Kohl Center · at Wisconsin · Conference game
Closing line
PUR -5.5✓ PUR covered by 10.5
PUR -5.5✓ PUR covered by 10.5Closing total153.5Over by 8.5
| PUR | This season | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| 12-1 | Record | 9-4 |
| 8-5 | ATS | 7-6 |
| 4-9 | O/U | 7-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PUR 82–73 WIS · ✓ PUR (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PUR | 45 | 44 | 89 |
| WIS | 38 | 35 | 73 |
1st half: PUR 45, WIS 38 (PUR by 7). The model had PUR by 5.6 and a total of 72.7 (actual 83).
Team stats
| PUR | WIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-71 46% | Field goals | 24-57 42% |
| 10-27 37% | 3-pointers | 4-25 16% |
| 13-19 68% | Free throws | 21-26 81% |
| 37 14 off | Rebounds | 39 10 off |
| 22 | Assists | 7 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith G | 37 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Fletcher Loyer G | 34 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 6-15 | 4-10 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn F | 33 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 5-13 | 0-0 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 26 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| C.J. Cox G | 23 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4-11 | 3-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gicarri Harris G | 15 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 14 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Omer Mayer G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jack Benter G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Lusk, Aaron Fine, Jace Rayl, Antione West Jr, Sam King, Raleigh Burgess, Liam Murphy
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Winter F | 37 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Nick Boyd G | 33 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 7-13 | 0-1 |
| John Blackwell G | 28 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-11 | 0-5 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 22 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Rapp F | 24 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-6 |
| Jack Janicki G | 18 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Braeden Carrington G | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Will Garlock F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Hayden Jones G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Zach Kinziger G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jack Robison, Riccardo Greppi, Elijah Gray, Isaac Gard
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPUR -8.5
3 → WIS
ClosePUR -5.5
3 pts toward WIS
Total
Open152.5
▲ 1
Close153.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
PUR -258 · WIS +210
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PUR -8.5 · closed PUR -5.5 · moved 3 toward WISmodel PUR -9
model PUR -9
Opened 152.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 1 upmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PUR -5.5 | PUR -9.2 | PUR +3.7 | W PUR covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 155.2 | Over 1.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | PUR 82.2 · WIS 73 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PUR -5.6 | PUR -7.0 |
| 1H total | 72.7 | 83 |
| 1H projected score | PUR 39.2 · WIS 33.5 | PUR 45 · WIS 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PUR | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| WIS | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
PUR 3–4 WISWIS leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · WIS has won the last 2 meetings · PUR 1-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | WIS 94 @ PUR 84 | PUR -6.5 | WIS W |
| Mar 16, 2023-24 | WIS 76 vs PUR 75 | PUR -5.5 | WIS W |
| Mar 10, 2023-24 | WIS 70 @ PUR 78 | PUR -9.5 | WIS W |
| Feb 4, 2023-24 | PUR 75 @ WIS 69 | WIS +1.5 | PUR W |
| Mar 2, 2022-23 | PUR 63 @ WIS 61 | WIS +3.5 | WIS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Purdue
13 games played
Straight up
12-1
92% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-9
31% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EVAN | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs OAK | W 87-77 | -31.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ ALA | W 87-80 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs AKR | W 97-79 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 20 | vs MEM | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs TTU | W 86-56 | -3.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs EIU | W 109-62 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 2 | @ RUTG | W 81-65 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | vs ISU | L 58-81 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs MINN | W 85-57 | -19.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs MARQ | W 79-59 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs AUB | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs KENT | W 101-60 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−2.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
−21.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
+10.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
−0.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
+26.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+6.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
+2.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−27.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
+8.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
+3.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
+20.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+16.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−17.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
+5.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
−5.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
+12.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
−11.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+29.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
−0.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−15.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
−1.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
−16.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
−4.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+5.5
over 4under 9avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wisconsin
13 games played
Straight up
9-4
69% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg −3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs NU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vsMARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ NEB | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs VILL | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs CMU | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs MILW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−28.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−13.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
+0.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
+0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−8.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−10.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
−3.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
−17.5
over 7under 6avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Purdue
12-1 overall · 2-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kent State101–60
- Wvs Auburn88–60
- Wvs Marquette79–59
- Wvs Minnesota85–57
- Lvs Iowa State58–81
5 days since their last game.
Wisconsin
9-4 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Milwaukee80–60
- Wvs C Michigan88–61
- Lvs Villanova66–76
- L@ Nebraska60–90
- Wvs Marquette96–76
4 days since their last game.