Crisler Center · at Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
MICH -15.5✓ MICH covered by 14.5
Closing total156.5Under by 14.5
| This season | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-7 | Record | 23-1 |
| 10-14 | ATS | 12-12 |
| 12-12 | O/U | 10-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCLA 70–86 MICH · ✓ MICH (92%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 38 | 18 | 56 |
| MICH | 40 | 46 | 86 |
1st half: UCLA 38, MICH 40 (MICH by 2). The model had MICH by 9.3 and a total of 72.9 (actual 78).
Team stats
| UCLA | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-58 38% | Field goals | 31-50 62% |
| 6-21 29% | 3-pointers | 7-19 37% |
| 6-12 50% | Free throws | 17-26 65% |
| 29 13 off | Rebounds | 30 7 off |
| 7 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 11 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Bilodeau F | 35 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4-12 | 2-4 |
| Trent Perry G | 33 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Donovan Dent G | 33 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5-12 | 0-3 |
| Xavier Booker C | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamar Brown G | 24 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Skyy Clark G | 16 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Steven Jamerson II F | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Williams F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Eric Freeny G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Markell Alston, Evan Manjikian, Anthony Peoples Jr., Christian Horry, Jack Seidler
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 30 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Elliot Cadeau G | 26 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 24 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Aday Mara C | 23 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 19 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 5-9 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 24 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Trey McKenney G | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| L.J. Cason G | 20 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 5-8 | 2-4 |
| Will Tschetter F | 11 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Oscar Goodman F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Malick Kordel, Ricky Liburd, Howard Eisley Jr., Winters Grady, Harrison Hochberg, Charlie May
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -16.5
1 → UCLA
CloseMICH -15.5
1 pt toward UCLA
Total
Open151.5
▲ 5
Close156.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
UCLA +1000 · MICH -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -16.5 · closed MICH -15.5 · moved 1 toward UCLAmodel MICH -16
model MICH -16
Opened 151.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 5 upmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MICH -15.5 | MICH -15.9 | MICH +0.4 | W MICH covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 155.9 | Under 0.6 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | UCLA 70 · MICH 85.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MICH -9.3 | MICH -2.0 |
| 1H total | 72.9 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | UCLA 31.8 · MICH 41.1 | UCLA 38 · MICH 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | |
| 9-1 90% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UCLA 0–1 MICHMICH leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UCLA 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | MICH 94 @ UCLA 75 | UCLA -1.5 | MICH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UCLA
24 games played
Straight up
17-7
71% wins
Against the spread
10-14
42% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-12
50% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 80-74 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 74-63 | -29.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 83-62 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 79-48 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 86-46 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 72-80 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 74-63 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 72-82 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 90-77 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 19 | vs | W 108-87 | -24.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 23 | vs | W 97-65 | -24.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 61-74 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ | L 72-80 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 67-55 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @ | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vs | W 69-67 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 71-64 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 28 | @ | W 73-57 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 97-98 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 3 | vs | W 98-66 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
EWU
W 80-74
−23.5
7
vs
PEPP
W 74-63
−18.5
10
vs
WGA
W 83-62
−9.5
14
vs
ARIZ
L 65-69
−2.5
18
vs
SAC
W 79-48
+3.5
21
vs
PRES
W 86-46
+14.5
25
vs
CAL
L 72-80
−15.5
3
@
WASH
W 82-80
−0.5
6
vs
ORE
W 74-63
+2.5
13
vs
GONZ
L 72-82
+0.5
17
vs
ASU
W 90-77
+3.5
19
vs
CP
W 108-87
−3.5
23
vs
UCR
W 97-65
+7.5
3
@
IOWA
L 61-74
−6.5
6
@
WIS
L 72-80
−4.5
10
vs
MD
W 67-55
−1.5
14
@
PSU
W 71-60
+6.5
17
@
OSU
L 74-86
−7.5
20
vs
PUR
W 69-67
+7.5
24
vs
NU
W 71-64
−0.5
28
@
ORE
W 73-57
+11.5
31
vs
IU
L 97-98
−4.5
3
vs
RUTG
W 98-66
+18.5
7
vs
WASH
W 77-73
−0.5
covered 10didn’t cover 14avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
EWU
W 80-74
+4.5
7
vs
PEPP
W 74-63
−15.5
10
vs
WGA
W 83-62
−1.5
14
vs
ARIZ
L 65-69
−19.5
18
vs
SAC
W 79-48
−19.5
21
vs
PRES
W 86-46
+0.5
25
vs
CAL
L 72-80
+8.5
3
@
WASH
W 82-80
+20.5
6
vs
ORE
W 74-63
−9.5
13
vs
GONZ
L 72-82
+6.5
17
vs
ASU
W 90-77
+24.5
19
vs
CP
W 108-87
+33.5
23
vs
UCR
W 97-65
+13.5
3
@
IOWA
L 61-74
−5.5
6
@
WIS
L 72-80
−0.5
10
vs
MD
W 67-55
−25.5
14
@
PSU
W 71-60
−17.5
17
@
OSU
L 74-86
+13.5
20
vs
PUR
W 69-67
−11.5
24
vs
NU
W 71-64
−8.5
28
@
ORE
W 73-57
−6.5
31
vs
IU
L 97-98
+50.5
3
vs
RUTG
W 98-66
+21.5
7
vs
WASH
W 77-73
+5.5
over 12under 12avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan
24 games played
Straight up
23-1
96% wins
Against the spread
12-12
50% covers · avg +5.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-14
42% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs | W 89-61 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 101-83 | -19.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 102-50 | -40.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 112-71 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vs | W 96-66 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @ | W 74-72 | -24.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 88-91 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 14 | @ | W 82-72 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 81-71 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs | W 86-72 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | vs | W 74-62 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 27 | vs | W 75-72 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 30 | @ | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 5 | vs | W 110-69 | -26.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 8 | @ | W 82-61 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | @ | W 87-75 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
OAK
W 121-78
+18.5
11
vs
WAKE
W 85-84
−14.5
14
@
TCU
W 67-63
−3.5
19
vs
MTSU
W 86-61
−2.5
24
vs
SDSU
W 94-54
+33.5
25
vs
AUB
W 102-72
+25.5
26
vs
GONZ
W 101-61
+43.5
6
vs
RUTG
W 101-60
+15.5
9
vs
VILL
W 89-61
+10.5
13
@
MD
W 101-83
−1.5
21
vs
LAS
W 102-50
+11.5
29
vs
MCN
W 112-71
+16.5
2
vs
USC
W 96-66
+7.5
6
@
PSU
W 74-72
−22.5
10
vs
WIS
L 88-91
−22.5
14
@
WASH
W 82-72
−2.5
17
@
ORE
W 81-71
−8.5
20
vs
IU
W 86-72
−1.5
23
vs
OSU
W 74-62
−4.5
27
vs
NEB
W 75-72
−8.5
30
@
MSU
W 83-71
+9.5
5
vs
PSU
W 110-69
+14.5
8
@
OSU
W 82-61
+12.5
11
@
NU
W 87-75
−3.5
covered 12didn’t cover 12avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
OAK
W 121-78
+42.5
11
vs
WAKE
W 85-84
+0.5
14
@
TCU
W 67-63
−34.5
19
vs
MTSU
W 86-61
−12.5
24
vs
SDSU
W 94-54
−0.5
25
vs
AUB
W 102-72
+10.5
26
vs
GONZ
W 101-61
−3.5
6
vs
RUTG
W 101-60
+7.5
9
vs
VILL
W 89-61
−6.5
13
@
MD
W 101-83
+20.5
21
vs
LAS
W 102-50
−3.5
29
vs
MCN
W 112-71
+21.5
2
vs
USC
W 96-66
−11.5
6
@
PSU
W 74-72
−23.5
10
vs
WIS
L 88-91
+9.5
14
@
WASH
W 82-72
−11.5
17
@
ORE
W 81-71
−5.5
20
vs
IU
W 86-72
−5.5
23
vs
OSU
W 74-62
−29.5
27
vs
NEB
W 75-72
−10.5
30
@
MSU
W 83-71
+4.5
5
vs
PSU
W 110-69
+17.5
8
@
OSU
W 82-61
−18.5
11
@
NU
W 87-75
+8.5
over 10under 14avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UCLA
17-7 overall · 9-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Washington77–73
- Wvs Rutgers98–66
- Lvs Indiana97–98
- W@ Oregon73–57
- Wvs Northwestern71–64
A week or more of rest.
Michigan
23-1 overall · 13-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Northwestern87–75
- W@ Ohio State82–61
- Wvs Penn State110–69
- W@ Michigan St83–71
- Wvs Nebraska75–72
3 days since their last game.