Stephen C. O'Connell Center · at Florida
Closing line
FLA -44.5✓ SFPA covered by 3.5
FLA -44.5✓ SFPA covered by 3.5Closing total156.5Over by 6.5
 SFPA | This season | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| 0-9 | Record | 6-4 |
| 2-7 | ATS | 3-7 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 3-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SFPA 55–99 FLA · ✓ FLA (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFPA | 23 | 38 | 61 |
| FLA | 47 | 55 | 102 |
1st half: SFPA 23, FLA 47 (FLA by 24). The model had FLA by 26.4 and a total of 72.0 (actual 70).
Team stats
| SFPA | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-63 40% | Field goals | 36-59 61% |
| 3-16 19% | 3-pointers | 10-27 37% |
| 8-11 73% | Free throws | 20-24 83% |
| 19 8 off | Rebounds | 44 13 off |
| 6 | Assists | 21 |
| 10 | Steals | 4 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| SFPA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ralph Martino Jr. G | 37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Skylar Wicks G | 33 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 9-22 | 2-6 |
| Zion Russell G | 31 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Gestin Liberis F | 23 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Victor Payne Jr. G | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cameron Tweedy F | 21 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Paris Papadatos G | 19 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Ahmad Harrison G | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Brandon Russell G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| KJ Swain Jr. G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Carson Rhodes, Trey Weiand, Ryen Gresko, Chris Moncrief, Melvin Weaver III, Kam Wylie, Kofi Asare, Brandon Rabish
| FLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Condon F | 25 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 5-7 | 0-2 |
| Thomas Haugh F | 25 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Xaivian Lee G | 23 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 7-9 | 2-4 |
| Boogie Fland G | 23 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Rueben Chinyelu C | 20 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Urban Klavzar G | 23 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Micah Handlogten C | 17 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 15 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| CJ Ingram G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Alex Lloyd G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Alex Kovatchev G | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Viktor Mikic C | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Olivier Rioux C | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Josefsberg, AJ Brown
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFLA -44.5
ModelFLA -44.1
Model edgeSFPA +0.4
W SFPA covered
Total
Market156.5
Model153.7
Model edgeUnder 2.8
L Over
Projected score
SFPA 54.8 · FLA 98.9
SFPA 61 · FLA 102
Win probability
FLA 100%
1st half
Spread
FLA -26.4
FLA -24.0
Total
72.0
70 points
Projected score
SFPA 22.8 · FLA 49.2
SFPA 23 · FLA 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFLA -44.5
no move
CloseFLA -44.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
▲ 3
Close156.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FLA -44.5 · unchangedmodel FLA -44
model FLA -44
Opened 153.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 3 upmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFPAlast 9 | 0-9 0% | 2-7 22% | 4-5 44% |
| FLA | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Francis Red Wolves
9 games played
Straight up
0-9
0% wins
Against the spread
2-7
22% covers · avg −5.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ OU | L 66-102 | +31.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 6 | @ TCU | L 63-104 | +27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 11 | vs MSM | L 66-74 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 18 | @ LEH | L 62-79 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs BEL | L 57-94 | +21.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TROY | L 64-74 | +21.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 1 | @ XAV | L 74-96 | +27.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 7 | @ RAD | L 56-89 | +13.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | @ TEM | L 67-95 | +20.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@OU
OUL 66-102
−4.5
6
@TCU
TCUL 63-104
−13.5
11
vsMSM
MSML 66-74
−1.5
18
@LEH
LEHL 62-79
−6.5
24
vsBEL
BELL 57-94
−15.5
26
vsTROY
TROYL 64-74
+11.5
1
@XAV
XAVL 74-96
+5.5
7
@RAD
RADL 56-89
−19.5
14
@TEM
TEML 67-95
−7.5
covered 2didn’t cover 7avg −5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@OU
OUL 66-102
+18.5
6
@TCU
TCUL 63-104
+13.5
11
vsMSM
MSML 66-74
−9.5
18
@LEH
LEHL 62-79
−10.5
24
vsBEL
BELL 57-94
−6.5
26
vsTROY
TROYL 64-74
−13.5
1
@XAV
XAVL 74-96
+17.5
7
@RAD
RADL 56-89
−9.5
14
@TEM
TEML 67-95
+11.5
over 4under 5avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Florida
10 games played
Straight up
6-4
60% wins
Against the spread
3-7
30% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-7
30% overs · avg −9.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARIZ | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 6 | vs UNF | W 104-64 | -43.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs FSU | W 78-76 | -17.5 | L −15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | vs MIA | W 82-68 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 21 | vs MRMK | W 80-45 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 27 | vsTCU | L 80-84 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs PROV | W 90-78 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUKE | L 66-67 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 9 | vs CONN | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs GW | W 80-70 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
−9.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−3.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−15.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
+3.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−1.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
−15.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−0.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
+8.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+0.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−4.5
covered 3didn’t cover 7avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
+15.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−1.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−26.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
−21.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−33.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
+8.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−1.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
−24.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+4.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−12.5
over 3under 7avg −9.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
0-9 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Temple67–95
- L@ Radford56–89
- L@ Xavier74–96
- Lvs Troy64–74
- Lvs Belmont57–94
3 days since their last game.
Florida
6-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs G Washington80–70
- Lvs UConn73–77
- L@ Duke66–67
- Wvs Providence90–78
- Lvs TCU80–84
4 days since their last game.