1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 5
  3. BELL @ IU
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 5

Bellarmine Knights at Indiana Hoosiers

Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall · at Indiana
#295BELLBellarmine
@
#38IUIndiana
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
BELLThis seasonIU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects IU 91–63 · win probability IU 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 154.8
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: IU has more of the edges

BELL 1, IU 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
IUBig
IU offense vs BELL defense
Offense 41st of 366 against a defense 345th, on the model’s ratings
IUBig
BELL offense vs IU defense
Offense 239th of 366 against a defense 38th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
BELL has played the 229th-hardest schedule, IU the 48th. A record against a soft schedule means less
IUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: BELL 59.4 and allows 59.4; IU 56.1 and allows 49.0
IUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BELL 22.4%, IU 26.9%. Defensive: BELL 65.8%, IU 70.8%
BELLSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BELL 56%, IU 19%. Transfers in: BELL 1, IU 8. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
IUSmall
Three-pointers
BELL hits 38.1% and allows 40.4%; IU hits 34.7% and allows 33.1%. Threes are 41.2% and 50.5% of their shots
IUSmall
Home court
IU at home. This season: IU 0-0 at home, BELL 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: BELL 35.0, IU 35.0. Allowed: BELL 34.3, IU 37.0
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: BELL plays 66.7 a game (288th fastest), IU 67.4 (260th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BELL 15.4%, IU 15.1%. Forced: BELL 15.1%, IU 15.1%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—IU -27.9—
Total—154.8—
Projected score—BELL 63.4 · IU 91.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadIU -16.5—
1H total72.3—
1H projected scoreBELL 27.9 · IU 44.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Indiana has the better starters

Position by position: Bellarmine 0, Indiana 5, even 0
BellarmineBetterIndiana
G K. Goodin11.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast Score 31
IUBig
G M. Burton TR18.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 3.7 ast Score 98
G T. Doyle10 pts · 2.9 reb · 4 ast Score 35
IUBig
G B. Lindsay TR12.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.1 ast Score 75
F S. Donald6.5 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 12
IUBig
G J. Mustaf TR10.4 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.4 ast Score 65
F J. Wassler3.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.3 ast Score 4
IUBig
F A. Sherrell TR11.1 pts · 6.2 reb · 1.1 ast Score 98
F T. Tornatta TR3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 26
IUBig
C S. Yigitoglu TR10.7 pts · 7.9 reb · 1.6 ast Score 64
BellarmineBetterIndiana
BELL offense239th of 366 · -7.3
IUBig
IU defense38th of 366 · +3.0
BELL defense345th of 366 · -9.2
IUBig
IU offense41st of 366 · +4.8
Backcourt-3.8 · 2 players
IUBig
Backcourt+6.3 · 3 players
Frontcourt-4.9 · 3 players
IUBig
Frontcourt+5.8 · 2 players
Bench-1.5 · 3 players
IUSmall
Bench+0.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestBELL betterIU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Bellarmine
Guards
K. Goodin33 minT. Doyle28 minG. Whitaker7 minG. Neal3 minT. Clark2 minJ. GizziNew
Forwards
S. Donald27 minJ. Wassler12 minT. Tornatta9 min · TRA. McAfeeNewB. KlopfensteinNewE. HarrellNew
Indiana
Guards
M. Burton30 min · TRB. Lindsay29 min · TRJ. Mustaf28 min · TRJ. Monden21 min · TRD. Harris10 min · TRD. Snively2 min
Forwards
A. Sherrell24 min · TRS. Alexis21 minT. Sisley13 minB. Winker3 min · TRV. KarvalaNewT. ManhertzNew
Centers
S. Yigitoglu29 min · TRC. SokolovNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
BELLIU
Scoring
78.9 #80Points per game78.2 #93
1.18 #34Points per possession1.16 #46
66.7 #288Pace (possessions)67.4 #260
Shooting
59.4 #3Effective FG%56.1 #22
38.1 #173-point %34.7 #138
41.2 #1453-point attempt rate50.5 #14
35.0 #178Free throw rate35.0 #179
Possessions
15.4 #100Turnover rate15.1 #71
22.4 #354Offensive rebound rate26.9 #300
14.8 #98Assists per game16.6 #34
Defense
83.3 #350Points allowed72.2 #109
1.25 #365Points allowed per possession1.07 #131
59.4 #365Opponent effective FG%49.0 #68
40.4 #364Opponent 3-point %33.1 #128
15.1 #277Turnovers forced15.1 #284
65.8 #320Defensive rebound rate70.8 #122
5.8 #255Steals per game4.7 #348
1.7 #356Blocks per game2.7 #278
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Bellarmine

11-19 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs C Arkansas73–86
  • Wvs Jacksonville82–79
  • Wvs Austin Peay111–97
  • L@ North Alabama68–73
  • Lvs E Kentucky92–95

A week or more of rest.

Indiana

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 9-12 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Northwestern61–74
  • L@ Ohio State78–91
  • Wvs Minnesota77–47
  • Lvs Michigan St64–77
  • Lvs Northwestern68–72

A week or more of rest.