Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Stonehill Skyhawks: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Nov 15, 2:00 PM ETLeo D. Mahoney Arena · Neutral site

#314L-MDLoyola MD74▲ winner

Final

#349STOStonehill63final

Closing lineL-MD -6.5✓ L-MD covered by 4.5

Closing total138.5Under by 1.5

Season records: Loyola MD and Stonehill
L-MD	This season	STO
0-2	Record	0-3
0-2	ATS	2-1
0-2	O/U	1-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: L-MD 70–68 STO · ✓ L-MD (57%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
L-MD	37	37	74
STO	38	25	63

1st half: L-MD 37, STO 38 (STO by 1). The model had L-MD by 1.5 and a total of 64.9 (actual 75).

Team stats

L-MD		STO
31-61 51%	Field goals	27-58 47%
9-24 38%	3-pointers	6-24 25%
3-8 38%	Free throws	3-4 75%
29 7 off	Rebounds	36 10 off
11	Assists	12
9	Steals	3
3	Blocks	2
7	Turnovers	17
7	Fouls	11
38	Points in paint	36
12	Fast-break points	5

Players

L-MD	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jacob Theodosiou G	33	21	6	3	10-18	1-4
Braeden Speed G	30	21	1	1	9-14	3-5
Jordan Stiemke G	28	6	3	2	2-8	2-3
Sam Springer F	21	10	4	1	4-7	1-3
Everett Barnes F	14	0	3	0	0-0	0-0
Bench
Jonas Sirtautas F	24	4	2	0	1-4	0-3
Tyson Commander G	21	2	2	1	1-3	0-1
Troy Cicero Jr. G	17	10	2	3	4-7	2-5
Sebastien Emenalo F	12	0	2	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Emmett Adair, Carter Berg-McLean, Ben Menker, Goap Kodi, Peter Sposito, Garrett Brennan

STO	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Hermann Koffi G	39	21	4	0	9-21	3-11
Rex Sunderland G	31	8	4	4	3-7	2-5
Raymond Espinal-Guzman F	30	10	7	2	5-10	0-3
Chas Stinson G	25	6	3	2	3-8	0-1
Ridvan Tutic F	15	5	7	1	2-2	0-0
Bench
Davante Hackett G	25	7	3	1	3-6	1-3
Anthony Holden G	18	0	4	2	0-1	0-1
Pearse McGuinn F	12	6	2	0	2-2	0-0
Cory Lovell F	3	0	0	0	0-1	0-0
Trenton Ruth G	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Norbu Jenpa, Colin Byrne, Eino Montin, Charlie Diamantis, Ethan Meuser, Will Batchelder

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	L-MD -6.5	L-MD -2.1	STO +4.4	L L-MD covered
Total	138.5	138.5	—	Under
Projected score	—	L-MD 70.3 · STO 68.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	L-MD -1.5	STO -1.0
1H total	64.9	75
1H projected score	L-MD 33.2 · STO 31.7	L-MD 37 · STO 38

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
L-MD LL	0-2	0%	0-1	0-1
STO WLW	2-1	67%	—	2-1

Venue/role: L-MD neutral site, as favorite; STO neutral site, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
L-MD UU	0-2	0%	0-2
STO UUO	1-2	33%	0-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
L-MDlast 2	0-2 0%	0-2 0%	0-2 0%
STOlast 3	0-3 0%	2-1 67%	1-2 33%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Loyola MD

2 games played

Straight up

0-2

0% wins

Against the spread

0-2

0% covers · avg −7.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

0-2

0% overs · avg −14 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-20%

L L

2 straight losses0 of 2 won

Against the spread

0-20%

L L

2 straight misses ATS0 of 2 covered

Over / Under

0-20%

U U

2 straight unders0 of 2 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsTOW	L 56-67	+8.5	L −2.5	141.5	U 123
Nov 11	vsNJIT	L 64-66	-10.5	L −12.5	139.5	U 130

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

TOW

L 56-67

−2.5

NJIT

L 64-66

−12.5

covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

TOW

L 56-67

−18.5

NJIT

L 64-66

−9.5

over 0under 2avg −14 ptslonger = bigger margin

Stonehill

3 games played

Straight up

0-3

0% wins

Against the spread

2-1

67% covers · avg +4.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-2

33% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-30%

L L L

3 straight losses0 of 3 won

Against the spread

2-167%

W L W

2 of 3 coveredno streak

Over / Under

1-233%

U U O

1 of 3 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@DEP	L 64-72	+22.5	W +14.5	147.5	U 136
Nov 11	@URI	L 57-80	+16.5	L −6.5	151.5	U 137
Nov 14	@FAIR	L 71-73	+6.5	W +4.5	143.5	O 144

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DEP

L 64-72

+14.5

URI

L 57-80

−6.5

FAIR

L 71-73

+4.5

covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DEP

L 64-72

−11.5

URI

L 57-80

−14.5

FAIR

L 71-73

+0.5

over 1under 2avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Loyola MD vs Stonehill

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Loyola MD

Stonehill

Loyola MD

Stonehill