Worthen Arena · at Ball State · Conference game
Closing line
M-OH -7.5✓ M-OH covered by 1.5
M-OH -7.5✓ M-OH covered by 1.5Closing total147.5Over by 15.5
| M-OH | This season | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| 9-0 | Record | 2-8 |
| 6-3 | ATS | 4-6 |
| 7-2 | O/U | 2-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: M-OH 78–70 BALL · ✓ M-OH (74%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 40 | 46 | 86 |
| BALL | 36 | 41 | 77 |
1st half: M-OH 40, BALL 36 (M-OH by 4). The model had M-OH by 4.6 and a total of 69.2 (actual 76).
Team stats
| M-OH | BALL | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-52 50% | Field goals | 28-57 49% |
| 13-24 54% | 3-pointers | 7-21 33% |
| 21-22 95% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 33 5 off | Rebounds | 24 4 off |
| 16 | Assists | 16 |
| 1 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eian Elmer G | 36 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 6-10 | 4-6 |
| Brant Byers F | 35 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Peter Suder G | 30 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 3-8 | 2-3 |
| Evan Ipsaro G | 22 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 16 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luke Skaljac G | 24 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Almar Atlason F | 23 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 8-14 | 5-8 |
| Trey Perry G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Kyle Waltz F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Robbins F | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Blake Anderson, Ethan Wright, Jackson Kotecki, Eli Yofan, Brady Ganley, Justin Kirby, Leshawn Stowers
| BALL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Jones F | 32 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Devon Barnes G | 28 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Davion Hill G | 19 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Preston Copeland F | 15 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Joey Hart G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elmore James IV G | 26 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 6-10 | 2-6 |
| Kayden Fish F | 25 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-2 |
| Armoni Zeigler G | 22 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Juwan Maxey G | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Jai Anthoni Bearden F | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kody Clancy, Cam Denson, Easton Foster, Alex Farley, Zane Doughty
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenM-OH -10.5
3 → BALL
CloseM-OH -7.5
3 pts toward BALL
Total
Open146.5
▲ 1
Close147.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
M-OH -360 · BALL +285
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened M-OH -10.5 · closed M-OH -7.5 · moved 3 toward BALLmodel M-OH -7.5 matches the line
model M-OH -7.5 = line ✓
Opened 146.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 upmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | M-OH -7.5 | M-OH -7.5 | — | M-OH covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 147.8 | Over 0.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | M-OH 77.6 · BALL 70.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | M-OH -4.6 | M-OH -4.0 |
| 1H total | 69.2 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | M-OH 36.9 · BALL 32.3 | M-OH 40 · BALL 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OHlast 9 | 9-0 100% | 6-3 67% | 7-2 78% |
| BALL | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
M-OH 4–2 BALLM-OH leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · M-OH has won the last 4 meetings · M-OH 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | BALL 66 @ M-OH 79 | M-OH -9.5 | M-OH W |
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | M-OH 80 @ BALL 72 | BALL +1.5 | M-OH W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | BALL 59 @ M-OH 80 | M-OH -3.5 | M-OH W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | M-OH 87 @ BALL 80 | BALL -4.5 | M-OH W |
| Jan 14, 2022-23 | M-OH 61 @ BALL 75 | BALL -10.5 | BALL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami OH
9 games played
Straight up
9-0
100% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-2
78% overs · avg +9.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ODU | W 87-72 | -16.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 15 | @ AF | W 76-61 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | vs MERC | W 76-71 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs UAPB | W 111-84 | -21.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCG | W 82-71 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs ME | W 93-61 | -17.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 10 | @ UNCA | W 90-87 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | @ EKU | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ WRST | W 83-76 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
+4.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
−10.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+5.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+0.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
−3.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
+4.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+5.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
−6.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
+7.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+34.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+2.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
+24.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
−10.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+9.5
over 7under 2avg +9.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ball State
10 games played
Straight up
2-8
20% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-8
20% overs · avg −10.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UL | W 75-64 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 11 | @ WIS | L 55-86 | +26.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | vs LR | L 62-68 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 22 | @ INST | L 52-70 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 28 | vs MONM | L 73-80 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 29 | @ LAF | L 37-55 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs LEM | W 96-85 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 3 | @ EVAN | L 52-64 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 9 | vs SDST | L 64-68 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ CAM | L 64-69 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUL
ULW 75-64
+6.5
11
@WIS
WISL 55-86
−4.5
15
vsLR
LRL 62-68
−8.5
22
@INST
INSTL 52-70
−10.5
28
vsMONM
MONML 73-80
−4.5
29
@LAF
LAFL 37-55
−19.5
30
vsLEM
LEMW 96-85
+12.5
3
@EVAN
EVANL 52-64
−5.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTL 64-68
+1.5
14
@CAM
CAML 64-69
+3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUL
ULW 75-64
−2.5
11
@WIS
WISL 55-86
−15.5
15
vsLR
LRL 62-68
−16.5
22
@INST
INSTL 52-70
−32.5
28
vsMONM
MONML 73-80
+16.5
29
@LAF
LAFL 37-55
−48.5
30
vsLEM
LEMW 96-85
+40.5
3
@EVAN
EVANL 52-64
−20.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTL 64-68
−10.5
14
@CAM
CAML 64-69
−12.5
over 2under 8avg −10.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami OH
9-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Wright St83–76
- W@ E Kentucky79–69
- W@ UNC Asheville90–87
- Wvs Maine93–61
- Wvs UNC Greensboro82–71
4 days since their last game.
Ball State
2-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Campbell64–69
- Lvs S Dakota St64–68
- L@ Evansville52–64
- Wvs Le Moyne96–85
- L@ Lafayette37–55
6 days since their last game.