Jersey Mike’s Arena · at Rutgers · Conference game
Closing line
NU -4.5✓ RUTG covered by 6.5
NU -4.5✓ RUTG covered by 6.5Closing total144.5Over by 7.5
| NU | This season | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| 8-7 | Record | 8-8 |
| 7-8 | ATS | 5-11 |
| 9-6 | O/U | 8-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NU 77–71 RUTG · ✗ NU (69%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NU | 35 | 32 | 8 | 75 |
| RUTG | 33 | 34 | 10 | 77 |
1st half: NU 35, RUTG 33 (NU by 2). The model had NU by 3.6 and a total of 69.1 (actual 68).
Team stats
| NU | RUTG | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-63 41% | Field goals | 26-64 41% |
| 6-18 33% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 17-29 59% | Free throws | 19-27 70% |
| 40 11 off | Rebounds | 47 13 off |
| 20 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 22 | Fouls | 21 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| NU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli F | 44 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 11-22 | 2-3 |
| Jordan Clayton G | 34 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jayden Reid G | 31 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Tre Singleton F | 26 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Justin Mullins G | 16 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jake West G | 30 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3-8 | 3-5 |
| Arrinten Page F | 21 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Angelo Ciaravino G | 17 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| K.J. Windham G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Max Green G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Cade Bennerman, Tyler Kropp, Gus Hurlburt, Blake Smith, Phoenix Gill
| RUTG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Buchanan Jr. G | 41 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 4-13 | 0-0 |
| Jamichael Davis G | 26 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Kaden Powers G | 23 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Bryce Ruglass Dortch F | 23 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Harun Zrno G | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tariq Francis G | 35 | 30 | 3 | 3 | 10-22 | 2-4 |
| Dylan Grant F | 20 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Emmanuel Ogbole C | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Chris Nwuli F | 13 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Lino Mark G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Denis Badalau F | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Max Fradkin, Gevonte Ware, Dorian Jones, Baye Fall
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNU -4.5
no move
CloseNU -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
no move
Close144.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
NU -198 · RUTG +164
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NU -4.5 · unchangedmodel NU -6
model NU -6
Opened 144.5 · unchangedmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NU -4.5 | NU -5.8 | NU +1.3 | L RUTG covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 147.4 | Over 2.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | NU 76.6 · RUTG 70.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NU -3.6 | NU -2.0 |
| 1H total | 69.1 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | NU 36.3 · RUTG 32.7 | NU 35 · RUTG 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NU | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| RUTG | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NU 2–3 RUTGRUTG leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · RUTG has won the last 2 meetings · NU 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | RUTG 79 @ NU 72 | NU -9.5 | RUTG W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | NU 60 @ RUTG 63 | RUTG -4.5 | NU W |
| Mar 5, 2022-23 | NU 65 @ RUTG 53 | RUTG -5.5 | NU W |
| Jan 11, 2022-23 | RUTG 65 @ NU 62 | NU +1.5 | RUTG W |
| Feb 1, 2021-22 | RUTG 78 @ NU 79 | NU -5 | RUTG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northwestern
15 games played
Straight up
8-7
53% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MERC | W 70-47 | -26.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 7 | vs BU | W 76-52 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 10 | vs CLE | W 110-63 | -23.5 | W +23.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ DEP | W 81-79 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UVA | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vs SC | W 79-77 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 27 | vs OKST | L 81-86 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @ WIS | L 73-85 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs OSU | L 82-86 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs JKST | W 93-53 | -30.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs VAL | W 86-70 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs BTLR | L 58-61 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 30 | vs HOW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs MINN | L 78-84 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 8 | @ MSU | L 66-76 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−3.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
+6.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+23.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
−3.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
−0.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
−2.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
−7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
−1.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
−2.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
+9.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+1.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
+0.5
30
vsHOW
HOWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsMINN
MINNL 78-84
−10.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-76
+3.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−23.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
−8.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+21.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
+14.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
+11.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
+9.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
+7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
+2.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
+12.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
−0.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+10.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
−35.5
30
vsHOW
HOWW 80-60
−8.5
3
vsMINN
MINNL 78-84
+23.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-76
−1.5
over 9under 6avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Rutgers
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
5-11
31% covers · avg −4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs RID | W 81-53 | -18.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 10 | vs ME | W 72-60 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 14 | vs LEH | W 84-72 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | vs AMER | W 80-71 | -16.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs CCSU | L 54-67 | -15.5 | L −28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs TENN | L 60-85 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs ND | L 63-68 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNLV | W 80-65 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | vs PUR | L 65-81 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ MICH | L 60-101 | +25.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | @ HALL | L 59-81 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | vs PENN | W 70-69 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs DSU | W 65-50 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 2 | vsOSU | L 73-80 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vs ORE | W 88-85 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | @ ILL | L 55-81 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
+9.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
−6.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
−6.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
−7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−28.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
−10.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
+1.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
+19.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−2.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
−15.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
−8.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−10.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−5.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+2.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+7.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 11avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
−5.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
+1.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
+19.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
+7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−16.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
+3.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
−9.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
−8.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−0.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
+7.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
+3.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−11.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−20.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+1.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+33.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−13.5
over 8under 8avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northwestern
8-7 overall · 0-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Michigan St66–76
- Lvs Minnesota78–84
- Wvs Howard80–60
- Lvs Butler58–61
- Wvs Valparaiso86–70
3 days since their last game.
Rutgers
8-8 overall · 1-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Illinois55–81
- Wvs Oregon88–85
- Lvs Ohio State73–80
- Wvs Delaware St65–50
- Wvs Penn70–69
3 days since their last game.