College Basketball Games Mon, Jan 5, 2026

Day in numbers19 finalFavorites 8-11 ATS8 upsetsO/U 12-7Model Favorite 11-8OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games1919 final · 0 to play

Lines moved131+ pt since the open · 19 with a line

Totals moved171+ pt since the open

Favorites ATS8-1142% covered

Upsets8outright

Over / Under12-763% over

Model Favorite11-858% won

Game	Spread, open → close	Moved	Total	Moved
YALE @ BRWN	YALE -9.5 → YALE -8.5	1 → BRWN	147.5 → 142.5	▼ 5
COLU @ COR	COR -1.5 → COR -3.5	2 → COR	168.5 → 170.5	▲ 2
MILW @ GB	MILW -1.5 → MILW -3.5	2 → MILW	148.5 → 144.5	▼ 4
DART @ HARV	HARV -6.5 → HARV -7.5	1 → HARV	144.5 → 148.5	▲ 4
PENN @ PRIN	PRIN -1.5 → PRIN -3.5	2 → PRIN	144.5 → 145.5	▲ 1
W&M @ COFC	COFC -1.5 → COFC -2.5	1 → COFC	161.5 → 165.5	▲ 4
AAMU @ MVSU	AAMU -10.5 → AAMU -10.5	no move	139.5 → 135.5	▼ 4
ALST @ UAPB	ALST -2.5 → ALST -1.5	1 → UAPB	162.5 → 159.5	▼ 3
ORE @ RUTG	ORE -4.5 → ORE -4.5	no move	142.5 → 139.5	▼ 3
NEB @ OSU	OSU -1.5 → OSU -2.5	1 → OSU	154.5 → 155.5	▲ 1

Top 10 of 18; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.

Line moved	Covered	Cover rate
1+ pts	5579-5698-5	49%
2+ pts	2172-2236-2	49%
3+ pts	880-908	49%
5+ pts	139-149	48%

Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.

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FinalConference

Columbia

9-3 · #170

104

Cornell

5-6 · #179

Spread

COR -3.5

✓ COLU W ATS

Total

170.5 ▲2

▲ Over 203

Projected

85–86

✗ COR lost

Model: COLU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.3 ✓

FinalConference

Nebraska

14-0 · #27 AP #10

Ohio State

10-3 · #33

Spread

OSU -2.5

✓ NEB W ATS

Total

155.5 ▲1

▼ Under 141

Projected

78–80

✗ OSU lost

Model: NEB by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.9 ✗

FinalConference

Alabama St

3-10 · #302

AR-Pine Bluff

2-10 · #363

Spread

ALST -1.5

✓ UAPB W ATS

Total

159.5 ▼3

▲ Over 169

Projected

83–80

✗ ALST lost

Model: ALST by 0.9 ✗ Model: Over 3.4 ✓

FinalConference

Prairie View

1-9 · #343

Southern

2-9 · #309

Spread

SOU -7.5

✓ PV W ATS

Total

160.5 ▼1

▲ Over 174

Projected

78–85

✗ SOU lost

Model: Over 2.5 ✓

FinalConference

Oregon

8-6 · #57

Rutgers

7-7 · #62

Spread

ORE -4.5

✓ RUTG W ATS

Total

139.5 ▼3

▲ Over 173

Projected

75–70

✗ ORE lost

Model: ORE by 0.8 ✗ Model: Over 5.3 ✓

FinalConference

Yale

9-2 · #126

Brown

4-7 · #156

Spread

YALE -8.5

✓ YALE W ATS

Total

142.5 ▼5

▼ Under 123

Projected

79–69

✓ YALE won

Model: YALE by 0.9 ✓ Model: Over 5.2 ✗

FinalConference

Milwaukee

6-8 · #235

Green Bay

5-8 · #226

Spread

MILW -3.5

✓ GB W ATS

Total

144.5 ▼4

▲ Over 155

Projected

77–74

✗ MILW lost

Model: GB by 1.0 ✓ Model: Over 6.1 ✓

FinalConference

Dartmouth

4-7 · #251

Harvard

6-7 · #136

Spread

HARV -7.5

✓ DART W ATS

Total

148.5 ▲4

▼ Under 144

Projected

69–76

✗ HARV lost

Model: DART by 0.4 ✓ Model: Under 3.3 ✓

FinalConference

Penn

6-6 · #137

Princeton

3-11 · #135

Spread

PRIN -3.5

✓ PENN W ATS

Total

145.5 ▲1

▲ Over 154

Projected

72–74

✓ PRIN won

Model: PENN by 2.0 ✓ Model: Over 0.8 ✓

FinalConference

William & Mary

9-3 · #217

Charleston

8-6 · #117

Spread

COFC -2.5

✓ COFC W ATS

Total

165.5 ▲4

▲ Over 167

Projected

80–81

✓ COFC won

Model: W&M by 1.0 ✗ Model: Under 4.4 ✗

FinalConference

Lamar

5-7 · #293

SE Louisiana

3-10 · #252

Spread

LAM -1.5

✓ SELA W ATS

Total

135.5

▼ Under 112

Projected

67–69

✓ SELA won

Model: SELA by 3.3 ✓ Model: Under 0.2 ✓

FinalConference

Texas Southern

0-10 · #322

Grambling

5-7 · #338

Spread

GRAM -5.5

✓ GRAM W ATS

Total

146.5 ▼2

▲ Over 151

Projected

71–78

✓ GRAM won

Model: GRAM by 0.9 ✓ Model: Over 2.4 ✓

FinalConference

Incarnate Word

5-6 · #289

UT Rio Grande

3-9 · #287

Spread

RGV -1.5

✓ RGV W ATS

Total

146.5 ▲1

▲ Over 147

Projected

74–73

✗ UIW lost

Model: UIW by 2.5 ✗

FinalConference

N'Western St

2-10 · #318

Nicholls

5-8 · #285

Spread

NICH -8.5

✓ NWST W ATS

Total

144.5 ▼1

▲ Over 146

Projected

70–78

✓ NICH won

Model: NWST by 0.7 ✓ Model: Over 2.9 ✓

FinalConference

SF Austin

10-2 · #193

McNeese

9-3 · #127

Spread

MCN -10.5

✓ SFA W ATS

Total

144.5 ▲1

▼ Under 130

Projected

68–77

✓ MCN won

Model: SFA by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.2 ✓

FinalConference

Alabama A&M

4-7 · #328

Miss Valley St

0-14 · #366

Spread

AAMU -10.5

✓ AAMU W ATS

Total

135.5 ▼4

▼ Under 122

Projected

77–67

✓ AAMU won

Model: MVSU by 0.2 ✗ Model: Over 8.2 ✗

FinalConference

Texas A&M-CC

3-7 · #238

Hou Christian

3-9 · #300

Spread

AMCC -3.5

✓ AMCC W ATS

Total

132.5

▲ Over 146

Projected

67–66

✓ AMCC won

Model: HCU by 2.4 ✗ Model: Over 1.1 ✓

FinalConference

East Texas A&M

4-9 · #342

LSU N Orleans

4-10 · #276

Spread

NOLA -6.5

✓ NOLA W ATS

Total

150.5 ▼1

▲ Over 156

Projected

73–80

✓ NOLA won

Model: NOLA by 0.6 ✓ Model: Over 2.3 ✓

FinalConference

USC

11-2 · #36

Michigan St

12-2 · #10 AP #12

Spread

MSU -11.5

✓ MSU W ATS

Total

151.5 ▲1

▼ Under 131

Projected

73–81

✓ MSU won

Model: USC by 2.9 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗

Status	Matchup	Spread	Total	Model line	Spread edge	Model total	Total edge	Win prob	Model
Final	Columbia 9-3 · #170 104 Cornell 5-6 · #179 99	COR -3.5	170.5	COR -1.0	COLU +2.5	171.8	Over 1.3	54% COR	W W	›
Final	Nebraska 14-0 · #27 72 Ohio State 10-3 · #33 69	OSU -2.5	155.5	OSU -2.0	NEB +0.5	157.4	Over 1.9	57% OSU	W L	›
Final	Alabama St 3-10 · #302 79 AR-Pine Bluff 2-10 · #363 90	ALST -1.5	159.5	ALST -2.4	ALST +0.9	162.9	Over 3.4	58% ALST	L W	›
Final	Prairie View 1-9 · #343 89 Southern 2-9 · #309 85	SOU -7.5	160.5	SOU -7.5	—	163.0	Over 2.5	74% SOU	W	›
Final	Oregon 8-6 · #57 85 Rutgers 7-7 · #62 88	ORE -4.5	139.5	ORE -5.3	ORE +0.8	144.8	Over 5.3	68% ORE	L W	›
Final	Yale 9-2 · #126 70 Brown 4-7 · #156 53	YALE -8.5	142.5	YALE -9.4	YALE +0.9	147.7	Over 5.2	79% YALE	W L	›
Final	Milwaukee 6-8 · #235 76 Green Bay 5-8 · #226 79	MILW -3.5	144.5	MILW -2.5	GB +1.0	150.6	Over 6.1	59% MILW	W W	›
Final	Dartmouth 4-7 · #251 76 Harvard 6-7 · #136 68	HARV -7.5	148.5	HARV -7.1	DART +0.4	145.2	Under 3.3	73% HARV	W W	›
Final	Penn 6-6 · #137 76 Princeton 3-11 · #135 78	PRIN -3.5	145.5	PRIN -1.5	PENN +2.0	146.3	Over 0.8	55% PRIN	W W	›
Final	William & Mary 9-3 · #217 79 Charleston 8-6 · #117 88	COFC -2.5	165.5	COFC -1.5	W&M +1.0	161.1	Under 4.4	55% COFC	L L	›
Final	Lamar 5-7 · #293 52 SE Louisiana 3-10 · #252 60	LAM -1.5	135.5	SELA -1.8	SELA +3.3	135.3	Under 0.2	56% SELA	W W	›
Final	Texas Southern 0-10 · #322 67 Grambling 5-7 · #338 84	GRAM -5.5	146.5	GRAM -6.4	GRAM +0.9	148.9	Over 2.4	71% GRAM	W W	›
Final	Incarnate Word 5-6 · #289 67 UT Rio Grande 3-9 · #287 80	RGV -1.5	146.5	UIW -1.0	UIW +2.5	146.5	—	53% UIW	L	›
Final	N'Western St 2-10 · #318 72 Nicholls 5-8 · #285 74	NICH -8.5	144.5	NICH -7.8	NWST +0.7	147.4	Over 2.9	75% NICH	W W	›
Final	SF Austin 10-2 · #193 64 McNeese 9-3 · #127 66	MCN -10.5	144.5	MCN -9.0	SFA +1.5	144.3	Under 0.2	79% MCN	W W	›
Final	Alabama A&M 4-7 · #328 71 Miss Valley St 0-14 · #366 51	AAMU -10.5	135.5	AAMU -10.3	MVSU +0.2	143.7	Over 8.2	82% AAMU	L L	›
Final	Texas A&M-CC 3-7 · #238 81 Hou Christian 3-9 · #300 65	AMCC -3.5	132.5	AMCC -1.1	HCU +2.4	133.6	Over 1.1	54% AMCC	L W	›
Final	East Texas A&M 4-9 · #342 73 LSU N Orleans 4-10 · #276 83	NOLA -6.5	150.5	NOLA -7.1	NOLA +0.6	152.8	Over 2.3	73% NOLA	W W	›
Final	USC 11-2 · #36 51 Michigan St 12-2 · #10 80	MSU -11.5	151.5	MSU -8.6	USC +2.9	154.0	Over 2.5	77% MSU	L L	›

Day in numbers19 finalFavorites 8-11 ATS8 upsetsO/U 12-7Model Favorite 11-8OpenClose

The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record

NCAAB games · Monday, January 5, 2026

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