Pauley Pavilion · at UCLA · Conference game
Closing line
PUR -5.5✓ UCLA covered by 7.5
PUR -5.5✓ UCLA covered by 7.5Closing total147.5Under by 11.5
| PUR | This season | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| 17-1 | Record | 12-6 |
| 9-9 | ATS | 7-11 |
| 7-11 | O/U | 9-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PUR 77–70 UCLA · ✗ PUR (74%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PUR | 32 | 35 | 67 |
| UCLA | 32 | 37 | 69 |
1st half: PUR 32, UCLA 32 (tied). The model had PUR by 4.5 and a total of 68.8 (actual 64).
Team stats
| PUR | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-60 45% | Field goals | 29-51 57% |
| 7-27 26% | 3-pointers | 9-20 45% |
| 6-7 86% | Free throws | 2-3 67% |
| 30 13 off | Rebounds | 24 4 off |
| 17 | Assists | 21 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 8 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith G | 37 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5-13 | 2-5 |
| C.J. Cox G | 30 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 6-11 | 2-6 |
| Fletcher Loyer G | 27 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-10 | 1-6 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn F | 26 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 4-6 | 0-2 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 24 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 16 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Jack Benter G | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Gicarri Harris G | 14 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Omer Mayer G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Jack Lusk, Aaron Fine, Sam King, Jace Rayl, Antione West Jr, Raleigh Burgess, Liam Murphy
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent G | 39 | 23 | 0 | 13 | 10-18 | 1-3 |
| Trent Perry G | 38 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Xavier Booker C | 35 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 34 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 6-11 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Bilodeau F | 34 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 5-9 | 4-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eric Freeny G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Steven Jamerson II F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Williams F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jamar Brown G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christian Horry, Anthony Peoples Jr., Markell Alston, Skyy Clark, Jack Seidler, Evan Manjikian
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPUR -5.5
no move
ClosePUR -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▲ 1
Close147.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
PUR -258 · UCLA +210
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PUR -5.5 · unchangedmodel PUR -7.5
model PUR -7.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 upmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PUR -5.5 | PUR -7.4 | PUR +1.9 | L UCLA covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 146.8 | Under 0.7 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | PUR 77.1 · UCLA 69.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PUR -4.5 | PK |
| 1H total | 68.8 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | PUR 36.6 · UCLA 32.1 | PUR 32 · UCLA 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PUR | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| UCLA | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
PUR 1–0 UCLAPUR leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · PUR 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2024-25 | UCLA 66 @ PUR 76 | PUR -5.5 | PUR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Purdue
18 games played
Straight up
17-1
94% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-11
39% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EVAN | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs OAK | W 87-77 | -31.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ ALA | W 87-80 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs AKR | W 97-79 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 20 | vs MEM | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs TTU | W 86-56 | -3.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs EIU | W 109-62 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 2 | @ RUTG | W 81-65 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | vs ISU | L 58-81 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs MINN | W 85-57 | -19.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs MARQ | W 79-59 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs AUB | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs KENT | W 101-60 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | @ WIS | W 89-73 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 7 | vs WASH | W 81-73 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | vs PSU | W 93-85 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vs IOWA | W 79-72 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @ USC | W 69-64 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−2.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
−21.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
+10.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
−0.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
+26.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+6.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
+2.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−27.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
+8.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
+3.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
+20.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+16.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+10.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−8.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
−14.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
−3.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−4.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−17.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
+5.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
−5.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
+12.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
−11.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+29.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
−0.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−15.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
−1.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
−16.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
−4.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+5.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+8.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−0.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
+25.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
+5.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−22.5
over 7under 11avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCLA
18 games played
Straight up
12-6
67% wins
Against the spread
7-11
39% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs EWU | W 80-74 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs PEPP | W 74-63 | -29.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 10 | vs WGA | W 83-62 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs ARIZ | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | vs SAC | W 79-48 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs PRES | W 86-46 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAL | L 72-80 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @WASH | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs ORE | W 74-63 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs GONZ | L 72-82 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs ASU | W 90-77 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 19 | vs CP | W 108-87 | -24.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 23 | vs UCR | W 97-65 | -24.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @IOWA | L 61-74 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @WIS | L 72-80 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | vs MD | W 67-55 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @PSU | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @ OSU | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
−23.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−18.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−9.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−2.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+14.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
−15.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
−0.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
+2.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+0.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+3.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
−3.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+7.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−6.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−4.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−1.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
+6.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
−7.5
covered 7didn’t cover 11avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
+4.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−15.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−1.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−19.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
−19.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+0.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
+8.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
+20.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
−9.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+6.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+24.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
+33.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+13.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−5.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−0.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−25.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
−17.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
+13.5
over 9under 9avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Purdue
17-1 overall · 7-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ USC69–64
- Wvs Iowa79–72
- Wvs Penn State93–85
- Wvs Washington81–73
- W@ Wisconsin89–73
3 days since their last game.
UCLA
12-6 overall · 4-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Ohio State74–86
- W@ Penn State71–60
- Wvs Maryland67–55
- L@ Wisconsin72–80
- L@ Iowa61–74
3 days since their last game.