Knott Arena · at Mount St Marys · Conference game
Closing line
SPU -1.5✓ MSM covered by 6.5
SPU -1.5✓ MSM covered by 6.5Closing total141.5Under by 6.5
| SPU | This season | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | Record | 4-11 |
| 7-4 | ATS | 8-7 |
| 4-7 | O/U | 6-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SPU 71–70 MSM · ✗ SPU (53%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPU | 33 | 32 | 65 |
| MSM | 31 | 39 | 70 |
1st half: SPU 33, MSM 31 (SPU by 2). The model had SPU by 0.6 and a total of 65.8 (actual 64).
Team stats
| SPU | MSM | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-63 29% | Field goals | 19-50 38% |
| 8-31 26% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 21-29 72% | Free throws | 26-32 81% |
| 42 20 off | Rebounds | 41 11 off |
| 9 | Assists | 10 |
| 10 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 23 | Fouls | 21 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| SPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Bland G | 28 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
| Elijah Perkins G | 24 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Zaakir Williamson F | 23 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-1 |
| Bryce Eaton G | 20 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-8 | 0-7 |
| Lucas Scroggins F | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jahki Gupton F | 25 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-1 |
| TJ Robinson G | 24 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Bol Agu F | 16 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Eric Morgan Jr. G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Adetokunbo Bakare G | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
Did not play: Robert Wilmote, Shaedon Simpson, J'Quan Ewing, Akil Watson
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 33 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Arlandus Keyes G | 29 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 3-8 | 3-6 |
| Trey Deveaux F | 29 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Abdou Khadre Kebe G | 25 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Luke McEldon F | 24 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Arrington Jr. G | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Justin Amadi F | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Mason So G | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: John Miller IV, Justin May, Patrick Haigh, Noah Rogers, Elijah Espinosa, Jaxon Hartman, Anastasios Rozakeas
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSPU -1.5
ModelSPU -0.9
Model edgeMSM +0.6
W MSM covered
Total
Market141.5
Model140.5
Model edgeUnder 1.0
W Under
Projected score
SPU 70.7 · MSM 69.8
SPU 65 · MSM 70
Win probability
SPU 53%
1st half
Spread
SPU -0.6
SPU -2.0
Total
65.8
64 points
Projected score
SPU 33.2 · MSM 32.6
SPU 33 · MSM 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSM -1.5
3 → SPU
CloseSPU -1.5
3 pts toward SPU
Total
Open136.5
▲ 5
Close141.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
SPU -125 · MSM +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSM -1.5 · closed SPU -1.5 · moved 3 toward SPUmodel SPU -1
model SPU -1
Opened 136.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 5 upmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPU | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| MSM | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
SPU 3–3 MSMSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · MSM has won the last 2 meetings · SPU 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024-25 | SPU 58 @ MSM 69 | MSM -3.5 | MSM W |
| Feb 2, 2024-25 | MSM 79 @ SPU 64 | SPU -3.5 | MSM W |
| Feb 23, 2023-24 | SPU 70 @ MSM 65 | MSM -1.5 | SPU W |
| Jan 7, 2023-24 | MSM 64 @ SPU 70 | SPU -1.5 | SPU W |
| Jan 28, 2022-23 | SPU 73 @ MSM 62 | MSM -1.5 | SPU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Peter's
11 games played
Straight up
6-5
55% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HALL | L 50-77 | +13.5 | L −13.5 | 129.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 8 | vs FDU | W 93-83 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 12 | @ VCU | L 61-78 | +20.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | @ DEL | L 70-81 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 22 | vs UML | W 68-66 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 29 | vs DART | L 61-87 | -3.5 | L −29.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 5 | vs CAN | W 69-57 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 129.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 7 | vs NIA | W 71-43 | -5.5 | W +22.5 | 131.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 13 | @ GTWN | L 68-76 | +20.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 29 | @ FAIR | W 70-66 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 2 | vs MRST | W 69-59 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 133.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HALL
HALLL 50-77
−13.5
8
vsFDU
FDUW 93-83
+3.5
12
@VCU
VCUL 61-78
+3.5
18
@DEL
DELL 70-81
−6.5
22
vsUML
UMLW 68-66
−6.5
29
vsDART
DARTL 61-87
−29.5
5
vsCAN
CANW 69-57
+2.5
7
vsNIA
NIAW 71-43
+22.5
13
@GTWN
GTWNL 68-76
+12.5
29
@FAIR
FAIRW 70-66
+6.5
2
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-59
+12.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HALL
HALLL 50-77
−2.5
8
vsFDU
FDUW 93-83
+38.5
12
@VCU
VCUL 61-78
−8.5
18
@DEL
DELL 70-81
+13.5
22
vsUML
UMLW 68-66
−13.5
29
vsDART
DARTL 61-87
+3.5
5
vsCAN
CANW 69-57
−3.5
7
vsNIA
NIAW 71-43
−17.5
13
@GTWN
GTWNL 68-76
+3.5
29
@FAIR
FAIRW 70-66
−4.5
2
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-59
−5.5
over 4under 7avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mount St Marys
15 games played
Straight up
4-11
27% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WVU | L 54-70 | +19.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 7 | vs BUCK | L 62-73 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ SFPA | W 74-66 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 16 | @ CIN | L 55-72 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | @ MD | L 90-95 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 23 | @ WMU | L 60-83 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 25 | @ OSU | L 60-113 | +30.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOW | W 79-75 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 3 | vs SHU | L 80-87 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 5 | @MRST | L 56-64 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 13 | @ L-MD | W 81-73 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 19 | @ DREX | L 67-75 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs IONA | W 66-59 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 2 | @ MRMK | L 65-75 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 4 | @ QUIN | L 69-80 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
+3.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−12.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
+1.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
+8.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+12.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−21.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
−22.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+1.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
−5.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
+0.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+5.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
−3.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
+9.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−6.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−3.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
−12.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−8.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
−9.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
−18.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+39.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−7.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
+21.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+7.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
+14.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
−16.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+2.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
+4.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
−28.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−1.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−1.5
over 6under 9avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Peter's
6-5 overall · 4-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Marist69–59
- W@ Fairfield70–66
- L@ Georgetown68–76
- Wvs Niagara71–43
- Wvs Canisius69–57
A week or more of rest.
Mount St Marys
4-11 overall · 1-4 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Quinnipiac69–80
- L@ Merrimack65–75
- Wvs Iona66–59
- L@ Drexel67–75
- W@ Loyola MD81–73
5 days since their last game.