Chaifetz Arena · at Saint Louis
Closing line
SLU -24.5✓ SLU covered by 17.5
SLU -24.5✓ SLU covered by 17.5Closing total160.5Over by 11.5
 CMU | This season | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | Record | 7-1 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 5-3 |
| 4-3 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CMU 67–90 SLU · ✓ SLU (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMU | 32 | 33 | 65 |
| SLU | 52 | 55 | 107 |
1st half: CMU 32, SLU 52 (SLU by 20). The model had SLU by 13.4 and a total of 73.4 (actual 84).
Team stats
| CMU | SLU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-53 40% | Field goals | 40-69 58% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 11-29 38% |
| 16-23 70% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 26 9 off | Rebounds | 40 13 off |
| 17 | Assists | 26 |
| 4 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 58 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 25 |
Players
| CMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Claerbaut C | 32 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Tamario Adley G | 27 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 6-13 | 3-5 |
| Nick Mullen F | 23 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Will Ashford G | 22 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Logan McIntire G | 19 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Keenan Garner F | 24 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Jaxson Whitaker G | 21 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Phat Phat Brooks G | 19 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Kayden Nation F | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Jorden Brooks G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Uchenna Amene, Nsikan Usen, Jalen Kampen, Rodney Johnson Jr., Kareem Aburashed
| SLU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari McCottry G | 24 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Dion Brown G | 24 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Trey Green G | 22 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Quentin Jones G | 21 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 6-8 | 4-6 |
| Robbie Avila C | 19 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ishan Sharma F | 21 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
| Brady Dunlap F | 19 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Kellen Thames G | 16 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Paul Otieno F | 14 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Cam Hutson G | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jax Kerr F | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Isaac Holmes G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Schertz G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Laczkowski, Dylan Warlick, Badara Diakite, Kalu Anya
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSLU -24.5
ModelSLU -22.5
Model edgeCMU +2.0
L SLU covered
Total
Market160.5
Model156.8
Model edgeUnder 3.7
L Over
Projected score
CMU 67.2 · SLU 89.6
CMU 65 · SLU 107
Win probability
SLU 98%
1st half
Spread
SLU -13.4
SLU -20.0
Total
73.4
84 points
Projected score
CMU 30 · SLU 43.4
CMU 32 · SLU 52
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSLU -23.5
1 → SLU
CloseSLU -24.5
1 pt toward SLU
Total
Open155.5
▲ 5
Close160.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SLU -23.5 · closed SLU -24.5 · moved 1 toward SLUmodel SLU -22.5
model SLU -22.5
Opened 155.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 5 upmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMUlast 7 | 2-5 29% | 4-3 57% | 4-3 57% |
| SLUlast 8 | 7-1 88% | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Michigan
7 games played
Straight up
2-5
29% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
APP
APPW 82-66
+14.5
8
@
BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−21.5
13
vs
USA
USAL 64-66
+3.5
14
vs
COPP
COPPW 82-59
+12.5
20
vs
NKU
NKUL 66-90
−28.5
22
@
MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+11.5
2
@
LUC
LUCL 72-83
−4.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+5.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−8.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
−12.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
−1.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
+9.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+3.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
+14.5
over 4under 3avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Louis
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +5.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg 0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SEMO | W 92-67 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 6 | vs CHST | W 108-86 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 10 | vs LIN | W 109-66 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 165.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | vs GCU | W 78-64 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 167.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs PFW | W 91-60 | -19.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 27 | vs SCU | W 71-70 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs STAN | L 77-78 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 2 | @ LMU | W 91-70 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 108-86
−8.5
10
vsLIN
LINW 109-66
+18.5
15
vsGCU
GCUW 78-64
+5.5
21
vsPFW
PFWW 91-60
+11.5
27
vsSCU
SCUW 71-70
−0.5
28
vsSTAN
STANL 77-78
−2.5
2
@LMU
LMUW 91-70
+13.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 108-86
+38.5
10
vsLIN
LINW 109-66
+9.5
15
vsGCU
GCUW 78-64
−25.5
21
vsPFW
PFWW 91-60
−15.5
27
vsSCU
SCUW 71-70
−17.5
28
vsSTAN
STANL 77-78
−5.5
2
@LMU
LMUW 91-70
+10.5
over 4under 4avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Michigan
2-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Loyola Chicago72–83
- L@ Marquette71–85
- Lvs N Kentucky66–90
- Wvs Coppin St82–59
- Lvs South Alabama64–66
5 days since their last game.
Saint Louis
7-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ LMU91–70
- Lvs Stanford77–78
- Wvs Santa Clara71–70
- Wvs Purdue FW91–60
- Wvs Grand Canyon78–64
5 days since their last game.