Matthew Knight Arena · at Oregon · Conference game
Closing line
UCLA -4.5✓ UCLA covered by 11.5
UCLA -4.5✓ UCLA covered by 11.5Closing total136.5Under by 6.5
| UCLA | This season | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| 14-6 | Record | 8-12 |
| 8-12 | ATS | 6-14 |
| 9-11 | O/U | 9-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCLA 73–70 ORE · ✓ UCLA (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 36 | 37 | 73 |
| ORE | 22 | 35 | 57 |
1st half: UCLA 36, ORE 22 (UCLA by 14). The model had UCLA by 1.8 and a total of 67.0 (actual 58).
Team stats
| UCLA | ORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-58 40% | Field goals | 21-59 36% |
| 7-18 39% | 3-pointers | 9-32 28% |
| 20-23 87% | Free throws | 6-9 67% |
| 40 12 off | Rebounds | 36 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 9 |
| 4 | Steals | 2 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent G | 37 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 6-17 | 1-3 |
| Trent Perry G | 36 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 3-10 | 2-5 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 33 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 5-13 | 1-2 |
| Tyler Bilodeau F | 33 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Xavier Booker C | 19 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brandon Williams F | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Steven Jamerson II F | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jamar Brown G | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Eric Freeny G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Markell Alston, Anthony Peoples Jr., Christian Horry, Skyy Clark, Jack Seidler, Evan Manjikian
| ORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kwame Evans Jr. F | 39 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 9-18 | 4-10 |
| Sean Stewart F | 29 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-0 |
| Dez Lindsay F | 28 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Wei Lin G | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Devon Pryor G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamari Phillips G | 31 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-11 | 3-10 |
| Drew Carter G | 22 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Oleksandr Kobzystyi F | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Luke Johnson F | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Efe Vatan F | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson Shelstad, Ege Demir, Rian Gonzales, JJ Frakes, Takai Simpkins, Nate Bittle, Miles Stewart
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCLA -4.5
ModelUCLA -2.7
Model edgeORE +1.8
L UCLA covered
Total
Market136.5
Model143.0
Model edgeOver 6.5
L Under
Projected score
UCLA 72.9 · ORE 70.1
UCLA 73 · ORE 57
Win probability
UCLA 59%
1st half
Spread
UCLA -1.8
UCLA -14.0
Total
67.0
58 points
Projected score
UCLA 34.4 · ORE 32.6
UCLA 36 · ORE 22
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCLA -2.5
2 → UCLA
CloseUCLA -4.5
2 pts toward UCLA
Total
Open141.5
▼ 5
Close136.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
UCLA -205 · ORE +170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCLA -2.5 · closed UCLA -4.5 · moved 2 toward UCLAmodel UCLA -2.5
model UCLA -2.5
Opened 141.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 5 downmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| ORE | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
UCLA 7–4 OREUCLA leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · UCLA has won the last 3 meetings · UCLA 8-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025-26 | ORE 63 @ UCLA 74 | UCLA -8.5 | UCLA W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | ORE 52 @ UCLA 78 | UCLA -4.5 | UCLA W |
| Dec 8, 2024-25 | UCLA 73 @ ORE 71 | ORE -3.5 | UCLA W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | UCLA 66 vs ORE 68 | ORE -3.5 | UCLA W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | ORE 63 @ UCLA 71 | UCLA +2.5 | UCLA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UCLA
20 games played
Straight up
14-6
70% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs EWU | W 80-74 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs PEPP | W 74-63 | -29.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 10 | vs WGA | W 83-62 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs ARIZ | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | vs SAC | W 79-48 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs PRES | W 86-46 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAL | L 72-80 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ WASH | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | vsORE | W 74-63 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs GONZ | L 72-82 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs ASU | W 90-77 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 19 | vs CP | W 108-87 | -24.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 23 | vs UCR | W 97-65 | -24.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ IOWA | L 61-74 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ WIS | L 72-80 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | vs MD | W 67-55 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @ PSU | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @ OSU | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vs PUR | W 69-67 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs NU | W 71-64 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
−23.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−18.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−9.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−2.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+14.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
−15.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
−0.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
+2.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+0.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+3.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
−3.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+7.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−6.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−4.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−1.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
+6.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
−7.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
+7.5
24
vsNU
NUW 71-64
−0.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
+4.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−15.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−1.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−19.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
−19.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+0.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
+8.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
+20.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
−9.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+6.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+24.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
+33.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+13.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−5.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−0.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−25.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
−17.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
+13.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
−11.5
24
vsNU
NUW 71-64
−8.5
over 9under 11avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oregon
20 games played
Straight up
8-12
40% wins
Against the spread
6-14
30% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs HAW | W 60-59 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 7 | vs RICE | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs SDST | W 83-69 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs ORST | W 87-75 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 24 | vs AUB | L 73-84 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs SDSU | L 80-97 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 27 | vs CREI | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vs USC | L 77-82 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @UCLA | L 63-74 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCD | W 104-62 | -13.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs PORT | W 94-69 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vsGONZ | L 82-91 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | vs OMA | W 80-57 | -21.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 2 | @MD | W 64-54 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 5 | @ RUTG | L 85-88 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | vsOSU | L 62-72 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | @ NEB | L 55-90 | +10.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | vs MICH | L 71-81 | +18.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs MSU | L 52-68 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 25 | @WASH | L 57-72 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−10.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−11.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
−2.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
−1.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
−6.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
−19.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−7.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
−2.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−2.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+28.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+5.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+3.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
+1.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
+8.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
−7.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−11.5
13
@NEB
NEBL 55-90
−24.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 71-81
+8.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 52-68
−5.5
25
@WASH
WASHL 57-72
−7.5
covered 6didn’t cover 14avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−25.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−15.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
+6.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
+20.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
+1.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
+35.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−8.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
+4.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−9.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+19.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+8.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+17.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
−14.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
−28.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
+33.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−18.5
13
@NEB
NEBL 55-90
−1.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 71-81
−5.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 52-68
−19.5
25
@WASH
WASHL 57-72
−14.5
over 9under 11avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UCLA
14-6 overall · 6-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Northwestern71–64
- Wvs Purdue69–67
- L@ Ohio State74–86
- W@ Penn State71–60
- Wvs Maryland67–55
4 days since their last game.
Oregon
8-12 overall · 1-8 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Washington57–72
- Lvs Michigan St52–68
- Lvs Michigan71–81
- L@ Nebraska55–90
- Lvs Ohio State62–72
3 days since their last game.