Jersey Mike’s Arena · at Rutgers · Conference game
Closing line
MSU -14.5✓ RUTG covered by 5.5
MSU -14.5✓ RUTG covered by 5.5Closing total138.5Over by 28.5
| MSU | This season | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| 18-2 | Record | 9-11 |
| 11-9 | ATS | 8-12 |
| 5-15 | O/U | 10-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MSU 77–62 RUTG · ✓ MSU (91%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | 28 | 45 | 15 | 88 |
| RUTG | 37 | 36 | 6 | 79 |
1st half: MSU 28, RUTG 37 (RUTG by 9). The model had MSU by 9.1 and a total of 65.1 (actual 65).
Team stats
| MSU | RUTG | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-57 49% | Field goals | 25-62 40% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 10-27 37% |
| 24-26 92% | Free throws | 19-23 83% |
| 45 13 off | Rebounds | 22 6 off |
| 18 | Assists | 11 |
| 1 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| MSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Cooper C | 37 | 12 | 14 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. G | 36 | 29 | 4 | 9 | 6-12 | 1-4 |
| Coen Carr F | 35 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Divine Ugochukwu G | 29 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Jaxon Kohler F | 29 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Scott F | 26 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Kur Teng G | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Cam Ward F | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Denham Wojcik G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Trey Fort G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brennan Walton, Colin Walton, Jesse McCulloch, Nick Sanders, Kaleb Glenn
| RUTG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamichael Davis G | 40 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 4-8 | 1-1 |
| Darren Buchanan Jr. G | 36 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-4 |
| Dylan Grant F | 34 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Kaden Powers G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Emmanuel Ogbole C | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tariq Francis G | 34 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 6-17 | 3-8 |
| Harun Zrno G | 32 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 6-10 | 4-8 |
| Bryce Ruglass Dortch F | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Lino Mark G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Chris Nwuli F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Denis Badalau, Max Fradkin, Gevonte Ware, Dorian Jones, Baye Fall
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSU -13.5
1 → MSU
CloseMSU -14.5
1 pt toward MSU
Total
Open135.5
▲ 3
Close138.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MSU -1450 · RUTG +850
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSU -13.5 · closed MSU -14.5 · moved 1 toward MSUmodel MSU -15
model MSU -15
Opened 135.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 3 upmodel 139
model 139
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MSU -14.5 | MSU -15.1 | MSU +0.6 | L RUTG covered |
| Total | 138.5 | 139.0 | Over 0.5 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MSU 77 · RUTG 61.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MSU -9.1 | RUTG -9.0 |
| 1H total | 65.1 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | MSU 37.1 · RUTG 28 | MSU 28 · RUTG 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
| RUTG | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MSU 3–2 RUTGMSU leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · MSU has won the last 2 meetings · MSU 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | MSU 81 @ RUTG 74 | RUTG +8.5 | RUTG W |
| Jan 14, 2023-24 | RUTG 55 @ MSU 73 | MSU -10.5 | MSU W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | MSU 55 @ RUTG 61 | RUTG -4.5 | RUTG W |
| Jan 19, 2022-23 | RUTG 57 @ MSU 70 | MSU -2.5 | MSU W |
| Feb 5, 2021-22 | MSU 63 @ RUTG 84 | RUTG +2.5 | RUTG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Michigan St
20 games played
Straight up
18-2
90% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-15
25% overs · avg −5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COLG | W 80-69 | -22.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARK | W 69-66 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 13 | vs SJSU | W 79-60 | -24.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs UK | W 83-66 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs DETM | W 84-56 | -30.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 25 | vs ECU | W 89-56 | -19.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNC | W 74-58 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | vs IOWA | W 71-52 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs DUKE | L 60-66 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 13 | @ PSU | W 76-72 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOL | W 92-69 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs OAK | W 79-70 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 29 | vs COR | W 114-97 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | O 211 |
| Jan 2 | @ NEB | L 56-58 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | vs USC | W 80-51 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 8 | vs NU | W 76-66 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 13 | vs IU | W 81-60 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | @ WASH | W 80-63 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 20 | @ ORE | W 68-52 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 24 | vs MD | W 91-48 | -18.5 | W +24.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
−11.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
+0.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−5.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
+20.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−2.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+13.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
+14.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
+13.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−4.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
−8.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
−0.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−10.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
−6.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
+0.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
+17.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−3.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
+14.5
17
@WASH
WASHW 80-63
+13.5
20
@ORE
OREW 68-52
+5.5
24
vsMD
MDW 91-48
+24.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
+4.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
−20.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−4.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
−3.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−9.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+4.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
−20.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
−10.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−15.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
+2.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
+10.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−6.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
+50.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
−32.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
−20.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−1.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
−4.5
17
@WASH
WASHW 80-63
−2.5
20
@ORE
OREW 68-52
−19.5
24
vsMD
MDW 91-48
−2.5
over 5under 15avg −5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Rutgers
20 games played
Straight up
9-11
45% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs RID | W 81-53 | -18.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 10 | vs ME | W 72-60 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 14 | vs LEH | W 84-72 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | vs AMER | W 80-71 | -16.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs CCSU | L 54-67 | -15.5 | L −28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs TENN | L 60-85 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs ND | L 63-68 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNLV | W 80-65 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | vs PUR | L 65-81 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ MICH | L 60-101 | +25.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | @ HALL | L 59-81 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | vs PENN | W 70-69 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs DSU | W 65-50 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 2 | vs OSU | L 73-80 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vsORE | W 88-85 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | @ ILL | L 55-81 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 11 | vsNU | W 77-75 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | @ WIS | L 87-96 | +15.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 20 | @IOWA | L 62-68 | +17.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 23 | vsIU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
+9.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
−6.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
−6.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
−7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−28.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
−10.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
+1.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
+19.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−2.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
−15.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
−8.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−10.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−5.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+2.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+7.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−3.5
11
vsNU
NUW 77-75
+6.5
17
@WIS
WISL 87-96
+6.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-68
+11.5
23
vsIU
IUL 59-82
−15.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
−5.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
+1.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
+19.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
+7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−16.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
+3.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
−9.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
−8.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−0.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
+7.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
+3.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−11.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−20.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+1.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+33.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−13.5
11
vsNU
NUW 77-75
+7.5
17
@WIS
WISL 87-96
+33.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-68
−10.5
23
vsIU
IUL 59-82
−6.5
over 10under 10avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Michigan St
18-2 overall · 8-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Maryland91–48
- W@ Oregon68–52
- W@ Washington80–63
- Wvs Indiana81–60
- Wvs Northwestern76–66
3 days since their last game.
Rutgers
9-11 overall · 2-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Indiana59–82
- L@ Iowa62–68
- L@ Wisconsin87–96
- Wvs Northwestern77–75
- L@ Illinois55–81
4 days since their last game.