OU Credit Union O'rena · at Oakland
Closing line
OAK -4.5✓ TOL covered by 3.5
OAK -4.5✓ TOL covered by 3.5Closing total166.5Over by 28.5
 TOL | This season | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | Record | 3-5 |
| 3-4 | ATS | 5-3 |
| 2-5 | O/U | 7-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOL 80–87 OAK · ✓ OAK (73%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 48 | 49 | 97 |
| OAK | 45 | 53 | 98 |
1st half: TOL 48, OAK 45 (TOL by 3). The model had OAK by 4.0 and a total of 77.8 (actual 93).
Team stats
| TOL | OAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-77 53% | Field goals | 39-70 56% |
| 4-21 19% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 14-20 70% |
| 44 17 off | Rebounds | 28 7 off |
| 20 | Assists | 23 |
| 3 | Steals | 11 |
| 3 | Blocks | 8 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 54 | Points in paint | 62 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| TOL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson G | 36 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 7-13 | 0-2 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. G | 33 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 7-14 | 2-6 |
| Sean Craig F | 32 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 7-12 | 0-3 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt G | 26 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6-12 | 1-5 |
| Austin Parks C | 23 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylan Ouwinga F | 27 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 7-10 | 0-1 |
| Will James Jr. G | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Phoenix Glassnor G | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Tyler Ode, Toby Nwokolo, Chris Riddle, Mynor Strong, London Praytor
| OAK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Robinson G | 37 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 8-14 | 3-7 |
| Tuburu Naivalurua F | 36 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 9-16 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Garrett F | 28 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Michael Houge F | 27 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Nassim Mashhour G | 19 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ziare Wells G | 23 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 9-14 | 0-1 |
| Brett White II G | 21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Warren Marshall IV G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Khoi Thurmon G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Nate Deer F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hamoudy Mashhour, Donny Yeager, William Kassi, MJ Yeager
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOAK -2.5
2 → OAK
CloseOAK -4.5
2 pts toward OAK
Total
Open164.5
▲ 2
Close166.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
TOL +154 · OAK -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OAK -2.5 · closed OAK -4.5 · moved 2 toward OAKmodel OAK -7
model OAK -7
Opened 164.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 2 upmodel 166.5 matches the line
model 166.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | OAK -4.5 | OAK -6.9 | OAK +2.4 | L TOL covered |
| Total | 166.5 | 166.3 | Under 0.2 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | TOL 79.7 · OAK 86.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | OAK -4.0 | TOL -3.0 |
| 1H total | 77.8 | 93 |
| 1H projected score | TOL 36.9 · OAK 40.9 | TOL 48 · OAK 45 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOLlast 7 | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% | 2-5 29% |
| OAKlast 8 | 3-5 38% | 5-3 63% | 7-1 88% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TOL 2–2 OAKSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · TOL 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024-25 | OAK 85 @ TOL 52 | TOL -8.5 | OAK W |
| Dec 6, 2023-24 | TOL 69 @ OAK 68 | OAK +1.5 | OAK W |
| Nov 16, 2022-23 | OAK 90 @ TOL 112 | TOL -13.5 | TOL W |
| Nov 17, 2021-22 | TOL 59 @ OAK 80 | OAK -2 | OAK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Toledo
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs USA | L 74-76 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs MRSH | L 73-85 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 11 | @ WRST | W 81-71 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 15 | vs DETM | W 90-83 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | vs YSU | W 92-75 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 24 | vs TROY | W 75-68 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs BEL | L 72-87 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−4.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−14.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
+15.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
−3.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+15.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
+9.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−10.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−0.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−2.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
−7.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
+13.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+6.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
−16.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−4.5
over 2under 5avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oakland
8 games played
Straight up
3-5
38% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-1
88% overs · avg +15.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MICH | L 78-121 | +24.5 | L −18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 7 | @ PUR | L 77-87 | +31.5 | W +21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ HOU | L 45-78 | +30.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 17 | @ UCF | L 83-87 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | @ EMU | L 91-97 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 24 | vs LAM | W 83-68 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 25 | @ MONT | W 95-87 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 162.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 3 | vs PFW | W 101-92 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MICH
MICHL 78-121
−18.5
7
@PUR
PURL 77-87
+21.5
12
@HOU
HOUL 45-78
−2.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 83-87
+9.5
21
@EMU
EMUL 91-97
−7.5
24
vsLAM
LAMW 83-68
+11.5
25
@MONT
MONTW 95-87
+12.5
3
vsPFW
PFWW 101-92
+4.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MICH
MICHL 78-121
+42.5
7
@PUR
PURL 77-87
+5.5
12
@HOU
HOUL 45-78
−15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 83-87
+6.5
21
@EMU
EMUL 91-97
+34.5
24
vsLAM
LAMW 83-68
+2.5
25
@MONT
MONTW 95-87
+19.5
3
vsPFW
PFWW 101-92
+30.5
over 7under 1avg +15.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Toledo
4-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Belmont72–87
- Wvs Troy75–68
- Wvs Youngstown St92–75
- Wvs Detroit Mercy90–83
- W@ Wright St81–71
A week or more of rest.
Oakland
3-5 overall · 1-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Purdue FW101–92
- W@ Montana95–87
- Wvs Lamar83–68
- L@ E Michigan91–97
- L@ UCF83–87
3 days since their last game.