The Coliseum · at West Georgia
Closing line
WGA -2.5✓ WGA covered by 5.5
WGA -2.5✓ WGA covered by 5.5Closing total153.5Under by 17.5
 UPST | This season | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 2-2 |
| 3-1 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 2-2 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UPST 77–80 WGA · ✓ WGA (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | 28 | 36 | 64 |
| WGA | 32 | 40 | 72 |
1st half: UPST 28, WGA 32 (WGA by 4). The model had WGA by 1.4 and a total of 73.4 (actual 60).
Team stats
| UPST | WGA | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-69 35% | Field goals | 29-63 46% |
| 6-24 25% | 3-pointers | 4-12 33% |
| 10-16 63% | Free throws | 10-12 83% |
| 36 15 off | Rebounds | 48 14 off |
| 14 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| UPST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Smith G | 35 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Jafeth Martinez F | 32 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Learic Davis F | 30 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-3 |
| Mason Bendinger G | 30 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 9-16 | 0-1 |
| Karmani Gregory G | 22 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carmelo Adkins G | 26 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 5-15 | 3-9 |
| Isaiah Skinner G | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Coen Collier C | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Kanye Jones G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: TJ Lewis, Chico Johnson, Breylin Garcia, Nic Book, CJ Rich
| WGA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelton Williams-Dryden F | 39 | 22 | 17 | 1 | 8-18 | 0-0 |
| Kolten Griffin F | 35 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Chas Lewless G | 30 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-8 | 0-3 |
| Josh Smith G | 22 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 7-14 | 2-5 |
| Kenneth Chime PF | 21 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| JaVar Daniel F | 19 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Xavier Shegog F | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Malcolm Noel G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Eric Baldassarre G | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
Did not play: Maddox Fowles, Matija Zuzic, Cameron Merritt, Max Young, Brady Hardewig, Micah Smith, Nate Jones
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWGA -2.5
ModelWGA -2.5
Model edge—
WGA covered
Total
Market153.5
Model156.7
Model edgeOver 3.2
L Under
Projected score
UPST 77.1 · WGA 79.6
UPST 64 · WGA 72
Win probability
WGA 59%
1st half
Spread
WGA -1.4
WGA -4.0
Total
73.4
60 points
Projected score
UPST 36 · WGA 37.4
UPST 28 · WGA 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWGA -3.5
1 → UPST
CloseWGA -2.5
1 pt toward UPST
Total
Open155.5
▼ 2
Close153.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UPST +120 · WGA -140
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WGA -3.5 · closed WGA -2.5 · moved 1 toward UPSTmodel WGA -2.5 matches the line
model WGA -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 155.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 2 downmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPSTlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 3-1 75% | 2-2 50% |
| WGAlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 3-1 75% | 1-3 25% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SC Upstate
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CBU
CBUL 75-87
+2.5
5
@
FRES
FRESW 67-66
+10.5
15
@
UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
+1.5
19
vs
TNTC
TNTCL 84-88
−6.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+9.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
−31.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
−22.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
+21.5
over 2under 2avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
West Georgia
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
NEB
NEBL 53-86
−8.5
10
@
UCLA
UCLAL 62-83
+9.5
14
vs
CIT
CITW 100-92
+1.5
17
@TNTC
TNTCW 61-59
+6.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NEB
NEBL 53-86
−14.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 62-83
−1.5
14
vsCIT
CITW 100-92
+41.5
17
@TNTC
TNTCW 61-59
−32.5
over 1under 3avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SC Upstate
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Tennessee Tech84–88
- L@ UNC Wilmington60–73
- W@ Fresno St67–66
- L@ CA Baptist75–87
2 days since their last game.
West Georgia
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Tennessee Tech61–59
- Wvs The Citadel100–92
- L@ UCLA62–83
- L@ Nebraska53–86
4 days since their last game.