Breslin Center · at Michigan St · Conference game
Closing line
MSU -8.5✓ MSU covered by 14.5
MSU -8.5✓ MSU covered by 14.5Closing total139.5Over by 1.5
 UCLA | This season | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| 17-8 | Record | 20-5 |
| 10-15 | ATS | 12-13 |
| 12-13 | O/U | 10-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCLA 67–75 MSU · ✓ MSU (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 23 | 36 | 59 |
| MSU | 43 | 39 | 82 |
1st half: UCLA 23, MSU 43 (MSU by 20). The model had MSU by 4.4 and a total of 66.7 (actual 66).
Team stats
| UCLA | MSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-57 37% | Field goals | 29-55 53% |
| 8-25 32% | 3-pointers | 14-27 52% |
| 9-12 75% | Free throws | 10-11 91% |
| 27 9 off | Rebounds | 37 8 off |
| 11 | Assists | 21 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Bilodeau F | 32 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 8-16 | 3-5 |
| Donovan Dent G | 29 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3-11 | 0-3 |
| Xavier Booker C | 25 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Trent Perry G | 25 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Skyy Clark G | 21 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 5-11 | 2-6 |
| Jamar Brown G | 16 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Brandon Williams F | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Eric Freeny G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Steven Jamerson II F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Peoples Jr. F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Seidler, Evan Manjikian, Christian Horry, Markell Alston
| MSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. G | 33 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 5-11 | 4-8 |
| Coen Carr F | 27 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 7-11 | 2-4 |
| Jaxon Kohler F | 26 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Carson Cooper C | 25 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Scott F | 24 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4-5 | 3-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kur Teng G | 19 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3-7 | 3-5 |
| Cam Ward F | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Trey Fort G | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Jesse McCulloch F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Brennan Walton F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Colin Walton F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Denham Wojcik G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nick Sanders G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Divine Ugochukwu, Kaleb Glenn
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSU -8.5
no move
CloseMSU -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open136.5
▲ 3
Close139.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
UCLA +330 · MSU -425
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSU -8.5 · unchangedmodel MSU -7.5
model MSU -7.5
Opened 136.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 3 upmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MSU -8.5 | MSU -7.6 | UCLA +0.9 | L MSU covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 142.4 | Over 2.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UCLA 67.4 · MSU 75 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MSU -4.4 | MSU -20.0 |
| 1H total | 66.7 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | UCLA 31.1 · MSU 35.5 | UCLA 23 · MSU 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| MSU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UCLA 1–0 MSUUCLA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UCLA 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2024-25 | MSU 61 @ UCLA 63 | UCLA -2.5 | MSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UCLA
25 games played
Straight up
17-8
68% wins
Against the spread
10-15
40% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs EWU | W 80-74 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs PEPP | W 74-63 | -29.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 10 | vs WGA | W 83-62 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs ARIZ | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | vs SAC | W 79-48 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs PRES | W 86-46 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAL | L 72-80 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ WASH | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs ORE | W 74-63 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs GONZ | L 72-82 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs ASU | W 90-77 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 19 | vs CP | W 108-87 | -24.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 23 | vs UCR | W 97-65 | -24.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ IOWA | L 61-74 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ WIS | L 72-80 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | vs MD | W 67-55 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @ PSU | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @ OSU | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vs PUR | W 69-67 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs NU | W 71-64 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 28 | @ORE | W 73-57 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vs IU | L 97-98 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 3 | vs RUTG | W 98-66 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vsWASH | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 14 | @ MICH | L 56-86 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
−23.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−18.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−9.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−2.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+14.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
−15.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
−0.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
+2.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+0.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+3.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
−3.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+7.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−6.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−4.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−1.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
+6.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
−7.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
+7.5
24
vsNU
NUW 71-64
−0.5
28
@ORE
OREW 73-57
+11.5
31
vsIU
IUL 97-98
−4.5
3
vsRUTG
RUTGW 98-66
+18.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 77-73
−0.5
14
@MICH
MICHL 56-86
−14.5
covered 10didn’t cover 15avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
+4.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−15.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−1.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−19.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
−19.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+0.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
+8.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
+20.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
−9.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+6.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+24.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
+33.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+13.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−5.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−0.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−25.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
−17.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
+13.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
−11.5
24
vsNU
NUW 71-64
−8.5
28
@ORE
OREW 73-57
−6.5
31
vsIU
IUL 97-98
+50.5
3
vsRUTG
RUTGW 98-66
+21.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 77-73
+5.5
14
@MICH
MICHL 56-86
−14.5
over 12under 13avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan St
25 games played
Straight up
20-5
80% wins
Against the spread
12-13
48% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-15
40% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COLG | W 80-69 | -22.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARK | W 69-66 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 13 | vs SJSU | W 79-60 | -24.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs UK | W 83-66 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs DETM | W 84-56 | -30.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 25 | vs ECU | W 89-56 | -19.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNC | W 74-58 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | vsIOWA | W 71-52 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs DUKE | L 60-66 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 13 | @PSU | W 76-72 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOL | W 92-69 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs OAK | W 79-70 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 29 | vs COR | W 114-97 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | O 211 |
| Jan 2 | @ NEB | L 56-58 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | vs USC | W 80-51 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 8 | vsNU | W 76-66 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 13 | vsIU | W 81-60 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | @WASH | W 80-63 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 20 | @ORE | W 68-52 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 24 | vsMD | W 91-48 | -18.5 | W +24.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 27 | @RUTG | W 88-79 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 30 | vsMICH | L 71-83 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 4 | @ MINN | L 73-76 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 7 | vs ILL | W 85-82 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 13 | @WIS | L 71-92 | -1.5 | L −22.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
−11.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
+0.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−5.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
+20.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−2.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+13.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
+14.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
+13.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−4.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
−8.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
−0.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−10.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
−6.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
+0.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
+17.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−3.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
+14.5
17
@WASH
WASHW 80-63
+13.5
20
@ORE
OREW 68-52
+5.5
24
vsMD
MDW 91-48
+24.5
27
@RUTG
RUTGW 88-79
−5.5
30
vsMICH
MICHL 71-83
−9.5
4
@MINN
MINNL 73-76
−11.5
7
vsILL
ILLW 85-82
+1.5
13
@WIS
WISL 71-92
−22.5
covered 12didn’t cover 13avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
+4.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
−20.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−4.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
−3.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−9.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+4.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
−20.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
−10.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−15.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
+2.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
+10.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−6.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
+50.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
−32.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
−20.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−1.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
−4.5
17
@WASH
WASHW 80-63
−2.5
20
@ORE
OREW 68-52
−19.5
24
vsMD
MDW 91-48
−2.5
27
@RUTG
RUTGW 88-79
+28.5
30
vsMICH
MICHL 71-83
+4.5
4
@MINN
MINNL 73-76
+12.5
7
vsILL
ILLW 85-82
+24.5
13
@WIS
WISL 71-92
+13.5
over 10under 15avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UCLA
17-8 overall · 9-5 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Michigan56–86
- Wvs Washington77–73
- Wvs Rutgers98–66
- Lvs Indiana97–98
- W@ Oregon73–57
3 days since their last game.
Michigan St
20-5 overall · 10-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wisconsin71–92
- Wvs Illinois85–82
- L@ Minnesota73–76
- Lvs Michigan71–83
- W@ Rutgers88–79
4 days since their last game.