Knott Arena · at Mount St Marys · Conference game
Closing line
SPU -1.5✓ MSM covered by 6.5
SPU -1.5✓ MSM covered by 6.5Closing total141.5Under by 6.5
| SPU | This season | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | Record | 4-11 |
| 7-4 | ATS | 8-7 |
| 4-7 | O/U | 6-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SPU 71–70 MSM · ✗ SPU (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPU | 33 | 32 | 65 |
| MSM | 31 | 39 | 70 |
1st half: SPU 33, MSM 31 (SPU by 2). The model had SPU by 0.6 and a total of 65.8 (actual 64).
Team stats
| SPU | MSM | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-63 29% | Field goals | 19-50 38% |
| 8-31 26% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 21-29 72% | Free throws | 26-32 81% |
| 42 20 off | Rebounds | 41 11 off |
| 9 | Assists | 10 |
| 10 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 23 | Fouls | 21 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| SPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Bland G | 28 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
| Elijah Perkins G | 24 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Zaakir Williamson F | 23 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-1 |
| Bryce Eaton G | 20 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-8 | 0-7 |
| Lucas Scroggins F | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jahki Gupton F | 25 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-1 |
| TJ Robinson G | 24 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Bol Agu F | 16 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Eric Morgan Jr. G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Adetokunbo Bakare G | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
Did not play: Robert Wilmote, Shaedon Simpson, J'Quan Ewing, Akil Watson
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 33 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Arlandus Keyes G | 29 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 3-8 | 3-6 |
| Trey Deveaux F | 29 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Abdou Khadre Kebe G | 25 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Luke McEldon F | 24 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Arrington Jr. G | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Justin Amadi F | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Mason So G | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: John Miller IV, Justin May, Patrick Haigh, Noah Rogers, Elijah Espinosa, Jaxon Hartman, Anastasios Rozakeas
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSM -1.5
3 → SPU
CloseSPU -1.5
3 pts toward SPU
Total
Open136.5
▲ 5
Close141.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
SPU -125 · MSM +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSM -1.5 · closed SPU -1.5 · moved 3 toward SPUmodel SPU -1
model SPU -1
Opened 136.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 5 upmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SPU -1.5 | SPU -0.9 | MSM +0.6 | W MSM covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 140.5 | Under 1.0 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | SPU 70.7 · MSM 69.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SPU -0.6 | SPU -2.0 |
| 1H total | 65.8 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | SPU 33.2 · MSM 32.6 | SPU 33 · MSM 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPU | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| MSM | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
SPU 3–3 MSMSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · MSM has won the last 2 meetings · SPU 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024-25 | SPU 58 @ MSM 69 | MSM -3.5 | MSM W |
| Feb 2, 2024-25 | MSM 79 @ SPU 64 | SPU -3.5 | MSM W |
| Feb 23, 2023-24 | SPU 70 @ MSM 65 | MSM -1.5 | SPU W |
| Jan 7, 2023-24 | MSM 64 @ SPU 70 | SPU -1.5 | SPU W |
| Jan 28, 2022-23 | SPU 73 @ MSM 62 | MSM -1.5 | SPU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Peter's
11 games played
Straight up
6-5
55% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HALL | L 50-77 | +13.5 | L −13.5 | 129.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 8 | vs FDU | W 93-83 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 12 | @ VCU | L 61-78 | +20.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | @ DEL | L 70-81 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 22 | vs UML | W 68-66 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 29 | vs DART | L 61-87 | -3.5 | L −29.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 5 | vs CAN | W 69-57 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 129.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 7 | vs NIA | W 71-43 | -5.5 | W +22.5 | 131.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 13 | @ GTWN | L 68-76 | +20.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 29 | @ FAIR | W 70-66 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 2 | vs MRST | W 69-59 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 133.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HALL
HALLL 50-77
−13.5
8
vsFDU
FDUW 93-83
+3.5
12
@VCU
VCUL 61-78
+3.5
18
@DEL
DELL 70-81
−6.5
22
vsUML
UMLW 68-66
−6.5
29
vsDART
DARTL 61-87
−29.5
5
vsCAN
CANW 69-57
+2.5
7
vsNIA
NIAW 71-43
+22.5
13
@GTWN
GTWNL 68-76
+12.5
29
@FAIR
FAIRW 70-66
+6.5
2
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-59
+12.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HALL
HALLL 50-77
−2.5
8
vsFDU
FDUW 93-83
+38.5
12
@VCU
VCUL 61-78
−8.5
18
@DEL
DELL 70-81
+13.5
22
vsUML
UMLW 68-66
−13.5
29
vsDART
DARTL 61-87
+3.5
5
vsCAN
CANW 69-57
−3.5
7
vsNIA
NIAW 71-43
−17.5
13
@GTWN
GTWNL 68-76
+3.5
29
@FAIR
FAIRW 70-66
−4.5
2
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-59
−5.5
over 4under 7avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mount St Marys
15 games played
Straight up
4-11
27% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WVU | L 54-70 | +19.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 7 | vs BUCK | L 62-73 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ SFPA | W 74-66 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 16 | @ CIN | L 55-72 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | @ MD | L 90-95 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 23 | @ WMU | L 60-83 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 25 | @ OSU | L 60-113 | +30.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOW | W 79-75 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 3 | vs SHU | L 80-87 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 5 | @MRST | L 56-64 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 13 | @ L-MD | W 81-73 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 19 | @ DREX | L 67-75 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs IONA | W 66-59 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 2 | @ MRMK | L 65-75 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 4 | @ QUIN | L 69-80 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
+3.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−12.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
+1.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
+8.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+12.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−21.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
−22.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+1.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
−5.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
+0.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+5.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
−3.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
+9.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−6.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−3.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
−12.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−8.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
−9.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
−18.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+39.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−7.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
+21.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+7.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
+14.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
−16.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+2.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
+4.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
−28.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−1.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−1.5
over 6under 9avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Peter's
6-5 overall · 4-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Marist69–59
- W@ Fairfield70–66
- L@ Georgetown68–76
- Wvs Niagara71–43
- Wvs Canisius69–57
A week or more of rest.
Mount St Marys
4-11 overall · 1-4 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Quinnipiac69–80
- L@ Merrimack65–75
- Wvs Iona66–59
- L@ Drexel67–75
- W@ Loyola MD81–73
5 days since their last game.