Alabama A&M Bulldogs at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 30, 3:30 PM ETThe HTC Center · at Coastal

Final

#283CCUCoastal67▲ winner

Closing lineCCU -7.5✓ AAMU covered by 0.5

Closing total140.5Under by 13.5

Season records: Alabama A&M and Coastal
AAMU	This season	CCU
2-2	Record	3-3
2-2	ATS	4-2
2-2	O/U	3-3

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: AAMU 68–75 CCU · ✓ CCU (74%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
AAMU	31	29	60
CCU	36	31	67

1st half: AAMU 31, CCU 36 (CCU by 5). The model had CCU by 4.3 and a total of 67.0 (actual 67).

Team stats

AAMU		CCU
20-58 34%	Field goals	17-50 34%
6-19 32%	3-pointers	5-17 29%
14-22 64%	Free throws	28-34 82%
37 9 off	Rebounds	44 9 off
5	Assists	8
7	Steals	6
2	Blocks	4
10	Turnovers	11
23	Fouls	20
16	Points in paint	20
4	Fast-break points	7

Players

AAMU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
PJ Eason F	35	9	7	1	3-9	0-0
Koron Davis G	32	14	5	1	5-11	3-5
Sami Pissis G	29	8	4	1	2-9	0-3
Kintavious Dozier G	22	18	2	1	8-14	1-2
Lou Hutchinson III G	16	3	0	0	0-1	0-1
Bench
Gabe Kincy G	23	3	8	1	1-3	1-1
James Graham III G	17	0	6	0	0-7	0-3
Peyton Daniels Sr. G	13	5	1	0	1-2	1-2
Angok Anyang F	8	0	2	0	0-1	0-1
Tajden Davis G	4	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Bilal Abdur-Rahman G	1	0	0	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: James Flippin, Samuel Onu, Jalen Carruth, Jayden Jackson, Isaiah Ramey

CCU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Rasheed Jones G	37	9	6	2	1-8	1-5
AJ Dancler G	35	19	9	2	4-11	1-3
Joshua Beadle G	32	9	5	3	3-14	0-2
Reggie Hill F	19	8	5	1	2-3	1-1
Nadjrick Peat F	19	4	3	0	1-1	0-0
Bench
Tristan Thompson G	21	4	5	0	2-4	0-1
DaJohn Craig G	12	5	1	0	2-4	1-2
Derrick Green F	11	3	2	0	1-1	0-0
Jerry Ngopot F	9	0	2	0	0-2	0-1
Braeden MacVicar F	5	6	2	0	1-2	1-2

Did not play: Charles Dunlap, Jackson Keil, Devin Brown, Connor Martin, Andre Mulibea

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	CCU -7.5	CCU -7.3	AAMU +0.2	W AAMU covered
Total	140.5	142.9	Over 2.4	L Under
Projected score	—	AAMU 67.8 · CCU 75.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	CCU -4.3	CCU -5.0
1H total	67.0	67
1H projected score	AAMU 31.3 · CCU 35.6	AAMU 31 · CCU 36

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
AAMU LWWL	2-2	50%	0-2	0-2
CCU WWWWL	4-2	67%	1-0	2-0

Venue/role: AAMU away, as underdog; CCU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
AAMU OUUO	2-2	50%	2-2
CCU UOOUU	3-3	50%	3-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
AAMUlast 4	2-2 50%	2-2 50%	2-2 50%
CCUlast 6	3-3 50%	4-2 67%	3-3 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

AAMU 1–0 CCUAAMU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · AAMU 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 23, 2024-25	CCU 70 @ AAMU 77	AAMU +2.5	AAMU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Alabama A&M

4 games played

Straight up

2-2

50% wins

Against the spread

2-2

50% covers · avg −4.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-2

50% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-250%

L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

2-250%

L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

2-250%

O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	@IU	L 51-98	+30.5	L −16.5	147.5	O 149
Nov 13	vsCHSO	W 68-64	-1.5	W +2.5	152.5	U 132
Nov 16	vsLIN	W 74-65	-3.5	W +5.5	149.5	U 139
Nov 28	@CLEM	L 56-92	+27.5	L −8.5	141.5	O 148

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

L 51-98

−16.5

CHSO

W 68-64

+2.5

LIN

W 74-65

+5.5

CLEM

L 56-92

−8.5

covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

L 51-98

+1.5

CHSO

W 68-64

−20.5

LIN

W 74-65

−10.5

CLEM

L 56-92

+6.5

over 2under 2avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Coastal

6 games played

Straight up

3-3

50% wins

Against the spread

4-2

67% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-3

50% overs · avg −6.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-350%

L W L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

4-267%

L W W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-350%

O U O O U U

2 straight unders2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@WMU	L 71-76	+2.5	L −2.5	146.5	O 147
Nov 11	vsWIN	W 72-66	+2.5	W +8.5	165.5	U 138
Nov 14	@JXST	L 67-74	+7.5	W +0.5	139.5	O 141
Nov 21	@WIU	W 84-64	-3.5	W +16.5	138.5	O 148
Nov 22	vsUND	W 75-58	-3.5	W +13.5	147.5	U 133
Nov 23	@ILST	L 42-94	+12.5	L −39.5	146.5	U 136

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WMU

L 71-76

−2.5

WIN

W 72-66

+8.5

JXST

L 67-74

+0.5

WIU

W 84-64

+16.5

UND

W 75-58

+13.5

ILST

L 42-94

−39.5

covered 4didn’t cover 2avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WMU

L 71-76

+0.5

WIN

W 72-66

−27.5

JXST

L 67-74

+1.5

WIU

W 84-64

+9.5

UND

W 75-58

−14.5

ILST

L 42-94

−10.5

over 3under 3avg −6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Alabama A&M @ Coastal

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Alabama A&M

Coastal

Alabama A&M

Coastal