Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall · at Indiana · Conference game
Closing line
MSU -2.5✓ MSU covered by 10.5
MSU -2.5✓ MSU covered by 10.5Closing total144.5Under by 3.5
| MSU | This season | IU |
|---|---|---|
| 23-5 | Record | 17-11 |
| 14-14 | ATS | 13-15 |
| 12-16 | O/U | 13-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MSU 75–72 IU · ✓ MSU (61%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | 45 | 32 | 77 |
| IU | 37 | 27 | 64 |
1st half: MSU 45, IU 37 (MSU by 8). The model had MSU by 2.1 and a total of 68.5 (actual 82).
Team stats
| MSU | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-51 49% | Field goals | 22-56 39% |
| 12-24 50% | 3-pointers | 10-35 29% |
| 15-19 79% | Free throws | 10-13 77% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 27 8 off |
| 15 | Assists | 8 |
| 2 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| MSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. G | 37 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 7-13 | 2-5 |
| Coen Carr F | 36 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Jaxon Kohler F | 32 | 21 | 13 | 2 | 7-12 | 3-5 |
| Carson Cooper C | 21 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Scott F | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kur Teng G | 29 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 6-8 | 6-8 |
| Cam Ward F | 17 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Trey Fort G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Denham Wojcik G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brennan Walton, Colin Walton, Jesse McCulloch, Nick Sanders, Divine Ugochukwu, Kaleb Glenn
| IU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker DeVries F | 40 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 6-16 | 3-12 |
| Lamar Wilkerson G | 40 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 11-21 | 5-14 |
| Sam Alexis F | 31 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Nick Dorn G | 28 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Conor Enright G | 27 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jasai Miles G | 19 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Reed Bailey F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tayton Conerway G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Deuce Drake, Josh Harris, Aleksa Ristic, Andrej Acimovic, Tryce Grensing, Drew Snively, Ian Stephens, Jordan Rayford, Trent Sisley
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSU -3.5
1 → IU
CloseMSU -2.5
1 pt toward IU
Total
Open145.5
▼ 1
Close144.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MSU -170 · IU +142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSU -3.5 · closed MSU -2.5 · moved 1 toward IUmodel MSU -3.5
model MSU -3.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 downmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MSU -2.5 | MSU -3.3 | MSU +0.8 | W MSU covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 146.5 | Over 2.0 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MSU 74.9 · IU 71.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MSU -2.1 | MSU -8.0 |
| 1H total | 68.5 | 82 |
| 1H projected score | MSU 35.3 · IU 33.2 | MSU 45 · IU 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| IU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
MSU 3–3 IUSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · MSU 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025-26 | IU 60 @ MSU 81 | MSU -6.5 | MSU W |
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | IU 71 @ MSU 67 | MSU -11.5 | IU W |
| Mar 10, 2023-24 | MSU 64 @ IU 65 | IU +3.5 | IU W |
| Feb 21, 2022-23 | IU 65 @ MSU 80 | MSU -3.5 | MSU W |
| Jan 22, 2022-23 | MSU 69 @ IU 82 | IU -4.5 | IU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Michigan St
28 games played
Straight up
23-5
82% wins
Against the spread
14-14
50% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-16
43% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COLG | W 80-69 | -22.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARK | W 69-66 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 13 | vs SJSU | W 79-60 | -24.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs UK | W 83-66 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs DETM | W 84-56 | -30.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 25 | vs ECU | W 89-56 | -19.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNC | W 74-58 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | vs IOWA | W 71-52 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs DUKE | L 60-66 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 13 | @ PSU | W 76-72 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOL | W 92-69 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs OAK | W 79-70 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 29 | vs COR | W 114-97 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | O 211 |
| Jan 2 | @ NEB | L 56-58 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | vs USC | W 80-51 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 8 | vs NU | W 76-66 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 13 | vsIU | W 81-60 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | @ WASH | W 80-63 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 20 | @ ORE | W 68-52 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 24 | vs MD | W 91-48 | -18.5 | W +24.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 27 | @ RUTG | W 88-79 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 30 | vs MICH | L 71-83 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 4 | @ MINN | L 73-76 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 7 | vs ILL | W 85-82 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 13 | @ WIS | L 71-92 | -1.5 | L −22.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 17 | vs UCLA | W 82-59 | -8.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 22 | vs OSU | W 66-60 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 26 | @ PUR | W 76-74 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
−11.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
+0.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−5.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
+20.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−2.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+13.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
+14.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
+13.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−4.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
−8.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
−0.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−10.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
−6.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
+0.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
+17.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−3.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
+14.5
17
@WASH
WASHW 80-63
+13.5
20
@ORE
OREW 68-52
+5.5
24
vsMD
MDW 91-48
+24.5
27
@RUTG
RUTGW 88-79
−5.5
30
vsMICH
MICHL 71-83
−9.5
4
@MINN
MINNL 73-76
−11.5
7
vsILL
ILLW 85-82
+1.5
13
@WIS
WISL 71-92
−22.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 82-59
+14.5
22
vsOSU
OSUW 66-60
−4.5
26
@PUR
PURW 76-74
+7.5
covered 14didn’t cover 14avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
+4.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
−20.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−4.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
−3.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−9.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+4.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
−20.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
−10.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−15.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
+2.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
+10.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−6.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
+50.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
−32.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
−20.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−1.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
−4.5
17
@WASH
WASHW 80-63
−2.5
20
@ORE
OREW 68-52
−19.5
24
vsMD
MDW 91-48
−2.5
27
@RUTG
RUTGW 88-79
+28.5
30
vsMICH
MICHL 71-83
+4.5
4
@MINN
MINNL 73-76
+12.5
7
vsILL
ILLW 85-82
+24.5
13
@WIS
WISL 71-92
+13.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 82-59
+1.5
22
vsOSU
OSUW 66-60
−20.5
26
@PUR
PURW 76-74
+6.5
over 12under 16avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Indiana
28 games played
Straight up
17-11
61% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-15
46% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs AAMU | W 98-51 | -30.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 9 | vs MARQ | W 100-77 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs MILW | W 101-70 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 16 | vs UIW | W 69-61 | -28.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIN | W 73-53 | -32.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 25 | vs KSU | W 86-69 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 29 | vs BCU | W 100-56 | -29.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 3 | @MINN | L 64-73 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs LOU | L 78-87 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | vsPSU | W 113-72 | -14.5 | W +26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | @UK | L 60-72 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs CHST | W 78-58 | -38.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs SIE | W 81-60 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 4 | vsWASH | W 90-80 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @MD | W 84-66 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vsNEB | L 77-83 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | @MSU | L 60-81 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vsIOWA | L 57-74 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 20 | @MICH | L 72-86 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | @RUTG | W 82-59 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 27 | vsPUR | W 72-67 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | @UCLA | W 98-97 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 3 | @USC | L 75-81 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 7 | vsWIS | W 78-77 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 9 | vsORE | W 92-74 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 15 | @ILL | L 51-71 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 20 | @PUR | L 64-93 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 24 | vsNU | L 68-72 | -9.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+16.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+19.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+6.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−20.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−12.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
+6.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+14.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−16.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
−5.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+26.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−8.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−18.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−0.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+0.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+10.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
−10.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−14.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−20.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
+1.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
+15.5
27
vsPUR
PURW 72-67
+9.5
31
@UCLA
UCLAW 98-97
+4.5
3
@USC
USCL 75-81
−7.5
7
vsWIS
WISW 78-77
−2.5
9
vsORE
OREW 92-74
+7.5
15
@ILL
ILLL 51-71
−11.5
20
@PUR
PURL 64-93
−17.5
24
vsNU
NUL 68-72
−13.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+1.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+20.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+5.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−27.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−29.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
−9.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+7.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−7.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
+2.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+32.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−24.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−16.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−4.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+17.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+2.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
+9.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−4.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−15.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
−5.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
−6.5
27
vsPUR
PURW 72-67
−11.5
31
@UCLA
UCLAW 98-97
+50.5
3
@USC
USCL 75-81
+2.5
7
vsWIS
WISW 78-77
−2.5
9
vsORE
OREW 92-74
+22.5
15
@ILL
ILLL 51-71
−31.5
20
@PUR
PURL 64-93
+6.5
24
vsNU
NUL 68-72
−5.5
over 13under 15avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Michigan St
23-5 overall · 13-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Purdue76–74
- Wvs Ohio State66–60
- Wvs UCLA82–59
- L@ Wisconsin71–92
- Wvs Illinois85–82
3 days since their last game.
Indiana
17-11 overall · 8-9 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Northwestern68–72
- L@ Purdue64–93
- L@ Illinois51–71
- Wvs Oregon92–74
- Wvs Wisconsin78–77
5 days since their last game.