Kohl Center · at Wisconsin
Closing line
WIS -26.5✓ WIS covered by 0.5
WIS -26.5✓ WIS covered by 0.5Closing total152.5Under by 3.5
 CMU | This season | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| 2-8 | Record | 7-4 |
| 5-5 | ATS | 5-6 |
| 5-5 | O/U | 7-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CMU 64–91 WIS · ✓ WIS (99%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMU | 28 | 33 | 61 |
| WIS | 40 | 48 | 88 |
1st half: CMU 28, WIS 40 (WIS by 12). The model had WIS by 15.8 and a total of 72.7 (actual 68).
Team stats
| CMU | WIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-54 41% | Field goals | 29-54 54% |
| 5-17 29% | 3-pointers | 13-31 42% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 17-26 65% |
| 22 2 off | Rebounds | 41 9 off |
| 13 | Assists | 25 |
| 6 | Steals | 2 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 21 | Fouls | 17 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| CMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamario Adley G | 31 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 4-10 | 0-4 |
| Nick Mullen F | 29 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Nathan Claerbaut C | 28 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Phat Phat Brooks G | 25 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0-7 | 0-0 |
| Jaxson Whitaker G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Kampen G | 21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Keenan Garner F | 20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Logan McIntire G | 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Will Ashford G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Kayden Nation F | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jorden Brooks G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Rodney Johnson Jr., Uchenna Amene, Nsikan Usen, Kareem Aburashed
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Winter F | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 6-9 | 1-3 |
| Nick Boyd G | 25 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 25 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Hayden Jones G | 24 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 16 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Janicki G | 24 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Austin Rapp F | 21 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 7-10 | 4-7 |
| Will Garlock F | 14 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Zach Kinziger G | 13 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Braeden Carrington G | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Riccardo Greppi F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Gard G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Robison G | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: John Blackwell, Elijah Gray
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWIS -26.5
ModelWIS -26.6
Model edgeWIS +0.1
W WIS covered
Total
Market152.5
Model155.3
Model edgeOver 2.8
L Under
Projected score
CMU 64.4 · WIS 90.9
CMU 61 · WIS 88
Win probability
WIS 99%
1st half
Spread
WIS -15.8
WIS -12.0
Total
72.7
68 points
Projected score
CMU 28.4 · WIS 44.3
CMU 28 · WIS 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIS -28.5
2 → CMU
CloseWIS -26.5
2 pts toward CMU
Total
Open155.5
▼ 3
Close152.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
CMU +1600 · WIS -4000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIS -28.5 · closed WIS -26.5 · moved 2 toward CMUmodel WIS -26.5 matches the line
model WIS -26.5 = line ✓
Opened 155.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 3 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMU | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| WIS | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Michigan
10 games played
Straight up
2-8
20% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg −4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs APP | W 82-66 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 8 | @ BRAD | L 54-85 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 13 | vs USA | L 64-66 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs COPP | W 82-59 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | vs NKU | L 66-90 | -4.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 22 | @ MARQ | L 71-85 | +25.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 2 | @ LUC | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | @ SLU | L 65-107 | +24.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ STBK | L 55-78 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 20 | @ NIU | L 73-74 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+14.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−21.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
+3.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
+12.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
−28.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+11.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
−4.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
−17.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−15.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
+1.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+5.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−8.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
−12.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
−1.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
+9.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+3.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
+14.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
+11.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−12.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
−2.5
over 5under 5avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wisconsin
11 games played
Straight up
7-4
64% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-4
64% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vsNIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs NU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vsMARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ NEB | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs VILL | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−28.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−13.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−8.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−10.5
over 7under 4avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Michigan
2-8 overall · 0-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ N Illinois73–74
- L@ Stony Brook55–78
- L@ Saint Louis65–107
- L@ Loyola Chicago72–83
- L@ Marquette71–85
2 days since their last game.
Wisconsin
7-4 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Villanova66–76
- L@ Nebraska60–90
- Wvs Marquette96–76
- Wvs Northwestern85–73
- Lvs TCU63–74
3 days since their last game.