Leo D. Mahoney Arena · at Fairfield
Closing line
FAIR -9.5✓ UNH covered by 5.5
FAIR -9.5✓ UNH covered by 5.5Closing total147.5Under by 7.5
 UNH | This season | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| 0-5 | Record | 4-3 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 5-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNH 68–79 FAIR · ✓ FAIR (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNH | 45 | 23 | 68 |
| FAIR | 35 | 37 | 72 |
1st half: UNH 45, FAIR 35 (UNH by 10). The model had FAIR by 6.5 and a total of 68.6 (actual 80).
Team stats
| UNH | FAIR | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-61 39% | Field goals | 27-59 46% |
| 6-19 32% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 14-22 64% | Free throws | 10-17 59% |
| 34 13 off | Rebounds | 42 14 off |
| 12 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| UNH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davide Poser F | 33 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Jack Graham G | 32 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 4-12 | 1-6 |
| Belal El Shakery F | 29 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4-15 | 0-0 |
| John Squire F | 27 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| KiJan Robinson G | 21 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Bike G | 21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Comeh Emuobor F | 16 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| R.J. Kennedy G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Giannos Xanthopoulos C | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Myles Blackley, Dylan Saunders, Jon O'Neill, Antoni Siewruk, Nick Sanford
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Benjamin F | 36 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 7-12 | 0-1 |
| Braden Sparks G | 35 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 7-9 | 5-7 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 34 | 12 | 14 | 2 | 6-13 | 0-2 |
| Deuce Turner G | 29 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1-9 | 1-4 |
| Eric Mejia G | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Estevez G | 26 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 2-9 | 1-2 |
| Halon Rawlins G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Ryan Zan F | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tony Williams G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Nasir Rodriguez G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Luke Davidson, Noah Best, Michael Rogan, Matt Curtis, Peyton Smith, Tanner Ostop, Aidan May, Joe Ganton
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFAIR -9.5
no move
CloseFAIR -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▲ 2
Close147.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UNH +440 · FAIR -600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FAIR -9.5 · unchangedmodel FAIR -11
model FAIR -11
Opened 145.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 2 upmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FAIR -9.5 | FAIR -10.9 | FAIR +1.4 | L UNH covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 146.5 | Under 1.0 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | UNH 67.8 · FAIR 78.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FAIR -6.5 | UNH -10.0 |
| 1H total | 68.6 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | UNH 31.1 · FAIR 37.5 | UNH 45 · FAIR 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNHlast 5 | 0-5 0% | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% |
| FAIRlast 7 | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% | 5-2 71% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UNH 2–1 FAIRUNH leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · UNH 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2024-25 | FAIR 62 @ UNH 56 | UNH +1.5 | FAIR W |
| Nov 24, 2023-24 | UNH 83 @ FAIR 80 | FAIR -1.5 | UNH W |
| Nov 11, 2022-23 | FAIR 71 @ UNH 83 | UNH +6.5 | UNH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Hampshire
5 games played
Straight up
0-5
0% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −14.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CLEM
CLEML 38-88
−20.5
9
@
HARV
HARVL 75-86
+4.5
15
@
GMU
GMUL 44-61
+7.5
18
@
PROV
PROVL 66-98
−2.5
26
vs
BRWN
BRWNL 47-59
−6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLEM
CLEML 38-88
−20.5
9
@HARV
HARVL 75-86
+13.5
15
@GMU
GMUL 44-61
−39.5
18
@PROV
PROVL 66-98
+2.5
26
vsBRWN
BRWNL 47-59
−30.5
over 2under 3avg −14.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fairfield
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +10.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
PSU
PSUL 68-76
+7.5
8
@
NJIT
NJITW 74-53
+14.5
10
@
HALL
HALLL 59-82
−8.5
14
vs
STO
STOW 73-71
−4.5
16
vs
L-MD
L-MDW 85-82
−2.5
22
@
LEM
LEMW 97-83
+12.5
26
vs
COLU
COLUL 77-106
−25.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
−7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
−18.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
+3.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
+0.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
+31.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+34.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
+32.5
over 5under 2avg +10.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Hampshire
0-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Brown47–59
- L@ Providence66–98
- L@ George Mason44–61
- L@ Harvard75–86
- L@ Clemson38–88
4 days since their last game.
Fairfield
4-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Columbia77–106
- W@ Le Moyne97–83
- Wvs Loyola MD85–82
- Wvs Stonehill73–71
- L@ Seton Hall59–82
4 days since their last game.