Leo D. Mahoney Arena · at Fairfield · Conference game
Closing line
FAIR -2.5✓ SPU covered by 6.5
FAIR -2.5✓ SPU covered by 6.5Closing total140.5Under by 4.5
 SPU | This season | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| 4-5 | Record | 7-5 |
| 5-4 | ATS | 5-7 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 6-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SPU 70–73 FAIR · ✗ FAIR (58%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPU | 31 | 39 | 70 |
| FAIR | 35 | 31 | 66 |
1st half: SPU 31, FAIR 35 (FAIR by 4). The model had FAIR by 1.3 and a total of 66.9 (actual 66).
Team stats
| SPU | FAIR | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-70 40% | Field goals | 23-57 40% |
| 5-21 24% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 9-11 82% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 44 18 off | Rebounds | 36 11 off |
| 13 | Assists | 7 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| SPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Bland G | 34 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-4 |
| Bryce Eaton G | 30 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 7-18 | 3-7 |
| Zaakir Williamson F | 24 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 4-11 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Perkins G | 23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Lucas Scroggins F | 15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jahki Gupton F | 28 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-3 |
| TJ Robinson G | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Eric Morgan Jr. G | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Bol Agu F | 10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Adetokunbo Bakare G | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Robert Wilmote, Shaedon Simpson, J'Quan Ewing, Akil Watson
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Sparks G | 40 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 7-15 | 5-8 |
| Brandon Benjamin F | 38 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 8-13 | 0-1 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 38 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Tony Williams G | 32 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-10 | 1-6 |
| Deuce Turner G | 21 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-10 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Halon Rawlins G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Eric Mejia G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nasir Rodriguez G | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Zan F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matt Curtis, Tanner Ostop, Aidan May, Peyton Smith, Joe Ganton, Luke Davidson, Cam Estevez, Michael Rogan, Noah Best
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFAIR -3.5
1 → SPU
CloseFAIR -2.5
1 pt toward SPU
Total
Open137.5
▲ 3
Close140.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
SPU +120 · FAIR -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FAIR -3.5 · closed FAIR -2.5 · moved 1 toward SPUmodel FAIR -2.5 matches the line
model FAIR -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 137.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 3 upmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FAIR -2.5 | FAIR -2.5 | — | SPU covered |
| Total | 140.5 | 142.8 | Over 2.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | SPU 70.2 · FAIR 72.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FAIR -1.3 | FAIR -4.0 |
| 1H total | 66.9 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | SPU 32.8 · FAIR 34.1 | SPU 31 · FAIR 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPUlast 9 | 4-5 44% | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% |
| FAIR | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
SPU 6–4 FAIRSPU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · SPU has won the last 2 meetings · SPU 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024-25 | FAIR 52 @ SPU 65 | SPU -3.5 | SPU W |
| Mar 16, 2023-24 | SPU 68 vs FAIR 63 | FAIR -3.5 | SPU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | FAIR 64 @ SPU 62 | SPU +3.5 | SPU W |
| Jan 19, 2023-24 | SPU 67 @ FAIR 76 | FAIR -3.5 | FAIR W |
| Mar 7, 2022-23 | SPU 70 vs FAIR 52 | FAIR -2.5 | SPU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Peter's
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HALL | L 50-77 | +13.5 | L −13.5 | 129.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 8 | vs FDU | W 93-83 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 12 | @ VCU | L 61-78 | +20.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | @ DEL | L 70-81 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 22 | vs UML | W 68-66 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 29 | vs DART | L 61-87 | -3.5 | L −29.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 5 | vs CAN | W 69-57 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 129.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 7 | vs NIA | W 71-43 | -5.5 | W +22.5 | 131.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 13 | @ GTWN | L 68-76 | +20.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HALL
HALLL 50-77
−13.5
8
vsFDU
FDUW 93-83
+3.5
12
@VCU
VCUL 61-78
+3.5
18
@DEL
DELL 70-81
−6.5
22
vsUML
UMLW 68-66
−6.5
29
vsDART
DARTL 61-87
−29.5
5
vsCAN
CANW 69-57
+2.5
7
vsNIA
NIAW 71-43
+22.5
13
@GTWN
GTWNL 68-76
+12.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HALL
HALLL 50-77
−2.5
8
vsFDU
FDUW 93-83
+38.5
12
@VCU
VCUL 61-78
−8.5
18
@DEL
DELL 70-81
+13.5
22
vsUML
UMLW 68-66
−13.5
29
vsDART
DARTL 61-87
+3.5
5
vsCAN
CANW 69-57
−3.5
7
vsNIA
NIAW 71-43
−17.5
13
@GTWN
GTWNL 68-76
+3.5
over 4under 5avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fairfield
12 games played
Straight up
7-5
58% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PSU | L 68-76 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NJIT | W 74-53 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 10 | @HALL | L 59-82 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs STO | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 16 | vs L-MD | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 22 | @ LEM | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs COLU | L 77-106 | +3.5 | L −25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNH | W 72-68 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 5 | @ MAN | L 66-70 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @ MRMK | L 63-74 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 14 | vs MONM | W 73-65 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ CCSU | W 84-70 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
+7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
+14.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
−8.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
−4.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
−2.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+12.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
−25.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−5.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−5.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
+10.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+20.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
−7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
−18.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
+3.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
+0.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
+31.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+34.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
+32.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−7.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−19.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
−5.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+10.5
over 6under 6avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Peter's
4-5 overall · 2-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Georgetown68–76
- Wvs Niagara71–43
- Wvs Canisius69–57
- Lvs Dartmouth61–87
- Wvs UMass Lowell68–66
A week or more of rest.
Fairfield
7-5 overall · 0-2 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ C Connecticut84–70
- Wvs Monmouth73–65
- L@ Merrimack63–74
- L@ Manhattan66–70
- Wvs New Hampshire72–68
A week or more of rest.