Reitz Arena · at Loyola MD
Closing line
MSM -2.5✓ MSM covered by 5.5
MSM -2.5✓ MSM covered by 5.5Closing total151.5Over by 2.5
| MSM | This season | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| 2-8 | Record | 2-7 |
| 6-4 | ATS | 4-5 |
| 4-6 | O/U | 5-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MSM 74–75 L-MD · ✗ L-MD (55%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | 38 | 43 | 81 |
| L-MD | 37 | 36 | 73 |
1st half: MSM 38, L-MD 37 (MSM by 1). The model had L-MD by 0.8 and a total of 69.8 (actual 75).
Team stats
| MSM | L-MD | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-54 52% | Field goals | 24-65 37% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 13-39 33% |
| 17-24 71% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 43 10 off | Rebounds | 28 10 off |
| 18 | Assists | 18 |
| 9 | Steals | 12 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arlandus Keyes G | 32 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6-15 | 4-11 |
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 30 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Justin Amadi F | 27 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Mason So G | 26 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Luke McEldon F | 18 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey Deveaux F | 24 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-1 |
| Anthony Arrington Jr. G | 18 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-4 |
| Anastasios Rozakeas G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 11 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Justin May, Noah Rogers, John Miller IV, Abdou Khadre Kebe, Elijah Espinosa, Jaxon Hartman, Patrick Haigh
| L-MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Theodosiou G | 34 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5-14 | 3-8 |
| Braeden Speed G | 33 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| Jordan Stiemke G | 32 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 8-16 | 5-10 |
| Emmett Adair F | 29 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 2-10 | 1-6 |
| Sam Springer F | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyson Commander G | 24 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Troy Cicero Jr. G | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Sebastien Emenalo F | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Everett Barnes F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Carter Berg-McLean G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ben Menker, Goap Kodi, Peter Sposito, Jonas Sirtautas, Garrett Brennan
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSM -1.5
1 → MSM
CloseMSM -2.5
1 pt toward MSM
Total
Open148.5
▲ 3
Close151.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MSM -148 · L-MD +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSM -1.5 · closed MSM -2.5 · moved 1 toward MSMmodel L-MD -1.5
model L-MD -1.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 3 upmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MSM -2.5 | L-MD -1.6 | L-MD +4.1 | L MSM covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 149.1 | Under 2.4 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | MSM 73.8 · L-MD 75.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | L-MD -0.8 | MSM -1.0 |
| 1H total | 69.8 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | MSM 34.5 · L-MD 35.3 | MSM 38 · L-MD 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| L-MDlast 9 | 2-7 22% | 4-5 44% | 5-4 56% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MSM 2–2 L-MDSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · MSM 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024-25 | L-MD 77 @ MSM 69 | MSM -3.5 | L-MD W |
| Dec 9, 2023-24 | MSM 77 @ L-MD 64 | L-MD +1.5 | MSM W |
| Dec 10, 2022-23 | L-MD 34 @ MSM 51 | MSM -4.5 | MSM W |
| Dec 4, 2021-22 | MSM 55 @ L-MD 61 | L-MD -3 | L-MD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mount St Marys
10 games played
Straight up
2-8
20% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg −3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WVU | L 54-70 | +19.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 7 | vs BUCK | L 62-73 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ SFPA | W 74-66 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 16 | @ CIN | L 55-72 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | @ MD | L 90-95 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 23 | @ WMU | L 60-83 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 25 | @ OSU | L 60-113 | +30.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOW | W 79-75 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 3 | vs SHU | L 80-87 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 5 | @ MRST | L 56-64 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
+3.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−12.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
+1.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
+8.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+12.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−21.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
−22.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+1.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
−5.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
+0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
−12.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−8.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
−9.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
−18.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+39.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−7.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
+21.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+7.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
+14.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
−16.5
over 4under 6avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Loyola MD
9 games played
Straight up
2-7
22% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +6.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TOW | L 56-67 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs NJIT | L 64-66 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs STO | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ FAIR | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 19 | @ DUQ | L 78-92 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | @ UK | L 46-88 | +35.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 30 | vs COPP | W 95-84 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 3 | @ HAMP | L 71-93 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 9 | @ VMI | L 70-86 | -2.5 | L −18.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−2.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−12.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
+4.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+2.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+0.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−6.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+1.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
−15.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
−18.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−18.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−9.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
−1.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+31.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+19.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−25.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+35.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
+21.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
+4.5
over 5under 4avg +6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mount St Marys
2-8 overall · 0-2 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Marist56–64
- Lvs Sacred Heart80–87
- Wvs Howard79–75
- L@ Ohio State60–113
- L@ W Michigan60–83
A week or more of rest.
Loyola MD
2-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ VMI70–86
- L@ Hampton71–93
- Wvs Coppin St95–84
- L@ Kentucky46–88
- L@ Duquesne78–92
4 days since their last game.