College Basketball Games Fri, Jan 9, 2026

Day in numbers14 finalFavorites 5-9 ATS6 upsetsO/U 3-11Model Favorite 9-5OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games1414 final · 0 to play

Lines moved91+ pt since the open · 14 with a line

Totals moved121+ pt since the open

Favorites ATS5-936% covered

Upsets6outright

Over / Under3-1121% over

Model Favorite9-564% won

Game	Spread, open → close	Moved	Total	Moved
IUIN @ GB	GB -7.5 → GB -6.5	1 → IUIN	164.5 → 156.5	▼ 8
M-OH @ TOL	M-OH -1.5 → TOL -1.5	3 → TOL	165.5 → 166.5	▲ 1
SPU @ MSM	MSM -1.5 → SPU -1.5	3 → SPU	136.5 → 141.5	▲ 5
NIA @ IONA	IONA -13.5 → IONA -10.5	3 → NIA	141.5 → 140.5	▼ 1
MRST @ SHU	MRST -6.5 → MRST -5.5	1 → SHU	137.5 → 143.5	▲ 6
RID @ FAIR	FAIR -8.5 → FAIR -8.5	no move	141.5 → 145.5	▲ 4
CLE @ OAK	OAK -15.5 → OAK -15.5	no move	173.5 → 169.5	▼ 4
NKU @ MILW	MILW -1.5 → MILW -1.5	no move	154.5 → 157.5	▲ 3
WRST @ DETM	WRST -4.5 → WRST -5.5	1 → WRST	147.5 → 148.5	▲ 1
CAN @ MAN	MAN -6.5 → MAN -7.5	1 → MAN	145.5 → 145.5	no move

Top 10 of 13; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.

Line moved	Covered	Cover rate
1+ pts	5579-5698-5	49%
2+ pts	2172-2236-2	49%
3+ pts	880-908	49%
5+ pts	139-149	48%

Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.

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FinalConference

Miami OH

13-0 · #125

Toledo

7-6 · #157

Spread

TOL -1.5

✓ M-OH W ATS

Total

166.5 ▲1

▼ Under 160

Projected

82–82

✓ M-OH won

Model: M-OH by 1.6 ✓ Model: Under 2.1 ✓

FinalConference

Rider

0-12 · #347

Fairfield

8-7 · #239

Spread

FAIR -8.5

✓ RID W ATS

Total

145.5 ▲4

▼ Under 130

Projected

69–76

✓ FAIR won

Model: RID by 1.0 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓

FinalConference

Cleveland St

2-11 · #315

Oakland

7-8 · #204

Spread

OAK -15.5

✓ OAK W ATS

Total

169.5 ▼4

▲ Over 171

Projected

77–93

✓ OAK won

Model: CLE by 0.3 ✗ Model: Over 0.3 ✓

FinalConference

Wright St

7-7 · #180

Detroit Mercy

4-8 · #277

Spread

WRST -5.5

✓ DETM W ATS

Total

148.5 ▲1

▲ Over 166

Projected

77–73

✓ WRST won

Model: DETM by 0.7 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓

FinalConference

IU Indy

2-13 · #340

Green Bay

6-8 · #226

Spread

GB -6.5

✓ GB W ATS

Total

156.5 ▼8

▼ Under 134

Projected

79–87

✓ GB won

Model: GB by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 9.2 ✗

FinalConference

Merrimack

9-7 · #225

Siena

10-5 · #260

Spread

SIE -5.5

✓ MRMK W ATS

Total

132.5

▼ Under 122

Projected

64–70

✗ SIE lost

Model: SIE by 1.2 ✗ Model: Over 1.6 ✗

FinalConference

Saint Peter's

6-5 · #269

Mount St Marys

4-11 · #278

Spread

SPU -1.5

✓ MSM W ATS

Total

141.5 ▲5

▼ Under 135

Projected

71–70

✗ SPU lost

Model: MSM by 0.6 ✓ Model: Under 1.0 ✓

FinalConference

Niagara

3-10 · #346

Iona

10-6 · #233

Spread

IONA -10.5

✓ IONA W ATS

Total

140.5 ▼1

▼ Under 124

Projected

67–78

✓ IONA won

Model: IONA by 0.7 ✓ Model: Over 4.4 ✗

FinalConference

Marist

8-5 · #236

Sacred Heart

4-11 · #311

Spread

MRST -5.5

✓ SHU W ATS

Total

143.5 ▲6

▲ Over 148

Projected

73–67

✓ MRST won

Model: MRST by 0.7 ✗ Model: Under 3.1 ✗

FinalConference

Canisius

6-8 · #359

Manhattan

6-9 · #330

Spread

MAN -7.5

✓ CAN W ATS

Total

145.5

▼ Under 134

Projected

70–78

✗ MAN lost

Model: MAN by 0.2 ✗ Model: Over 2.2 ✗

FinalConference

N Kentucky

9-5 · #230

Milwaukee

6-9 · #235

Spread

MILW -1.5

✓ NKU W ATS

Total

157.5 ▲3

▼ Under 152

Projected

77–79

✗ MILW lost

Model: MILW by 0.6 ✗ Model: Under 2.3 ✓

FinalConference

Akron

9-4 · #118

Bowling Green

8-5 · #200

Spread

AKR -4.5

✓ AKR W ATS

Total

163.5 ▼2

▼ Under 144

Projected

85–82

✓ AKR won

Model: BGSU by 1.4 ✗ Model: Over 3.4 ✗

FinalConference

USC

11-3 · #36

Minnesota

10-5 · #70

Spread

MINN -3.5

✓ USC W ATS

Total

147.5 ▲2

▼ Under 139

Projected

75–76

✗ MINN lost

Model: USC by 2.6 ✓ Model: Over 3.4 ✗

FinalConference

UNLV

6-7 · #98

Colorado St

9-5 · #87

Spread

CSU -6.5

✓ CSU W ATS

Total

151.5 ▼1

▼ Under 132

Projected

73–80

✓ CSU won

Model: CSU by 0.7 ✓ Model: Over 1.6 ✗

Status	Matchup	Spread	Total	Model line	Spread edge	Model total	Total edge	Win prob	Model
Final	Miami OH 13-0 · #125 87 Toledo 7-6 · #157 73	TOL -1.5	166.5	M-OH -0.1	M-OH +1.6	164.4	Under 2.1	50% TOL	W W	›
Final	Rider 0-12 · #347 62 Fairfield 8-7 · #239 68	FAIR -8.5	145.5	FAIR -7.5	RID +1.0	145.0	Under 0.5	75% FAIR	W W	›
Final	Cleveland St 2-11 · #315 74 Oakland 7-8 · #204 97	OAK -15.5	169.5	OAK -15.3	CLE +0.3	169.8	Over 0.3	91% OAK	L W	›
Final	Wright St 7-7 · #180 84 Detroit Mercy 4-8 · #277 82	WRST -5.5	148.5	WRST -4.8	DETM +0.7	150.0	Over 1.5	66% WRST	W W	›
Final	IU Indy 2-13 · #340 59 Green Bay 6-8 · #226 75	GB -6.5	156.5	GB -8.0	GB +1.5	165.7	Over 9.2	76% GB	W L	›
Final	Merrimack 9-7 · #225 63 Siena 10-5 · #260 59	SIE -5.5	132.5	SIE -6.7	SIE +1.2	134.1	Over 1.6	72% SIE	L L	›
Final	Saint Peter's 6-5 · #269 65 Mount St Marys 4-11 · #278 70	SPU -1.5	141.5	SPU -0.9	MSM +0.6	140.5	Under 1.0	53% SPU	W W	›
Final	Niagara 3-10 · #346 53 Iona 10-6 · #233 71	IONA -10.5	140.5	IONA -11.2	IONA +0.7	144.9	Over 4.4	84% IONA	W L	›
Final	Marist 8-5 · #236 76 Sacred Heart 4-11 · #311 72	MRST -5.5	143.5	MRST -6.2	MRST +0.7	140.4	Under 3.1	71% MRST	L L	›
Final	Canisius 6-8 · #359 70 Manhattan 6-9 · #330 64	MAN -7.5	145.5	MAN -7.7	MAN +0.2	147.7	Over 2.2	75% MAN	L L	›
Final	N Kentucky 9-5 · #230 85 Milwaukee 6-9 · #235 67	MILW -1.5	157.5	MILW -2.1	MILW +0.6	155.2	Under 2.3	57% MILW	L W	›
Final	Akron 9-4 · #118 77 Bowling Green 8-5 · #200 67	AKR -4.5	163.5	AKR -3.1	BGSU +1.4	166.9	Over 3.4	61% AKR	L L	›
Final	USC 11-3 · #36 70 Minnesota 10-5 · #70 69	MINN -3.5	147.5	MINN -0.9	USC +2.6	150.9	Over 3.4	53% MINN	W L	›
Final	UNLV 6-7 · #98 62 Colorado St 9-5 · #87 70	CSU -6.5	151.5	CSU -7.2	CSU +0.7	153.1	Over 1.6	74% CSU	W L	›

Day in numbers14 finalFavorites 5-9 ATS6 upsetsO/U 3-11Model Favorite 9-5OpenClose

The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record

NCAAB games · Friday, January 9, 2026

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