Chase Center · Neutral site
Closing line
UCLA -7.5✓ CAL covered by 15.5
UCLA -7.5✓ CAL covered by 15.5Closing total143.5Over by 8.5
| UCLA | This season | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | Record | 5-1 |
| 2-4 | ATS | 4-2 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCLA 78–69 CAL · ✗ UCLA (77%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 41 | 31 | 72 |
| CAL | 36 | 44 | 80 |
1st half: UCLA 41, CAL 36 (UCLA by 5). The model had UCLA by 5.3 and a total of 69.0 (actual 77).
Team stats
| UCLA | CAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-64 41% | Field goals | 26-58 45% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 11-22 50% |
| 13-23 57% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 41 14 off | Rebounds | 35 7 off |
| 17 | Assists | 15 |
| 2 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 23 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 35 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7-15 | 3-7 |
| Xavier Booker C | 32 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Donovan Dent G | 31 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1-8 | 0-2 |
| Skyy Clark G | 25 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Brandon Williams F | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamar Brown G | 29 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Trent Perry G | 25 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Steven Jamerson II F | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Eric Freeny G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Markell Alston, Anthony Peoples Jr., Christian Horry, Jack Seidler, Tyler Bilodeau, Evan Manjikian
| CAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bell F | 31 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 6-11 | 5-7 |
| Justin Pippen G | 29 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 4-10 | 3-6 |
| John Camden F | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Dai Dai Ames G | 24 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 5-12 | 2-4 |
| Lee Dort F | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Milos Ilic C | 23 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Rytis Petraitis F | 23 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| DeJuan Campbell G | 16 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Semetri Carr G | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Nolan Dorsey, Luke Butler, Jorell Clark, BJ Fisher, Mantas Kocanas, Stephon Marbury II, Jovani Ruff, Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut, Sammie Yeanay
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCLA -7.5
ModelUCLA -8.4
Model edgeUCLA +0.9
L CAL covered
Total
Market143.5
Model147.2
Model edgeOver 3.7
W Over
Projected score
UCLA 77.8 · CAL 69.4
UCLA 72 · CAL 80
Win probability
UCLA 77%
1st half
Spread
UCLA -5.3
UCLA -5.0
Total
69.0
77 points
Projected score
UCLA 37.1 · CAL 31.9
UCLA 41 · CAL 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCLA -8.5
1 → CAL
CloseUCLA -7.5
1 pt toward CAL
Total
Open142.5
▲ 1
Close143.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UCLA -360 · CAL +285
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCLA -8.5 · closed UCLA -7.5 · moved 1 toward CALmodel UCLA -8.5
model UCLA -8.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 upmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLAlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% |
| CALlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UCLA 4–1 CALUCLA leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · UCLA 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | UCLA 61 @ CAL 60 | CAL -0.5 | UCLA W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | CAL 66 @ UCLA 57 | UCLA -6.5 | CAL W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | CAL 43 @ UCLA 78 | UCLA -24.5 | UCLA W |
| Jan 27, 2021-22 | CAL 57 @ UCLA 81 | UCLA -13 | UCLA W |
| Jan 8, 2021-22 | UCLA 60 @ CAL 52 | CAL +8.5 | CAL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UCLA
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
EWU
EWUW 80-74
−23.5
7
vs
PEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−18.5
10
vs
WGA
WGAW 83-62
−9.5
14
vs
ARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−2.5
18
vs
SAC
SACW 79-48
+3.5
21
vs
PRES
PRESW 86-46
+14.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
+4.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−15.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−1.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−19.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
−19.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+0.5
over 2under 4avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
California
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg +4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CSUB
CSUBW 87-60
+11.5
6
vs
WRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vs
CSUF
CSUFW 93-65
+5.5
13
@
KSU
KSUL 96-99
+3.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
−0.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
−4.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+30.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+3.5
over 2under 4avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UCLA
5-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Presbyterian86–46
- Wvs Sacramento St79–48
- Lvs Arizona65–69
- Wvs West Georgia83–62
- Wvs Pepperdine74–63
4 days since their last game.
California
5-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Sacramento St91–67
- Wvs Presbyterian67–57
- L@ Kansas St96–99
- Wvs Fullerton93–65
- Wvs Wright St77–67
4 days since their last game.