Knott Arena · at Mount St Marys · Conference game
Closing line
IONA -2.5✓ MSM covered by 9.5
IONA -2.5✓ MSM covered by 9.5Closing total153.5Under by 28.5
| IONA | This season | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| 9-4 | Record | 3-9 |
| 8-5 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 7-6 | O/U | 6-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IONA 79–75 MSM · ✗ IONA (64%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IONA | 33 | 26 | 59 |
| MSM | 30 | 36 | 66 |
1st half: IONA 33, MSM 30 (IONA by 3). The model had IONA by 2.6 and a total of 72.3 (actual 63).
Team stats
| IONA | MSM | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-65 32% | Field goals | 27-58 47% |
| 9-34 26% | 3-pointers | 3-17 18% |
| 8-10 80% | Free throws | 9-15 60% |
| 36 9 off | Rebounds | 43 8 off |
| 10 | Assists | 13 |
| 9 | Steals | 12 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 26 |
Players
| IONA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamin Sabally F | 31 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Denver Anglin G | 30 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 5-15 | 3-10 |
| CJ Anthony G | 28 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Keshawn Williams G | 24 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Kosy Akametu G | 20 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1-8 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Toby Harris F | 26 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-10 | 3-10 |
| Alliou Fall F | 22 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Luke Jungers F | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Chase Cormier G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Khalil Badru G | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Connor Horan, Deondrea Lindsey, Oscar Hourruitiner Jr., Marko Pandiloski, Ore Odutayo, Matt Reed
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 32 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Luke McEldon F | 27 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 9-12 | 0-0 |
| Justin Amadi F | 26 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 7-12 | 0-1 |
| Mason So G | 23 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Anastasios Rozakeas G | 13 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey Deveaux F | 21 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Anthony Arrington Jr. G | 20 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Arlandus Keyes G | 19 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Abdou Khadre Kebe G | 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Elijah Espinosa, Jaxon Hartman, Patrick Haigh, John Miller IV, Justin May, Noah Rogers
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIONA -4.5
2 → MSM
CloseIONA -2.5
2 pts toward MSM
Total
Open153.5
no move
Close153.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
IONA -142 · MSM +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IONA -4.5 · closed IONA -2.5 · moved 2 toward MSMmodel IONA -4
model IONA -4
Opened 153.5 · unchangedmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | IONA -2.5 | IONA -4.0 | IONA +1.5 | L MSM covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 154.5 | Over 1.0 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | IONA 79.3 · MSM 75.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | IONA -2.6 | IONA -3.0 |
| 1H total | 72.3 | 63 |
| 1H projected score | IONA 37.5 · MSM 34.9 | IONA 33 · MSM 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IONA | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| MSM | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
IONA 5–2 MSMIONA leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · IONA 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024-25 | MSM 63 vs IONA 49 | IONA -4.5 | MSM W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | IONA 70 @ MSM 67 | MSM -0.5 | IONA W |
| Feb 25, 2023-24 | IONA 65 @ MSM 72 | MSM +1.5 | MSM W |
| Jan 14, 2023-24 | MSM 70 @ IONA 87 | IONA -5.5 | IONA W |
| Mar 8, 2022-23 | MSM 54 vs IONA 74 | IONA -14.5 | IONA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Iona
13 games played
Straight up
9-4
69% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs HOF | W 81-73 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 11 | @ KC | W 105-91 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 156.5 | O 196 |
| Nov 14 | vs FOR | W 76-71 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | vs PRIN | W 89-69 | -2.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | vs AKR | L 75-96 | +11.5 | L −9.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Nov 22 | vs ORST | W 91-84 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs GB | L 75-80 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 1 | @ DEL | W 89-66 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 149.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 5 | vs QUIN | L 68-89 | -2.5 | L −23.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | @ SHU | W 81-69 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 163.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 10 | vs BRY | W 69-63 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | @ SJU | L 64-91 | +28.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 20 | @ UVM | W 83-78 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsHOF
HOFW 81-73
+9.5
11
@KC
KCW 105-91
+9.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 76-71
−0.5
18
vsPRIN
PRINW 89-69
+17.5
21
vsAKR
AKRL 75-96
−9.5
22
vsORST
ORSTW 91-84
+10.5
24
vsGB
GBL 75-80
−10.5
1
@DEL
DELW 89-66
+21.5
5
vsQUIN
QUINL 68-89
−23.5
7
@SHU
SHUW 81-69
+13.5
10
vsBRY
BRYW 69-63
−2.5
13
@SJU
SJUL 64-91
+1.5
20
@UVM
UVMW 83-78
+11.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsHOF
HOFW 81-73
+9.5
11
@KC
KCW 105-91
+39.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 76-71
−10.5
18
vsPRIN
PRINW 89-69
+3.5
21
vsAKR
AKRL 75-96
−2.5
22
vsORST
ORSTW 91-84
+17.5
24
vsGB
GBL 75-80
+4.5
1
@DEL
DELW 89-66
+5.5
5
vsQUIN
QUINL 68-89
−6.5
7
@SHU
SHUW 81-69
−13.5
10
vsBRY
BRYW 69-63
−14.5
13
@SJU
SJUL 64-91
−4.5
20
@UVM
UVMW 83-78
+8.5
over 7under 6avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mount St Marys
12 games played
Straight up
3-9
25% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WVU | L 54-70 | +19.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 7 | vs BUCK | L 62-73 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ SFPA | W 74-66 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 16 | @ CIN | L 55-72 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | @ MD | L 90-95 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 23 | @ WMU | L 60-83 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 25 | @ OSU | L 60-113 | +30.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOW | W 79-75 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 3 | vsSHU | L 80-87 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 5 | @ MRST | L 56-64 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 13 | @ L-MD | W 81-73 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 19 | @ DREX | L 67-75 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
+3.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−12.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
+1.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
+8.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+12.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−21.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
−22.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+1.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
−5.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
+0.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+5.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
−3.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
−12.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−8.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
−9.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
−18.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+39.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−7.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
+21.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+7.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
+14.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
−16.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+2.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
+4.5
over 6under 6avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Iona
9-4 overall · 1-1 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Vermont83–78
- L@ St John's64–91
- Wvs Bryant69–63
- W@ Sacred Heart81–69
- Lvs Quinnipiac68–89
A week or more of rest.
Mount St Marys
3-9 overall · 0-2 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Drexel67–75
- W@ Loyola MD81–73
- L@ Marist56–64
- Lvs Sacred Heart80–87
- Wvs Howard79–75
A week or more of rest.