Western Hall · at W Illinois
Closing line
CCU -3.5✓ CCU covered by 16.5
CCU -3.5✓ CCU covered by 16.5Closing total138.5Over by 9.5
| CCU | This season | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 0-4 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CCU 71–67 WIU · ✓ CCU (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCU | 44 | 40 | 84 |
| WIU | 36 | 28 | 64 |
1st half: CCU 44, WIU 36 (CCU by 8). The model had CCU by 2.1 and a total of 64.8 (actual 80).
Team stats
| CCU | WIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-68 41% | Field goals | 23-62 37% |
| 14-33 42% | 3-pointers | 3-17 18% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 15-21 71% |
| 40 13 off | Rebounds | 34 10 off |
| 15 | Assists | 5 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| CCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Jones G | 30 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 6-17 | 4-10 |
| AJ Dancler G | 28 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 4-13 | 2-6 |
| Reggie Hill F | 23 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-2 |
| Joshua Beadle G | 23 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 6-12 | 2-4 |
| Nadjrick Peat F | 15 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tristan Thompson G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| DaJohn Craig G | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Jerry Ngopot F | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Derrick Green F | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Braeden MacVicar F | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Charles Dunlap G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jackson Keil G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Connor Martin F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Devin Brown, Andre Mulibea
| WIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Okwuosah F | 30 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 6-10 | 3-5 |
| Isaiah Griffin F | 27 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Goanar Biliew F | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Lucas Lorenzen G | 20 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-10 | 0-5 |
| Tyran Cook G | 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Karyiek Dixon F | 28 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 7-9 | 0-1 |
| Makai Kvamme G | 18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Pigram G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Ifiok Peter F | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Nick Hittle F | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Steven Tipton G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jake Edwards G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Antwaun Massey, Danny Stephens, Jack Riley
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCCU -3.5
ModelCCU -3.3
Model edgeWIU +0.2
L CCU covered
Total
Market138.5
Model138.2
Model edgeUnder 0.3
L Over
Projected score
CCU 70.7 · WIU 67.4
CCU 84 · WIU 64
Win probability
CCU 61%
1st half
Spread
CCU -2.1
CCU -8.0
Total
64.8
80 points
Projected score
CCU 33.5 · WIU 31.3
CCU 44 · WIU 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCCU -1.5
2 → CCU
CloseCCU -3.5
2 pts toward CCU
Total
Open136.5
▲ 2
Close138.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
CCU -170 · WIU +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CCU -1.5 · closed CCU -3.5 · moved 2 toward CCUmodel CCU -3.5 matches the line
model CCU -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 136.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 2 upmodel 138
model 138
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCUlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
| WIUlast 4 | 0-4 0% | 3-1 75% | 1-3 25% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Coastal
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
WMU
WMUL 71-76
−2.5
11
vs
WIN
WINW 72-66
+8.5
14
@
JXST
JXSTL 67-74
+0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WMU
WMUL 71-76
+0.5
11
vsWIN
WINW 72-66
−27.5
14
@JXST
JXSTL 67-74
+1.5
over 2under 1avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
W Illinois
4 games played
Straight up
0-4
0% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −7.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
RAD
RADL 75-80
+11.5
7
@
IOWA
IOWAL 58-77
+11.5
11
@
CSUB
CSUBL 58-74
−8.5
14
@
CBU
CBUL 59-69
+5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@RAD
RADL 75-80
+3.5
7
@IOWA
IOWAL 58-77
−10.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBL 58-74
−9.5
14
@CBU
CBUL 59-69
−12.5
over 1under 3avg −7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Coastal
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Jax State67–74
- Wvs Winthrop72–66
- L@ W Michigan71–76
A week or more of rest.
W Illinois
0-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ CA Baptist59–69
- L@ Bakersfield58–74
- L@ Iowa58–77
- L@ Radford75–80
A week or more of rest.