Crisler Center · at Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
MICH -19.5✓ WIS covered by 22.5
MICH -19.5✓ WIS covered by 22.5Closing total169.5Over by 9.5
 WIS | This season | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| 10-5 | Record | 14-0 |
| 8-7 | ATS | 9-5 |
| 8-7 | O/U | 6-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIS 73–92 MICH · ✗ MICH (95%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 37 | 54 | 91 |
| MICH | 38 | 50 | 88 |
1st half: WIS 37, MICH 38 (MICH by 1). The model had MICH by 11.2 and a total of 77.1 (actual 75).
Team stats
| WIS | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-58 50% | Field goals | 29-62 47% |
| 15-33 45% | 3-pointers | 8-25 32% |
| 18-23 78% | Free throws | 22-24 92% |
| 30 8 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 16 | Assists | 11 |
| 5 | Steals | 1 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell G | 39 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 9-16 | 4-8 |
| Nolan Winter F | 36 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Nick Boyd G | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 8-16 | 1-2 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 31 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 6-12 | 5-10 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braeden Carrington G | 27 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Jack Janicki G | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Will Garlock F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zach Kinziger G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Robison, Elijah Gray, Riccardo Greppi, Austin Rapp, Hayden Jones, Isaac Gard
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 31 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 30 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 6-7 | 1-1 |
| Elliot Cadeau G | 25 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 6-9 | 2-4 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-7 |
| Aday Mara C | 23 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 27 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Trey McKenney G | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| L.J. Cason G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Will Tschetter F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Harrison Hochberg, Winters Grady, Charlie May, Howard Eisley Jr., Oscar Goodman, Ricky Liburd, Malick Kordel
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -19.5
no move
CloseMICH -19.5
No change since the open
Total
Open162.5
▲ 7
Close169.5
Up 7 since the open
Moneyline
WIS +1600 · MICH -4000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -19.5 · unchangedmodel MICH -19
model MICH -19
Opened 162.5 · closed 169.5 · moved 7 upmodel 165
model 165
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MICH -19.5 | MICH -19.0 | WIS +0.5 | W WIS covered |
| Total | 169.5 | 164.8 | Under 4.7 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | WIS 72.9 · MICH 91.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MICH -11.2 | MICH -1.0 |
| 1H total | 77.1 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | WIS 32.9 · MICH 44.2 | WIS 37 · MICH 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| MICH | 10-0 100% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
WIS 2–4 MICHMICH leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · MICH has won the last 4 meetings · WIS 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024-25 | WIS 53 vs MICH 59 | MICH +4.5 | MICH W |
| Dec 3, 2024-25 | MICH 67 @ WIS 64 | WIS -3.5 | MICH W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | WIS 68 @ MICH 72 | MICH +8.5 | MICH W |
| Feb 26, 2022-23 | WIS 79 @ MICH 87 | MICH -5.5 | MICH W |
| Feb 14, 2022-23 | MICH 59 @ WIS 64 | WIS -1.5 | WIS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wisconsin
15 games played
Straight up
10-5
67% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg −3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs NU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ NEB | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs VILL | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs CMU | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs MILW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs PUR | L 73-89 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−28.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−13.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
+0.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
−10.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+4.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−8.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−10.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
−3.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
−17.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
+8.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
−0.5
over 8under 7avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan
14 games played
Straight up
14-0
100% wins
Against the spread
9-5
64% covers · avg +9.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs RUTG | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vsVILL | W 89-61 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ MD | W 101-83 | -19.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | vs LAS | W 102-50 | -40.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs MCN | W 112-71 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vs USC | W 96-66 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @ PSU | W 74-72 | -24.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+15.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
+10.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
−1.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
+11.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+16.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
+7.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−22.5
covered 9didn’t cover 5avg +9.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+7.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
−6.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
+20.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
−3.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+21.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
−11.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−23.5
over 6under 8avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wisconsin
10-5 overall · 2-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UCLA80–72
- Lvs Purdue73–89
- Wvs Milwaukee80–60
- Wvs C Michigan88–61
- Lvs Villanova66–76
4 days since their last game.
Michigan
14-0 overall · 4-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Penn State74–72
- Wvs USC96–66
- Wvs McNeese112–71
- Wvs La Salle102–50
- W@ Maryland101–83
4 days since their last game.