlie Pugh G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jonathan Niv G | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Parker Jones, Stevie Clark, Blake Forrest
| FLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Condon F | 30 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 6-10 | 2-3 |
| Xaivian Lee G | 29 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 6-10 | 1-5 |
| Boogie Fland G | 28 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Thomas Haugh F | 26 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Rueben Chinyelu C | 18 | 16 | 12 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Micah Handlogten C | 19 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Urban Klavzar G | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Alex Kovatchev G | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| CJ Ingram G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alex Lloyd G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Viktor Mikic C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Olivier Rioux C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Josefsberg, AJ Brown
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFLA -27.5
ModelFLA -27.8
Model edgeFLA +0.3
W FLA covered
Total
Market156.5
Model157.3
Model edgeOver 0.8
L Under
Projected score
COLG 64.8 · FLA 92.5
COLG 60 · FLA 90
Win probability
FLA 99%
1st half
Spread
FLA -16.6
FLA -12.0
Total
73.6
74 points
Projected score
COLG 28.5 · FLA 45.1
COLG 31 · FLA 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFLA -30.5
3 → COLG
CloseFLA -27.5
3 pts toward COLG
Total
Open153.5
▲ 3
Close156.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FLA -30.5 · closed FLA -27.5 · moved 3 toward COLGmodel FLA -28
model FLA -28
Opened 153.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 3 upmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLGlast 9 | 4-5 44% | 7-2 78% | 4-5 44% |
| FLA | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colgate
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
7-2
78% covers · avg +4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MSU | L 69-80 | +22.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 7 | vs NE | L 65-68 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | vs DREX | W 90-83 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ ILL | L 65-84 | +30.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 17 | @ SIE | W 72-69 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | @ COR | L 94-95 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 28 | vs UALB | W 69-67 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs FOR | W 72-62 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 10 | @ SBU | L 77-85 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MSU
MSUL 69-80
+11.5
7
vsNE
NEL 65-68
−8.5
11
vsDREX
DREXW 90-83
+3.5
14
@ILL
ILLL 65-84
+11.5
17
@SIE
SIEW 72-69
+9.5
20
@COR
CORL 94-95
+4.5
28
vsUALB
UALBW 69-67
−5.5
30
vsFOR
FORW 72-62
+8.5
10
@SBU
SBUL 77-85
+1.5
covered 7didn’t cover 2avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MSU
MSUL 69-80
+4.5
7
vsNE
NEL 65-68
−14.5
11
vsDREX
DREXW 90-83
+29.5
14
@ILL
ILLL 65-84
−15.5
17
@SIE
SIEW 72-69
−5.5
20
@COR
CORL 94-95
+27.5
28
vsUALB
UALBW 69-67
−5.5
30
vsFOR
FORW 72-62
−8.5
10
@SBU
SBUL 77-85
+19.5
over 4under 5avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Florida
11 games played
Straight up
7-4
64% wins
Against the spread
3-8
27% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg −7.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARIZ | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 6 | vs UNF | W 104-64 | -43.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs FSU | W 78-76 | -17.5 | L −15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | vs MIA | W 82-68 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 21 | vs MRMK | W 80-45 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 27 | vs TCU | L 80-84 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs PROV | W 90-78 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUKE | L 66-67 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 9 | vs CONN | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs GW | W 80-70 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs SFPA | W 102-61 | -44.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
−9.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−3.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−15.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
+3.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−1.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
−15.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−0.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
+8.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+0.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−4.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
−3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 8avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
+15.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−1.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−26.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
−21.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−33.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
+8.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−1.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
−24.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+4.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−12.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
+6.5
over 4under 7avg −7.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colgate
4-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ St Bonaventure77–85
- Wvs Fordham72–62
- Wvs UAlbany69–67
- L@ Cornell94–95
- W@ Siena72–69
A week or more of rest.
Florida
7-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves102–61
- Wvs G Washington80–70
- Lvs UConn73–77
- L@ Duke66–67
- Wvs Providence90–78
4 days since their last game.