College Basketball Games Sun, Jan 11, 2026

Day in numbers20 finalFavorites 12-8 ATS5 upsetsO/U 13-7Model Favorite 15-5OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games2020 final · 0 to play

Lines moved111+ pt since the open · 20 with a line

Totals moved141+ pt since the open

Favorites ATS12-860% covered

Upsets5outright

Over / Under13-765% over

Model Favorite15-575% won

Game	Spread, open → close	Moved	Total	Moved
UNT @ WICH	WICH -6.5 → WICH -8.5	2 → WICH	126.5 → 135.5	▲ 9
CLT @ RICE	RICE -1.5 → CLT -1.5	3 → CLT	140.5 → 137.5	▼ 3
IUIN @ MILW	MILW -11.5 → MILW -8.5	3 → IUIN	165.5 → 165.5	no move
UAB @ ECU	UAB -8.5 → UAB -7.5	1 → ECU	145.5 → 150.5	▲ 5
NKU @ GB	NKU -2.5 → NKU -4.5	2 → NKU	146.5 → 144.5	▼ 2
NIA @ MAN	MAN -6.5 → MAN -5.5	1 → NIA	144.5 → 140.5	▼ 4
MRST @ RID	MRST -11.5 → MRST -10.5	1 → RID	128.5 → 131.5	▲ 3
MRMK @ SPU	SPU -1.5 → SPU -1.5	no move	130.5 → 133.5	▲ 3
OSU @ WASH	WASH -1.5 → WASH -1.5	no move	152.5 → 155.5	▲ 3
JOES @ RICH	RICH -8.5 → RICH -7.5	1 → JOES	150.5 → 150.5	no move

Top 10 of 18; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.

Line moved	Covered	Cover rate
1+ pts	5579-5698-5	49%
2+ pts	2172-2236-2	49%
3+ pts	880-908	49%
5+ pts	139-149	48%

Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.

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FinalConference

Illinois

12-3 · #4 AP #16

Iowa

12-3 · #43 AP #19

Spread

ILL -1.5

✓ ILL W ATS

Total

142.5 ▼2

▲ Over 144

Projected

76–74

✓ ILL won

Model: ILL by 0.9 ✓ Model: Over 7.9 ✓

FinalConference

Saint Joseph's

7-7 · #114

Richmond

11-4 · #104

Spread

RICH -7.5

✓ JOES W ATS

Total

150.5

▼ Under 132

Projected

74–80

✗ RICH lost

Model: JOES by 1.3 ✓ Model: Over 2.8 ✗

FinalConference

Memphis

7-7 · #76

FAU

8-6 · #109

Spread

FAU -1.5

✓ FAU W ATS

Total

152.5 ▲1

▲ Over 167

Projected

76–77

✓ FAU won

Model: MEM by 0.6 ✗ Model: Over 0.8 ✓

FinalConference

Cleveland St

2-12 · #315

Detroit Mercy

4-9 · #277

Spread

DETM -6.5

✓ DETM W ATS

Total

162.5 ▲2

▲ Over 178

Projected

77–84

✓ DETM won

Model: DETM by 0.3 ✓ Model: Under 1.7 ✗

FinalConference

Canisius

7-8 · #359

Iona

11-6 · #233

Spread

IONA -11.5

✓ IONA W ATS

Total

141.5

▼ Under 122

Projected

66–78

✓ IONA won

Model: IONA by 0.7 ✓ Model: Over 2.2 ✗

FinalConference

Charlotte

7-8 · #141

Rice

5-9 · #177

Spread

CLT -1.5

✓ RICE W ATS

Total

137.5 ▼3

▲ Over 147

Projected

73–71

✓ CLT won

Model: RICE by 0.2 ✓ Model: Over 6.5 ✓

FinalConference

UAB

9-6 · #102

East Carolina

4-10 · #145

Spread

UAB -7.5

✓ ECU W ATS

Total

150.5 ▲5

▲ Over 172

Projected

81–72

✓ UAB won

Model: UAB by 1.2 ✗ Model: Over 2.4 ✓

FinalConference

Merrimack

10-7 · #225

Saint Peter's

6-6 · #269

Spread

SPU -1.5

✓ SPU W ATS

Total

133.5 ▲3

▲ Over 139

Projected

65–68

✓ SPU won

Model: SPU by 0.9 ✓ Model: Under 0.8 ✗

FinalConference

Quinnipiac

10-5 · #241

Sacred Heart

4-12 · #311

Spread

QUIN -5.5

✓ QUIN W ATS

Total

152.5 ▲1

▼ Under 130

Projected

80–75

✓ QUIN won

Model: SHU by 0.8 ✗ Model: Over 3.0 ✗

FinalConference

N Kentucky

10-5 · #230

Green Bay

7-8 · #226

Spread

NKU -4.5

✓ GB W ATS

Total

144.5 ▼2

▲ Over 158

Projected

76–73

✗ NKU lost

Model: GB by 1.6 ✓ Model: Over 3.8 ✓

FinalConference

Purdue FW

7-8 · #249

Robert Morris

9-6 · #168

Spread

RMU -4.5

✓ PFW W ATS

Total

146.5 ▲1

▲ Over 153

Projected

74–78

✗ RMU lost

Model: PFW by 0.9 ✓ Model: Over 4.9 ✓

FinalConference

Siena

10-6 · #260

Mount St Marys

5-11 · #278

Spread

SIE -2.5

✓ SIE W ATS

Total

139.5

▼ Under 117

Projected

72–68

✓ SIE won

Model: SIE by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.2 ✗

FinalConference

Marist

9-5 · #236

Rider

0-13 · #347

Spread

MRST -10.5

✓ MRST W ATS

Total

131.5 ▲3

▼ Under 120

Projected

70–60

✓ MRST won

Model: RID by 0.6 ✗ Model: Under 1.8 ✓

FinalConference

Niagara

3-11 · #346

Manhattan

6-10 · #330

Spread

MAN -5.5

✓ MAN W ATS

Total

140.5 ▼4

▲ Over 149

Projected

70–76

✓ MAN won

Model: MAN by 0.4 ✓ Model: Over 5.9 ✓

FinalConference

North Texas

8-6 · #112

Wichita St

8-7 · #77

Spread

WICH -8.5

✓ WICH W ATS

Total

135.5 ▲9

▲ Over 145

Projected

63–70

✓ WICH won

Model: UNT by 1.9 ✗ Model: Under 2.4 ✗

FinalConference

Wright St

8-7 · #180

Oakland

8-8 · #204

Spread

OAK -4.5

✓ WRST W ATS

Total

161.5 ▲2

▲ Over 178

Projected

78–83

✗ OAK lost

Model: OAK by 0.4 ✗ Model: Over 0.2 ✓

FinalConference

IU Indy

2-14 · #340

Milwaukee

6-10 · #235

Spread

MILW -8.5

✓ MILW W ATS

Total

165.5

▲ Over 178

Projected

79–91

✓ MILW won

Model: MILW by 3.2 ✓ Model: Over 4.0 ✓

FinalConference

Cincinnati

8-7 · #30

UCF

12-2 · #39 AP #25

Spread

UCF -2.5

✓ CIN W ATS

Total

150.5

▼ Under 145

Projected

73–77

✓ UCF won

Model: UCF by 1.0 ✗ Model: Under 0.3 ✓

FinalConference

Northwestern

8-7 · #59

Rutgers

8-8 · #62

Spread

NU -4.5

✓ RUTG W ATS

Total

144.5

▲ Over 152

Projected

77–71

✗ NU lost

Model: NU by 1.3 ✗ Model: Over 2.9 ✓

FinalConference

Ohio State

11-4 · #33

Washington

9-6 · #56

Spread

WASH -1.5

✓ WASH W ATS

Total

155.5 ▲3

▼ Under 155

Projected

80–80

✓ WASH won

Model: OSU by 1.1 ✗ Model: Over 4.7 ✗

Status	Matchup	Spread	Total	Model line	Spread edge	Model total	Total edge	Win prob	Model
Final	Illinois 12-3 · #4 75 Iowa 12-3 · #43 69	ILL -1.5	142.5	ILL -2.4	ILL +0.9	150.4	Over 7.9	58% ILL	W W	›
Final	Saint Joseph's 7-7 · #114 67 Richmond 11-4 · #104 65	RICH -7.5	150.5	RICH -6.2	JOES +1.3	153.3	Over 2.8	71% RICH	W L	›
Final	Memphis 7-7 · #76 78 FAU 8-6 · #109 89	FAU -1.5	152.5	FAU -0.9	MEM +0.6	153.3	Over 0.8	53% FAU	L W	›
Final	Cleveland St 2-12 · #315 84 Detroit Mercy 4-9 · #277 94	DETM -6.5	162.5	DETM -6.8	DETM +0.3	160.8	Under 1.7	72% DETM	W L	›
Final	Canisius 7-8 · #359 48 Iona 11-6 · #233 74	IONA -11.5	141.5	IONA -12.2	IONA +0.7	143.7	Over 2.2	86% IONA	W L	›
Final	Charlotte 7-8 · #141 74 Rice 5-9 · #177 73	CLT -1.5	137.5	CLT -1.3	RICE +0.2	144.0	Over 6.5	55% CLT	W W	›
Final	UAB 9-6 · #102 87 East Carolina 4-10 · #145 85	UAB -7.5	150.5	UAB -8.7	UAB +1.2	152.9	Over 2.4	78% UAB	L W	›
Final	Merrimack 10-7 · #225 63 Saint Peter's 6-6 · #269 76	SPU -1.5	133.5	SPU -2.4	SPU +0.9	132.7	Under 0.8	58% SPU	W L	›
Final	Quinnipiac 10-5 · #241 70 Sacred Heart 4-12 · #311 60	QUIN -5.5	152.5	QUIN -4.7	SHU +0.8	155.5	Over 3.0	66% QUIN	L L	›
Final	N Kentucky 10-5 · #230 78 Green Bay 7-8 · #226 80	NKU -4.5	144.5	NKU -2.9	GB +1.6	148.3	Over 3.8	60% NKU	W W	›
Final	Purdue FW 7-8 · #249 79 Robert Morris 9-6 · #168 74	RMU -4.5	146.5	RMU -3.6	PFW +0.9	151.4	Over 4.9	62% RMU	W W	›
Final	Siena 10-6 · #260 67 Mount St Marys 5-11 · #278 50	SIE -2.5	139.5	SIE -4.0	SIE +1.5	140.7	Over 1.2	64% SIE	W L	›
Final	Marist 9-5 · #236 71 Rider 0-13 · #347 49	MRST -10.5	131.5	MRST -9.9	RID +0.6	129.7	Under 1.8	81% MRST	L W	›
Final	Niagara 3-11 · #346 70 Manhattan 6-10 · #330 79	MAN -5.5	140.5	MAN -5.9	MAN +0.4	146.4	Over 5.9	70% MAN	W W	›
Final	North Texas 8-6 · #112 67 Wichita St 8-7 · #77 78	WICH -8.5	135.5	WICH -6.6	UNT +1.9	133.1	Under 2.4	72% WICH	L L	›
Final	Wright St 8-7 · #180 94 Oakland 8-8 · #204 84	OAK -4.5	161.5	OAK -4.9	OAK +0.4	161.7	Over 0.2	67% OAK	L W	›
Final	IU Indy 2-14 · #340 83 Milwaukee 6-10 · #235 95	MILW -8.5	165.5	MILW -11.7	MILW +3.2	169.5	Over 4.0	85% MILW	W W	›
Final	Cincinnati 8-7 · #30 72 UCF 12-2 · #39 73	UCF -2.5	150.5	UCF -3.5	UCF +1.0	150.2	Under 0.3	62% UCF	L W	›
Final	Northwestern 8-7 · #59 75 Rutgers 8-8 · #62 77	NU -4.5	144.5	NU -5.8	NU +1.3	147.4	Over 2.9	69% NU	L W	›
Final	Ohio State 11-4 · #33 74 Washington 9-6 · #56 81	WASH -1.5	155.5	WASH -0.4	OSU +1.1	160.2	Over 4.7	51% WASH	L L	›

Day in numbers20 finalFavorites 12-8 ATS5 upsetsO/U 13-7Model Favorite 15-5OpenClose

The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record

NCAAB games · Sunday, January 11, 2026

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