Fordham Rams vs Colgate Raiders: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 30, 3:30 PM ETPlace Bell · Neutral site

#100FORFordham62final

Final

#211COLGColgate72▲ winner

Closing lineCOLG -1.5✓ COLG covered by 8.5

Closing total142.5Under by 8.5

Season records: Fordham and Colgate
FOR	This season	COLG
3-2	Record	3-4
3-2	ATS	5-2
1-4	O/U	3-4

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: FOR 74–73 COLG · ✗ FOR (54%) lost

Loading the game…

Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
FOR	17	45	62
COLG	30	42	72

1st half: FOR 17, COLG 30 (COLG by 13). The model had FOR by 0.8 and a total of 69.2 (actual 47).

Team stats

FOR		COLG
26-60 43%	Field goals	27-60 45%
4-18 22%	3-pointers	9-26 35%
6-7 86%	Free throws	9-11 82%
32 10 off	Rebounds	36 12 off
11	Assists	13
5	Steals	7
3	Blocks	2
12	Turnovers	10
16	Fouls	11
40	Points in paint	34
2	Fast-break points	6

Players

FOR	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Dejour Reaves G	32	11	4	2	5-13	0-2
Christian Henry G	31	11	5	8	5-12	1-3
Rikus Schulte F	30	8	8	0	3-8	0-1
Akira Jacobs F	29	8	3	0	3-9	1-5
Louis Lesmond G	13	0	1	0	0-0	0-0
Bench
Marcus Greene G	27	6	2	1	2-5	2-4
Roor Akhuar F	20	6	4	0	3-5	0-1
Abass Bodija F	15	12	2	0	5-7	0-1
Kingston Price G	3	0	0	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Demitri Gardner, Aidan Crotty, Jack Whitbourn, Max Miller, Jace Howard, Ryan Pettis, Jameson O'Toole, Zarique Nutter

COLG	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jalen Cox G	38	7	6	6	3-4	1-1
Andrew Alekseyenko F	31	16	8	2	6-11	2-5
Sam Wright F	29	10	4	0	4-15	1-6
Josh Ahayere G	28	15	6	1	5-11	1-4
Ben Tweedy G	16	5	1	1	1-2	1-1
Bench
Kyle Carlesimo G	26	11	2	1	4-8	3-6
Brady Cummins G	12	6	0	0	3-6	0-2
Ayomi Odetoyinbo F	11	2	1	0	1-3	0-1
Cooper Wright F	9	0	1	2	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Ethan Brown, Charlie Pugh, Jonathan Niv, Blake Forrest, Cameron Brennan, Stevie Clark, Parker Jones

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	COLG -1.5	FOR -1.0	FOR +2.5	L COLG covered
Total	142.5	147.8	Over 5.3	L Under
Projected score	—	FOR 74.4 · COLG 73.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	FOR -0.8	COLG -13.0
1H total	69.2	47
1H projected score	FOR 35 · COLG 34.2	FOR 17 · COLG 30

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
FOR LLWWW	3-2	60%	1-0	1-0
COLG WWWWL	5-2	71%	0-1	1-2

Venue/role: FOR neutral site, as underdog; COLG neutral site, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
FOR UUUUO	1-4	20%	3-2
COLG OUUOU	3-4	43%	3-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FORlast 5	3-2 60%	3-2 60%	1-4 20%
COLGlast 7	3-4 43%	5-2 71%	3-4 43%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Fordham

5 games played

Straight up

3-2

60% wins

Against the spread

3-2

60% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-4

20% overs · avg −10.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-260%

L W L W W

2 straight wins3 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-260%

L L W W W

3 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

1-420%

U U U U O

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	vsNJIT	L 61-72	-14.5	L −25.5	147.5	U 133
Nov 11	vsWAG	W 63-61	-12.5	L −10.5	139.5	U 124
Nov 14	@IONA	L 71-76	+5.5	W +0.5	157.5	U 147
Nov 20	vsLIU	W 69-53	-4.5	W +11.5	145.5	U 122
Nov 29	vsUALB	W 88-68	-10.5	W +9.5	143.5	O 156

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NJIT

L 61-72

−25.5

WAG

W 63-61

−10.5

IONA

L 71-76

+0.5

LIU

W 69-53

+11.5

UALB

W 88-68

+9.5

covered 3didn’t cover 2avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NJIT

L 61-72

−14.5

WAG

W 63-61

−15.5

IONA

L 71-76

−10.5

LIU

W 69-53

−23.5

UALB

W 88-68

+12.5

over 1under 4avg −10.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Colgate

7 games played

Straight up

3-4

43% wins

Against the spread

5-2

71% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-4

43% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-443%

L L W L W L W

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

5-271%

W L W W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-443%

O U O U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@MSU	L 69-80	+22.5	W +11.5	144.5	O 149
Nov 7	vsNE	L 65-68	-5.5	L −8.5	147.5	U 133
Nov 11	vsDREX	W 90-83	-3.5	W +3.5	143.5	O 173
Nov 14	@ILL	L 65-84	+30.5	W +11.5	164.5	U 149
Nov 17	@SIE	W 72-69	+6.5	W +9.5	146.5	U 141
Nov 20	@COR	L 94-95	+5.5	W +4.5	161.5	O 189
Nov 28	vsUALB	W 69-67	-7.5	L −5.5	141.5	U 136

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

MSU

L 69-80

+11.5

L 65-68

−8.5

DREX

W 90-83

+3.5

ILL

L 65-84

+11.5

SIE

W 72-69

+9.5

COR

L 94-95

+4.5

UALB

W 69-67

−5.5

covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

MSU

L 69-80

+4.5

L 65-68

−14.5

DREX

W 90-83

+29.5

ILL

L 65-84

−15.5

SIE

W 72-69

−5.5

COR

L 94-95

+27.5

UALB

W 69-67

−5.5

over 3under 4avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Fordham Rams vs Colgate Raiders

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Fordham

Colgate

Fordham

Colgate