Yanitelli Center · at Saint Peter's · Conference game
Closing line
SPU -1.5✓ SPU covered by 11.5
SPU -1.5✓ SPU covered by 11.5Closing total133.5Over by 5.5
 MRMK | This season | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-7 | Record | 6-6 |
| 10-7 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 5-12 | O/U | 4-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRMK 65–68 SPU · ✓ SPU (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMK | 25 | 38 | 63 |
| SPU | 38 | 38 | 76 |
1st half: MRMK 25, SPU 38 (SPU by 13). The model had SPU by 1.3 and a total of 62.2 (actual 63).
Team stats
| MRMK | SPU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-52 42% | Field goals | 25-48 52% |
| 2-18 11% | 3-pointers | 5-13 38% |
| 17-21 81% | Free throws | 21-30 70% |
| 26 12 off | Rebounds | 37 15 off |
| 9 | Assists | 16 |
| 10 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 8 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| MRMK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevair Kennedy G | 40 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Ernest Shelton G | 38 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 4-12 | 2-6 |
| Tye Dorset G | 35 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 6-15 | 0-6 |
| Todd Brogna F | 24 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Andrés Marrero G | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KC Ugwuakazi F | 26 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Stinson G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Brendan Johnson G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Veillette F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Munro, Jacob Moore, Quinn Kwasniak, Aliou Cisse, Brandon Legris, Malik Edmead
| SPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Eaton G | 36 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Brent Bland G | 36 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 3-9 | 3-7 |
| Zaakir Williamson F | 32 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Jahki Gupton F | 28 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Perkins G | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| TJ Robinson G | 22 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Lucas Scroggins F | 19 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Eric Morgan Jr. G | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Adetokunbo Bakare G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bol Agu F | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Robert Wilmote, Shaedon Simpson, J'Quan Ewing, Akil Watson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSPU -1.5
ModelSPU -2.4
Model edgeSPU +0.9
W SPU covered
Total
Market133.5
Model132.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
L Over
Projected score
MRMK 65.1 · SPU 67.5
MRMK 63 · SPU 76
Win probability
SPU 58%
1st half
Spread
SPU -1.3
SPU -13.0
Total
62.2
63 points
Projected score
MRMK 30.4 · SPU 31.8
MRMK 25 · SPU 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSPU -1.5
no move
CloseSPU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open130.5
▲ 3
Close133.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MRMK +105 · SPU -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SPU -1.5 · unchangedmodel SPU -2.5
model SPU -2.5
Opened 130.5 · closed 133.5 · moved 3 upmodel 132.5
model 132.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMK | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
| SPU | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MRMK 1–0 SPUMRMK leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MRMK 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | MRMK 48 @ SPU 37 | SPU -0.5 | MRMK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Merrimack
17 games played
Straight up
10-7
59% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-12
29% overs · avg −4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SDST | L 66-75 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 6 | @ AUB | L 57-95 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | @ TAR | L 62-76 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ BU | W 91-79 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ME | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ FLA | L 45-80 | +36.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | @ PENN | L 65-77 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOF | L 58-78 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs LAS | W 66-60 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 132.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 4 | vs RID | W 68-66 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | vs FAIR | W 74-63 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ PRIN | W 59-56 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 14 | @ UVM | L 59-66 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 29 | @ SHU | W 80-72 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 2 | vs MSM | W 75-65 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 4 | vs MAN | W 73-66 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 9 | @ SIE | W 63-59 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
−14.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−9.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+14.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+0.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
+1.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−9.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
−14.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
+8.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−7.5
7
vsFAIR
FAIRW 74-63
+7.5
10
@PRIN
PRINW 59-56
+5.5
14
@UVM
UVML 59-66
−0.5
29
@SHU
SHUW 80-72
+9.5
2
vsMSM
MSMW 75-65
+6.5
4
vsMAN
MANW 73-66
+0.5
9
@SIE
SIEW 63-59
+9.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
+3.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−4.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+34.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+6.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
−33.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−10.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
+0.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
−6.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−4.5
7
vsFAIR
FAIRW 74-63
−7.5
10
@PRIN
PRINW 59-56
−19.5
14
@UVM
UVML 59-66
−11.5
29
@SHU
SHUW 80-72
+7.5
2
vsMSM
MSMW 75-65
−1.5
4
vsMAN
MANW 73-66
−9.5
9
@SIE
SIEW 63-59
−10.5
over 5under 12avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Peter's
12 games played
Straight up
6-6
50% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-8
33% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HALL | L 50-77 | +13.5 | L −13.5 | 129.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 8 | vs FDU | W 93-83 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 12 | @ VCU | L 61-78 | +20.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | @ DEL | L 70-81 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 22 | vs UML | W 68-66 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 29 | vs DART | L 61-87 | -3.5 | L −29.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 5 | vs CAN | W 69-57 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 129.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 7 | vs NIA | W 71-43 | -5.5 | W +22.5 | 131.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 13 | @ GTWN | L 68-76 | +20.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 29 | @FAIR | W 70-66 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 2 | vs MRST | W 69-59 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 133.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 9 | @MSM | L 65-70 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HALL
HALLL 50-77
−13.5
8
vsFDU
FDUW 93-83
+3.5
12
@VCU
VCUL 61-78
+3.5
18
@DEL
DELL 70-81
−6.5
22
vsUML
UMLW 68-66
−6.5
29
vsDART
DARTL 61-87
−29.5
5
vsCAN
CANW 69-57
+2.5
7
vsNIA
NIAW 71-43
+22.5
13
@GTWN
GTWNL 68-76
+12.5
29
@FAIR
FAIRW 70-66
+6.5
2
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-59
+12.5
9
@MSM
MSML 65-70
−6.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HALL
HALLL 50-77
−2.5
8
vsFDU
FDUW 93-83
+38.5
12
@VCU
VCUL 61-78
−8.5
18
@DEL
DELL 70-81
+13.5
22
vsUML
UMLW 68-66
−13.5
29
vsDART
DARTL 61-87
+3.5
5
vsCAN
CANW 69-57
−3.5
7
vsNIA
NIAW 71-43
−17.5
13
@GTWN
GTWNL 68-76
+3.5
29
@FAIR
FAIRW 70-66
−4.5
2
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-59
−5.5
9
@MSM
MSML 65-70
−6.5
over 4under 8avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Merrimack
10-7 overall · 6-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Siena63–59
- Wvs Manhattan73–66
- Wvs Mount St Marys75–65
- W@ Sacred Heart80–72
- L@ Vermont59–66
2 days since their last game.
Saint Peter's
6-6 overall · 4-1 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Mount St Marys65–70
- Wvs Marist69–59
- W@ Fairfield70–66
- L@ Georgetown68–76
- Wvs Niagara71–43
2 days since their last game.