McArthur Center · Neutral site
Closing line
USA -5.5✓ CMU covered by 3.5
USA -5.5✓ CMU covered by 3.5Closing total142.5Under by 12.5
 CMU | This season | USA |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CMU 70–75 USA · ✓ USA (65%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMU | 30 | 34 | 64 |
| USA | 35 | 31 | 66 |
1st half: CMU 30, USA 35 (USA by 5). The model had USA by 2.5 and a total of 68.0 (actual 65).
Team stats
| CMU | USA | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-64 34% | Field goals | 23-55 42% |
| 14-44 32% | 3-pointers | 5-20 25% |
| 6-10 60% | Free throws | 15-23 65% |
| 44 19 off | Rebounds | 38 12 off |
| 17 | Assists | 8 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 7 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| CMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Claerbaut C | 30 | 12 | 14 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Tamario Adley G | 29 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1-8 | 1-7 |
| Logan McIntire G | 28 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 7-19 | 7-18 |
| Phat Phat Brooks G | 26 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Keenan Garner F | 25 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaxson Whitaker G | 22 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-11 | 3-11 |
| Nick Mullen F | 16 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Rodney Johnson Jr. F | 14 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Will Ashford G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Jorden Brooks
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen F | 33 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 6-18 | 4-11 |
| Jayden Cooper G | 33 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-5 |
| Randy Brady F | 32 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Chaze Harris G | 31 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 8-14 | 0-1 |
| Peyton Law F | 23 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Stephen Williams F | 17 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Brian Hawthorne G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| JJ Wheat G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| John Broom G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSA -4.5
1 → USA
CloseUSA -5.5
1 pt toward USA
Total
Open143.5
▼ 1
Close142.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
CMU +225 · USA -275
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USA -4.5 · closed USA -5.5 · moved 1 toward USAmodel USA -4.5
model USA -4.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 1 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USA -5.5 | USA -4.4 | CMU +1.1 | W CMU covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 145.0 | Over 2.5 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | CMU 70.3 · USA 74.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USA -2.5 | USA -5.0 |
| 1H total | 68.0 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | CMU 32.7 · USA 35.2 | CMU 30 · USA 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMUlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
| USAlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CMU 1–0 USACMU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · CMU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2024-25 | CMU 74 @ USA 70 | USA -6.5 | CMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Michigan
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
APP
APPW 82-66
+14.5
8
@
BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−21.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+5.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−8.5
over 1under 1avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Alabama
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
TOL
TOLW 76-74
+4.5
6
vs
ALCN
ALCNW 76-70
−12.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
−0.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
+4.5
over 1under 1avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Michigan
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Bradley54–85
- Wvs App State82–66
5 days since their last game.
South Alabama
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alcorn St76–70
- W@ Toledo76–74
A week or more of rest.