Stonehill Skyhawks at Quinnipiac Bobcats: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 30, 2:00 PM ETM&T Bank Arena · at Quinnipiac

#349STOStonehill62final

Final

#241QUINQuinnipiac76▲ winner

Closing lineQUIN -15.5✓ STO covered by 1.5

Closing total148.5Under by 10.5

Season records: Stonehill and Quinnipiac
STO	This season	QUIN
1-6	Record	3-3
4-3	ATS	4-2
3-4	O/U	4-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: STO 68–81 QUIN · ✓ QUIN (88%) won

Loading the game…

Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
STO	32	30	62
QUIN	41	35	76

1st half: STO 32, QUIN 41 (QUIN by 9). The model had QUIN by 8.0 and a total of 69.5 (actual 73).

Team stats

STO		QUIN
25-64 39%	Field goals	29-61 48%
8-26 31%	3-pointers	8-16 50%
4-8 50%	Free throws	10-12 83%
37 14 off	Rebounds	29 7 off
11	Assists	9
5	Steals	12
4	Blocks	6
15	Turnovers	10
11	Fouls	14
28	Points in paint	42
3	Fast-break points	21

Players

STO	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Raymond Espinal-Guzman F	38	17	6	0	6-13	3-5
Davante Hackett G	38	13	9	2	6-20	1-8
Hermann Koffi G	33	15	4	0	6-11	3-5
Rex Sunderland G	31	3	4	2	1-6	0-5
Chas Stinson G	30	7	11	5	3-6	0-0
Bench
Trenton Ruth G	12	4	2	1	2-5	0-1
Pearse McGuinn F	9	0	1	1	0-1	0-0
Anthony Holden G	5	3	0	0	1-2	1-2
Cory Lovell F	4	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Ethan Meuser, Eino Montin, Ridvan Tutic, Charlie Diamantis, Will Batchelder, Norbu Jenpa, Colin Byrne

QUIN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jaden Zimmerman G	37	22	2	1	7-12	3-5
Amarri Monroe F	32	18	7	1	9-16	0-2
Asim Jones G	31	18	3	4	7-15	2-3
Grant Randall F	27	6	4	0	2-5	1-3
Spence Wewe F	12	0	3	0	0-1	0-0
Bench
Keith McKnight F	21	4	5	2	1-5	0-0
Nate Guerengomba G	15	0	2	1	0-0	0-0
Tai Turnage G	11	5	3	0	2-5	1-2
Samson Reilly G	9	3	0	0	1-2	1-1
Sam Nosakhare C	3	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Ronell Giles Jr. G	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Akintola Akinniyi, Jayden Reid, Christopher Skenderi, Braylan Ritvo

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	QUIN -15.5	QUIN -13.5	STO +2.0	W STO covered
Total	148.5	148.5	—	Under
Projected score	—	STO 67.5 · QUIN 81

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	QUIN -8.0	QUIN -9.0
1H total	69.5	73
1H projected score	STO 30.8 · QUIN 38.8	STO 32 · QUIN 41

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
STO WLWWL	4-3	57%	3-1	4-2
QUIN WLWWW	4-2	67%	1-1	2-0

Venue/role: STO away, as underdog; QUIN home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
STO OUOOU	3-4	43%	1-6
QUIN UOUOO	4-2	67%	3-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
STOlast 7	1-6 14%	4-3 57%	3-4 43%
QUINlast 6	3-3 50%	4-2 67%	4-2 67%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

STO 1–2 QUINQUIN leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · STO 2-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 1, 2024-25	QUIN 74 @ STO 88	STO +6.5	STO W
Nov 26, 2023-24	STO 69 @ QUIN 80	QUIN -10.5	QUIN W
Nov 10, 2022-23	QUIN 102 @ STO 95	STO +10.5	STO W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Stonehill

7 games played

Straight up

1-6

14% wins

Against the spread

4-3

57% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-4

43% overs · avg −3.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-614%

L L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

4-357%

W L W L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-443%

U U O U O O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@DEP	L 64-72	+22.5	W +14.5	147.5	U 136
Nov 11	@URI	L 57-80	+16.5	L −6.5	151.5	U 137
Nov 14	@FAIR	L 71-73	+6.5	W +4.5	143.5	O 144
Nov 15	vsL-MD	L 63-74	+6.5	L −4.5	138.5	U 137
Nov 17	@ISU	L 57-96	+40.5	W +1.5	146.5	O 153
Nov 21	vsLAF	W 74-70	+1.5	W +5.5	141.5	O 144
Nov 26	vsUML	L 64-75	-2.5	L −13.5	148.5	U 139

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DEP

L 64-72

+14.5

URI

L 57-80

−6.5

FAIR

L 71-73

+4.5

L-MD

L 63-74

−4.5

ISU

L 57-96

+1.5

LAF

W 74-70

+5.5

UML

L 64-75

−13.5

covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DEP

L 64-72

−11.5

URI

L 57-80

−14.5

FAIR

L 71-73

+0.5

L-MD

L 63-74

−1.5

ISU

L 57-96

+6.5

LAF

W 74-70

+2.5

UML

L 64-75

−9.5

over 3under 4avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Quinnipiac

6 games played

Straight up

3-3

50% wins

Against the spread

4-2

67% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-2

67% overs · avg +6.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-350%

L W L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

4-267%

L W L W W W

3 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

4-267%

O U O U O O

2 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@SJU	L 74-108	+26.5	L −7.5	156.5	O 182
Nov 6	vsCCSU	W 71-49	-9.5	W +12.5	150.5	U 120
Nov 11	vsYALE	L 60-97	+6.5	L −30.5	156.5	O 157
Nov 16	@ME	W 70-64	-3.5	W +2.5	137.5	U 134
Nov 23	@PITT	W 83-75	+12.5	W +20.5	140.5	O 158
Nov 25	@UCF	L 91-102	+13.5	W +2.5	162.5	O 193

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SJU

L 74-108

−7.5

CCSU

W 71-49

+12.5

YALE

L 60-97

−30.5

W 70-64

+2.5

PITT

W 83-75

+20.5

UCF

L 91-102

+2.5

covered 4didn’t cover 2avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SJU

L 74-108

+25.5

CCSU

W 71-49

−30.5

YALE

L 60-97

+0.5

W 70-64

−3.5

PITT

W 83-75

+17.5

UCF

L 91-102

+30.5

over 4under 2avg +6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Stonehill Skyhawks at Quinnipiac Bobcats

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Stonehill

Quinnipiac

Stonehill

Quinnipiac