Matthew Knight Arena · at Oregon
Closing line
ORE -21.5✓ ORE covered by 1.5
ORE -21.5✓ ORE covered by 1.5Closing total151.5Under by 14.5
 OMA | This season | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | Record | 6-6 |
| 3-7 | ATS | 3-9 |
| 6-4 | O/U | 8-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OMA 68–87 ORE · ✓ ORE (95%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OMA | 29 | 28 | 57 |
| ORE | 39 | 41 | 80 |
1st half: OMA 29, ORE 39 (ORE by 10). The model had ORE by 11.0 and a total of 72.8 (actual 68).
Team stats
| OMA | ORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-57 37% | Field goals | 31-68 46% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 12-30 40% |
| 7-15 47% | Free throws | 6-13 46% |
| 33 10 off | Rebounds | 47 18 off |
| 9 | Assists | 21 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 9 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| OMA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Osburn G | 39 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 7-16 | 4-11 |
| Khamani Cooper G | 31 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Brock Scholl F | 25 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Lance Waddles G | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Kamryn Thomas F | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Grant Stubblefield G | 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Paul Djobet F | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Julian Margrave F | 14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Valentino Simon F | 9 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Skradis G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaac Ondekane, Benji Nelson, Christian Richardson, Rob Matos, Deng Mayar, Ja'Sean Glover
| ORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Shelstad G | 34 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 5-15 | 3-10 |
| Takai Simpkins G | 32 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Sean Stewart F | 29 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Nate Bittle C | 27 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 9-15 | 3-5 |
| Dez Lindsay F | 26 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ege Demir C | 16 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Wei Lin G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Jamari Phillips G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Oleksandr Kobzystyi F | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Drew Carter G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Miles Stewart F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rian Gonzales, JJ Frakes, Efe Vatan, Luke Johnson, Devon Pryor, Kwame Evans Jr.
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenORE -20.5
1 → ORE
CloseORE -21.5
1 pt toward ORE
Total
Open155.5
▼ 4
Close151.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
OMA +1800 · ORE -5000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ORE -20.5 · closed ORE -21.5 · moved 1 toward OREmodel ORE -18.5
model ORE -18.5
Opened 155.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 4 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ORE -21.5 | ORE -18.6 | OMA +2.9 | L ORE covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 155.4 | Over 3.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | OMA 68.4 · ORE 87 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ORE -11.0 | ORE -10.0 |
| 1H total | 72.8 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | OMA 30.9 · ORE 41.9 | OMA 29 · ORE 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OMA | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| ORE | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Omaha
10 games played
Straight up
3-7
30% wins
Against the spread
3-7
30% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MUR | L 77-85 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 6 | @ ACU | L 71-73 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 9 | @ CSU | L 74-97 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | vs SUU | W 90-85 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | @ LSU | L 73-99 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 25 | vs JMU | L 77-88 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | @ FIU | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNCO | L 70-75 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ PRST | W 60-55 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 20 | @ LAM | W 85-82 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMUR
MURL 77-85
−2.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 71-73
+2.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 74-97
−8.5
15
vsSUU
SUUW 90-85
−3.5
21
@LSU
LSUL 73-99
−5.5
25
vsJMU
JMUL 77-88
−9.5
26
@FIU
FIUL 61-74
−8.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOL 70-75
−1.5
6
@PRST
PRSTW 60-55
+17.5
20
@LAM
LAMW 85-82
+8.5
covered 3didn’t cover 7avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMUR
MURL 77-85
+8.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 71-73
−6.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 74-97
+17.5
15
vsSUU
SUUW 90-85
+21.5
21
@LSU
LSUL 73-99
+8.5
25
vsJMU
JMUL 77-88
+12.5
26
@FIU
FIUL 61-74
−22.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOL 70-75
−12.5
6
@PRST
PRSTW 60-55
−29.5
20
@LAM
LAMW 85-82
+25.5
over 6under 4avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oregon
12 games played
Straight up
6-6
50% wins
Against the spread
3-9
25% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-4
67% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs HAW | W 60-59 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 7 | vs RICE | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs SDST | W 83-69 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs ORST | W 87-75 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 24 | vs AUB | L 73-84 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs SDSU | L 80-97 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 27 | vs CREI | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vs USC | L 77-82 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCLA | L 63-74 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCD | W 104-62 | -13.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs PORT | W 94-69 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs GONZ | L 82-91 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−10.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−11.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
−2.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
−1.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
−6.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
−19.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−7.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
−2.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−2.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+28.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+5.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 9avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−25.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−15.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
+6.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
+20.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
+1.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
+35.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−8.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
+4.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−9.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+19.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+8.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+17.5
over 8under 4avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Omaha
3-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Lamar85–82
- W@ Portland St60–55
- Lvs N Colorado70–75
- L@ FIU61–74
- Lvs James Madison77–88
A week or more of rest.
Oregon
6-6 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Gonzaga82–91
- Wvs Portland94–69
- Wvs UC Davis104–62
- L@ UCLA63–74
- Lvs USC77–82
A week or more of rest.