Savage Arena · at Toledo · Conference game
Closing line
TOL -1.5✓ M-OH covered by 15.5
TOL -1.5✓ M-OH covered by 15.5Closing total166.5Under by 6.5
 M-OH | This season | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| 13-0 | Record | 7-6 |
| 9-4 | ATS | 6-7 |
| 10-3 | O/U | 5-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: M-OH 82–82 TOL · ✓ TOL (50%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 56 | 31 | 87 |
| TOL | 36 | 37 | 73 |
1st half: M-OH 56, TOL 36 (M-OH by 20). The model had M-OH by 0.2 and a total of 76.9 (actual 92).
Team stats
| M-OH | TOL | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-63 54% | Field goals | 24-62 39% |
| 12-31 39% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 7-8 88% | Free throws | 17-20 85% |
| 36 8 off | Rebounds | 33 12 off |
| 16 | Assists | 10 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brant Byers F | 37 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 7-14 | 4-10 |
| Peter Suder G | 36 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Eian Elmer G | 31 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 7-10 | 2-4 |
| Luke Skaljac G | 28 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 25 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 8-13 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Almar Atlason F | 15 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Justin Kirby G | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Kyle Waltz F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Robbins F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Leshawn Stowers, Brady Ganley, Trey Perry, Ethan Wright, Blake Anderson, Jackson Kotecki, Evan Ipsaro, Eli Yofan
| TOL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson G | 39 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 8-13 | 1-2 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. G | 34 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-14 | 3-9 |
| Sean Craig F | 33 | 16 | 13 | 0 | 5-12 | 3-4 |
| Austin Parks C | 28 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt G | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mynor Strong G | 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga F | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Will James Jr. G | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Phoenix Glassnor, London Praytor, Chris Riddle, Toby Nwokolo, Tyler Ode
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenM-OH -1.5
3 → TOL
CloseTOL -1.5
3 pts toward TOL
Total
Open165.5
▲ 1
Close166.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
M-OH -102 · TOL -118
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened M-OH -1.5 · closed TOL -1.5 · moved 3 toward TOLmodel M-OH -0
model M-OH -0
Opened 165.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 1 upmodel 164.5
model 164.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TOL -1.5 | M-OH -0.1 | M-OH +1.6 | W M-OH covered |
| Total | 166.5 | 164.4 | Under 2.1 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | M-OH 82.2 · TOL 82.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | M-OH -0.2 | M-OH -20.0 |
| 1H total | 76.9 | 92 |
| 1H projected score | M-OH 38.6 · TOL 38.4 | M-OH 56 · TOL 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 10-0 100% | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% |
| TOL | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
M-OH 1–7 TOLTOL leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · M-OH 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | TOL 80 @ M-OH 92 | M-OH -4.5 | M-OH W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | TOL 97 @ M-OH 63 | M-OH +2.5 | TOL W |
| Jan 5, 2023-24 | M-OH 64 @ TOL 68 | TOL -11.5 | M-OH W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | M-OH 75 vs TOL 91 | TOL -13.5 | TOL W |
| Feb 14, 2022-23 | M-OH 71 @ TOL 89 | TOL -16.5 | TOL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami OH
13 games played
Straight up
13-0
100% wins
Against the spread
9-4
69% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-3
77% overs · avg +7.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ODU | W 87-72 | -16.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 15 | @ AF | W 76-61 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | vs MERC | W 76-71 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs UAPB | W 111-84 | -21.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCG | W 82-71 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs ME | W 93-61 | -17.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 10 | @ UNCA | W 90-87 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | @ EKU | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ WRST | W 83-76 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @ BALL | W 86-77 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 30 | @ BGSU | W 93-83 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | vs AKR | W 76-73 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vs WMU | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
+4.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
−10.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+5.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+0.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
−3.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
+4.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+5.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+1.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+16.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
+7.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
−3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 4avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
−6.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
+7.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+34.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+2.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
+24.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
−10.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+9.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+15.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+25.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
−28.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
+2.5
over 10under 3avg +7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Toledo
13 games played
Straight up
7-6
54% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs USA | L 74-76 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs MRSH | L 73-85 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 11 | @WRST | W 81-71 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 15 | vs DETM | W 90-83 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | vs YSU | W 92-75 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 24 | vs TROY | W 75-68 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs BEL | L 72-87 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ OAK | L 97-98 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 13 | @ RMU | L 70-75 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | @ MSU | L 69-92 | +23.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | vsWMU | W 84-79 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ CMU | W 78-75 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @ NIU | W 75-61 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−4.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−14.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
+15.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
−3.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+15.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
+9.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−10.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+3.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−6.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+0.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
−5.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−4.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
+6.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−0.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−2.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
−7.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
+13.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+6.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
−16.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−4.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+28.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−9.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+10.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
+2.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−5.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
−25.5
over 5under 8avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami OH
13-0 overall · 4-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs W Michigan87–76
- Wvs Akron76–73
- W@ Bowling Green93–83
- W@ Ball State86–77
- W@ Wright St83–76
3 days since their last game.
Toledo
7-6 overall · 3-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ N Illinois75–61
- W@ C Michigan78–75
- Wvs W Michigan84–79
- L@ Michigan St69–92
- L@ Robert Morris70–75
3 days since their last game.