Matthew Knight Arena · at Oregon · Conference game
Closing line
ORE -1.5✓ OSU covered by 11.5
ORE -1.5✓ OSU covered by 11.5Closing total152.5Under by 18.5
 OSU | This season | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| 10-4 | Record | 8-7 |
| 5-9 | ATS | 5-10 |
| 7-7 | O/U | 9-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OSU 80–78 ORE · ✓ OSU (57%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OSU | 34 | 38 | 72 |
| ORE | 29 | 33 | 62 |
1st half: OSU 34, ORE 29 (OSU by 5). The model had OSU by 1.3 and a total of 74.4 (actual 63).
Team stats
| OSU | ORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-53 45% | Field goals | 20-61 33% |
| 6-18 33% | 3-pointers | 7-30 23% |
| 18-23 78% | Free throws | 15-20 75% |
| 41 13 off | Rebounds | 32 15 off |
| 10 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| OSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton G | 37 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 5-14 | 2-5 |
| Devin Royal F | 36 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Christoph Tilly C | 31 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Amare Bynum F | 27 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| John Mobley Jr. G | 26 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gabe Cupps G | 23 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Ivan Njegovan C | 11 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Colin White F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Braylen Nash, Taison Chatman, Mathieu Grujicic, Myles Herro, Josh Ojianwuna, Brandon Noel
| ORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wei Lin G | 38 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4-14 | 1-10 |
| Takai Simpkins G | 34 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-5 |
| Nate Bittle C | 33 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 5-19 | 2-6 |
| Kwame Evans Jr. F | 26 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Sean Stewart F | 24 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devon Pryor G | 15 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jamari Phillips G | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Dez Lindsay F | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Ege Demir C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Drew Carter G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Rian Gonzales, JJ Frakes, Efe Vatan, Luke Johnson, Oleksandr Kobzystyi, Jackson Shelstad, Miles Stewart
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenORE -2.5
1 → OSU
CloseORE -1.5
1 pt toward OSU
Total
Open153.5
▼ 1
Close152.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
OSU +105 · ORE -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ORE -2.5 · closed ORE -1.5 · moved 1 toward OSUmodel OSU -2
model OSU -2
Opened 153.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 1 downmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ORE -1.5 | OSU -2.0 | OSU +3.5 | W OSU covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 158.9 | Over 6.4 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | OSU 80.4 · ORE 78.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | OSU -1.3 | OSU -5.0 |
| 1H total | 74.4 | 63 |
| 1H projected score | OSU 37.9 · ORE 36.5 | OSU 34 · ORE 29 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OSU | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| ORE | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
OSU 0–1 OREORE leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · OSU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | ORE 73 @ OSU 71 | OSU -2.5 | ORE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ohio State
14 games played
Straight up
10-4
71% wins
Against the spread
5-9
36% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs IUIN | W 118-102 | -33.5 | L −17.5 | 172.5 | O 220 |
| Nov 7 | vs PFW | W 94-68 | -24.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs APP | W 75-53 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | vs ND | W 64-63 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 20 | vs WMU | W 91-58 | -26.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSM | W 113-60 | -30.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 28 | @ PITT | L 66-67 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ NU | W 86-82 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | vs ILL | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs WVU | W 89-88 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 20 | vs UNC | L 70-71 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 23 | vs GRAM | W 89-63 | -28.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 2 | @ RUTG | W 80-73 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vs NEB | L 69-72 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
−17.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+1.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−1.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−8.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
+6.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+22.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−6.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+2.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
−4.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
−2.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
+1.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−2.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
−2.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−5.5
covered 5didn’t cover 9avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
+47.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+2.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−19.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−29.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
−10.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+21.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−15.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+12.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
+5.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
+31.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
−16.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−1.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
+1.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−14.5
over 7under 7avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oregon
15 games played
Straight up
8-7
53% wins
Against the spread
5-10
33% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs HAW | W 60-59 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 7 | vs RICE | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs SDST | W 83-69 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs ORST | W 87-75 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 24 | vs AUB | L 73-84 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs SDSU | L 80-97 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 27 | vs CREI | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vs USC | L 77-82 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCLA | L 63-74 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCD | W 104-62 | -13.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs PORT | W 94-69 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs GONZ | L 82-91 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | vs OMA | W 80-57 | -21.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 2 | @ MD | W 64-54 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 5 | @RUTG | L 85-88 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−10.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−11.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
−2.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
−1.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
−6.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
−19.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−7.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
−2.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−2.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+28.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+5.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+3.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
+1.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
+8.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
−7.5
covered 5didn’t cover 10avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−25.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−15.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
+6.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
+20.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
+1.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
+35.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−8.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
+4.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−9.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+19.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+8.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+17.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
−14.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
−28.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
+33.5
over 9under 6avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ohio State
10-4 overall · 2-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Nebraska69–72
- W@ Rutgers80–73
- Wvs Grambling89–63
- Lvs North Carolina70–71
- Wvs West Virginia89–88
3 days since their last game.
Oregon
8-7 overall · 1-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Rutgers85–88
- W@ Maryland64–54
- Wvs Omaha80–57
- Lvs Gonzaga82–91
- Wvs Portland94–69
3 days since their last game.