Pauley Pavilion · at UCLA · Conference game
Closing line
UCLA -8.5✓ UCLA covered by 2.5
UCLA -8.5✓ UCLA covered by 2.5Closing total146.5Under by 9.5
 ORE | This season | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 6-2 |
| 0-8 | ATS | 2-6 |
| 5-3 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ORE 67–78 UCLA · ✓ UCLA (82%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORE | 31 | 32 | 63 |
| UCLA | 44 | 30 | 74 |
1st half: ORE 31, UCLA 44 (UCLA by 13). The model had UCLA by 6.0 and a total of 67.9 (actual 75).
Team stats
| ORE | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-57 33% | Field goals | 24-55 44% |
| 8-27 30% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 17-24 71% | Free throws | 18-21 86% |
| 34 17 off | Rebounds | 36 15 off |
| 8 | Assists | 10 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| ORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Shelstad G | 38 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 7-12 | 4-9 |
| Takai Simpkins G | 33 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| Nate Bittle C | 25 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0-11 | 0-4 |
| Devon Pryor G | 22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Sean Stewart F | 21 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dez Lindsay F | 21 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Ege Demir C | 20 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Oleksandr Kobzystyi F | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Wei Lin G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Luke Johnson, Miles Stewart, Rian Gonzales, JJ Frakes, Efe Vatan, Drew Carter, Kwame Evans Jr., Jamari Phillips
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent G | 38 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 4-14 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Bilodeau F | 34 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Skyy Clark G | 33 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 4-11 | 3-6 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 30 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 6-9 | 2-4 |
| Xavier Booker C | 22 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Steven Jamerson II F | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jamar Brown G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Trent Perry G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Williams F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christian Horry, Markell Alston, Anthony Peoples Jr., Eric Freeny, Evan Manjikian, Jack Seidler
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCLA -8.5
ModelUCLA -10.3
Model edgeUCLA +1.8
W UCLA covered
Total
Market146.5
Model144.9
Model edgeUnder 1.6
W Under
Projected score
ORE 67.3 · UCLA 77.6
ORE 63 · UCLA 74
Win probability
UCLA 82%
1st half
Spread
UCLA -6.0
UCLA -13.0
Total
67.9
75 points
Projected score
ORE 30.9 · UCLA 37
ORE 31 · UCLA 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCLA -10.5
2 → ORE
CloseUCLA -8.5
2 pts toward ORE
Total
Open142.5
▲ 4
Close146.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
ORE +350 · UCLA -455
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCLA -10.5 · closed UCLA -8.5 · moved 2 toward OREmodel UCLA -10.5
model UCLA -10.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 4 upmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORElast 8 | 4-4 50% | 0-8 0% | 5-3 63% |
| UCLAlast 8 | 6-2 75% | 2-6 25% | 4-4 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
ORE 4–6 UCLAUCLA leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UCLA has won the last 2 meetings · ORE 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | ORE 52 @ UCLA 78 | UCLA -4.5 | UCLA W |
| Dec 8, 2024-25 | UCLA 73 @ ORE 71 | ORE -3.5 | UCLA W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | UCLA 66 vs ORE 68 | ORE -3.5 | UCLA W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | ORE 63 @ UCLA 71 | UCLA +2.5 | UCLA W |
| Dec 30, 2023-24 | UCLA 59 @ ORE 64 | ORE -7.5 | UCLA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oregon
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
0-8
0% covers · avg −7.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs HAW | W 60-59 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 7 | vs RICE | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs SDST | W 83-69 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs ORST | W 87-75 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 24 | vs AUB | L 73-84 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs SDSU | L 80-97 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 27 | vs CREI | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vs USC | L 77-82 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−10.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−11.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
−2.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
−1.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
−6.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
−19.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−7.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
−2.5
covered 0didn’t cover 8avg −7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−25.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−15.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
+6.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
+20.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
+1.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
+35.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−8.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
+4.5
over 5under 3avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCLA
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
2-6
25% covers · avg −6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs EWU | W 80-74 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs PEPP | W 74-63 | -29.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 10 | vs WGA | W 83-62 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs ARIZ | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | vs SAC | W 79-48 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs PRES | W 86-46 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAL | L 72-80 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ WASH | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
−23.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−18.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−9.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−2.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+14.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
−15.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
−0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 6avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
+4.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−15.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−1.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−19.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
−19.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+0.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
+8.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
+20.5
over 4under 4avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oregon
4-4 overall · 0-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs USC77–82
- Lvs Creighton66–76
- Lvs San Diego St80–97
- Lvs Auburn73–84
- Wvs Oregon St87–75
4 days since their last game.
UCLA
6-2 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Washington82–80
- Lvs California72–80
- Wvs Presbyterian86–46
- Wvs Sacramento St79–48
- Lvs Arizona65–69
3 days since their last game.