Millett Hall · at Miami OH
Closing line
M-OH -15.5✓ MERC covered by 10.5
M-OH -15.5✓ MERC covered by 10.5Closing total139.5Over by 7.5
 MERC | This season | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 2-0 |
| 3-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-3 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MERC 66–76 M-OH · ✓ M-OH (82%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERC | 29 | 42 | 71 |
| M-OH | 37 | 39 | 76 |
1st half: MERC 29, M-OH 37 (M-OH by 8). The model had M-OH by 6.2 and a total of 66.5 (actual 66).
Team stats
| MERC | M-OH | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-56 48% | Field goals | 22-49 45% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 6-22 27% |
| 9-13 69% | Free throws | 26-31 84% |
| 32 10 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 12 | Assists | 10 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 24 | Fouls | 18 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| MERC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Lemelman G | 34 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 5-10 | 3-6 |
| Bernie Blunt III G | 28 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5-6 | 1-1 |
| Qadir Martin F | 26 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-1 |
| Mykolas Ivanauskas F | 25 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Christian Gamble G | 18 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeShaun Jackson Jr. PG | 24 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Cameron Johnson F | 20 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Kaden Fuhrmann G | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Sean Lang G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| James Thomas F | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Or Faran, Chris Leman, Brady Conner, Emilis Butkus, Vladimir Pavlovic
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Ipsaro G | 37 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Eian Elmer G | 33 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-4 |
| Brant Byers F | 32 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3-9 | 3-7 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 27 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Luke Skaljac G | 21 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Almar Atlason F | 24 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-4 |
| Trey Perry G | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Kyle Waltz F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Robbins F | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Blake Anderson, Leshawn Stowers, Justin Kirby, Brady Ganley, Peter Suder, Eli Yofan, Ethan Wright, Jackson Kotecki
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketM-OH -15.5
ModelM-OH -10.6
Model edgeMERC +4.9
W MERC covered
Total
Market139.5
Model141.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
W Over
Projected score
MERC 65.7 · M-OH 76.2
MERC 71 · M-OH 76
Win probability
M-OH 82%
1st half
Spread
M-OH -6.2
M-OH -8.0
Total
66.5
66 points
Projected score
MERC 30.1 · M-OH 36.4
MERC 29 · M-OH 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenM-OH -16.5
1 → MERC
CloseM-OH -15.5
1 pt toward MERC
Total
Open141.5
▼ 2
Close139.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
MERC +1100 · M-OH -2500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened M-OH -16.5 · closed M-OH -15.5 · moved 1 toward MERCmodel M-OH -10.5
model M-OH -10.5
Opened 141.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 2 downmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERClast 4 | 2-2 50% | 3-1 75% | 1-3 25% |
| M-OHlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mercyhurst
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −10.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
NU
NUL 47-70
+3.5
6
@
LUC
LUCW 73-65
+29.5
12
@
CAN
CANL 55-58
−4.5
15
vs
MORG
MORGW 86-72
+7.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NU
NUL 47-70
−23.5
6
@LUC
LUCW 73-65
−6.5
12
@CAN
CANL 55-58
−22.5
15
vsMORG
MORGW 86-72
+11.5
over 1under 3avg −10.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Miami OH
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
ODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
15
@
AF
AFW 76-61
+4.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
−6.5
over 1under 1avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mercyhurst
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Morgan St86–72
- L@ Canisius55–58
- W@ Loyola Chicago73–65
- L@ Northwestern47–70
5 days since their last game.
Miami OH
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Air Force76–61
- Wvs Old Dominion87–72
5 days since their last game.